Extraneous-Truth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$544

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

592

Trades

1,629

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 10-20 06:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Other

100% 56% -$538

Politics

0% 29% -$5

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		+5	$2	66¢	$3	+$1	05-13 10:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	05-13 11:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	12	$840	437	437	+1	Yes	+$6	04-27 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 24?	12	$732	377	377	+0	No	+$21	05-24 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 28?	11	$580	336	336	+0	Yes	+$85	05-28 17:15
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 30?	6	$535	331	234	+97	No	-$1	04-30 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 27?	14	$495	285	284	+2	No	-$12	04-27 15:38
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 21?	6	$471	239	239	+0	No	+$5	05-21 19:38
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 26?	17	$386	381	36	+345	No	+$27	05-26 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 27?	4	$369	196	195	+0	No	-$6	04-27 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 27?	9	$328	389	0	+389	No	+$60	05-27 08:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 14?	7	$305	160	160	+0	No	+$1	05-14 16:05
highest temperature in lagos on april 23 2026 28corbelow	18	$281	149	148	+1	No	+$16	04-23 20:29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 29?	11	$276	150	150	+0	Yes	-$1	05-29 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 22?	15	$257	288	0	+288	No	+$31	05-22 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?	19	$245	200	199	+2	Yes	-$91	04-28 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 29?	10	$240	290	0	+290	No	+$50	04-29 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 23?	2	$237	243	0	+243	No	+$6	05-23 07:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 7?	5	$237	248	0	+248	No	+$12	05-07 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?	9	$236	252	44	+208	Yes	-$21	05-07 14:07
highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 21corhigher	17	$234	161	95	+66	No	-$6	04-24 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on May 21?	1	$224	229	0	+229	No	+$5	05-21 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?	12	$210	215	215	+0	Yes	-$171	05-08 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 23?	4	$204	209	0	+209	No	+$5	05-23 09:01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 27?	15	$202	168	163	+5	Yes	-$37	05-27 21:41
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 28?	9	$200	226	153	+73	Yes	-$121	05-28 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 24?	14	$200	229	12	+217	Yes	-$188	05-24 08:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?	5	$190	211	0	+211	No	+$21	04-30 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 20?	6	$182	196	0	+196	No	+$14	05-20 08:53
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 21?	5	$176	186	16	+170	No	+$6	05-21 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 17?	5	$173	162	20	+142	Yes	+$9	05-17 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 20?	15	$162	188	0	+188	No	+$27	05-20 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 06:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x2078a9…
10-20 06:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfef41a…
10-09 06:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2629ab…
10-09 05:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x85ce0c…
09-25 09:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb22bc3…
09-25 09:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xaea886…
09-23 13:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x52e6ea…
09-23 06:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x64bbd1…
09-23 06:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7517ea…
09-14 14:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 14?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe89e1f…
09-14 09:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 14?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x2a4e29…
09-14 09:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb01080…
09-14 08:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc7edb8…
09-14 08:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbf7d3b…
09-14 08:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb3f96f…
09-14 08:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2b53b0…
09-14 08:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdf80e6…
09-11 07:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x793212…
09-11 06:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc15477…
09-11 06:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x584fa8…
09-11 06:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xcbedd0…
09-10 08:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x13aabe…
09-10 08:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb186f3…
09-10 08:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8e1d4d…
09-10 08:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc7fd00…
09-10 05:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd9e770…
09-10 05:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xaf7705…
09-10 05:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xea46d1…
09-09 12:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x397c3a…
09-09 11:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x505220…
09-09 11:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x1b3c96…
09-09 09:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0x11800f…
09-09 07:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7e4886…
09-09 07:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x216e51…
09-09 07:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9c115f…
09-08 14:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd8e362…
09-08 14:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x25b387…
09-08 14:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x662fae…
09-07 16:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x277eda…
09-07 13:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xdf0865…
09-07 12:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7a4d76…
09-03 11:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2f7d36…
09-02 11:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0x7080ba…
09-02 11:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x86a0ce…
09-02 07:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x94b387…
09-02 07:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x245d46…
09-02 07:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xd0a49d…
09-02 07:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4f6916…
09-02 07:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd75a08…
08-28 10:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x56f1a0…
08-28 10:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x525da5…
08-28 10:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x485a5b…
08-28 10:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0f848c…
08-28 09:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x38f421…
08-28 09:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x72b24a…
08-28 08:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xecd39f…
08-28 08:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3f399e…
08-28 06:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa71e1c…
08-28 06:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0d828a…
08-28 06:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x79e14e…
08-27 08:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x4751f4…
08-27 08:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x126b33…
08-27 08:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0xb2b629…
08-27 07:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xca81e7…
08-27 06:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb799c4…
08-27 06:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x1c0d73…
08-27 06:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x3a1400…
08-27 06:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd85f45…
08-27 06:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x5fb1d7…
08-27 05:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4e3203…
08-26 14:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C or higher on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x4b4788…
08-26 14:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xd90a32…
08-26 12:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0xbf7aba…
08-26 08:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x685d8b…
08-26 08:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2ecb4e…
08-26 08:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9c5856…
08-26 08:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xab7d36…
08-26 08:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9c1e43…
08-26 08:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x121d33…
08-26 08:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x69ce61…
08-24 12:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x00519d…
08-24 12:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0x0f933f…
08-24 11:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5dcc8c…
08-24 05:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0x78c47b…
08-24 04:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd7fbcf…
08-23 09:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb220bd…
08-23 09:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x152bbd…
08-23 09:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xf61189…
08-23 08:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd794b6…
08-23 08:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xf2657e…
08-23 07:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x540da6…
08-23 07:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xcf1963…
08-23 07:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6fa2b3…
08-23 06:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xda67a3…
08-23 06:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x38378d…
08-23 06:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xff8e87…
08-23 06:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xad7469…
08-23 06:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdbcca9…
08-23 06:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd9302d…
08-23 06:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x4b417a…