Extraneous-Truth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$188

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-11 16:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

100% 56% $-15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (6)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?	Yes		+2	$1	100¢	$2	+$1	05-11 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 11?	Yes		+11	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-11 16:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 7?	2	$83	88	0	+88	No	+$6	05-07 11:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?	1	$63	69	0	+69	No	+$6	05-06 14:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	2	$19	27	0	+27	Yes	$-19	05-07 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?	1	$6	8	0	+8	Yes	$-6	05-07 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 8?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-08 10:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?	3	$3	7	5	+2	open	—	05-11 15:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-06 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 11?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-11 10:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 10?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	$-1	05-10 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 11?	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	05-11 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 10?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	$-1	05-10 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 10?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-10 07:48
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 11?	1	$1	0	3	-3	open	—	05-11 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 11?	1	$1	0	5	-5	open	—	05-11 05:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 16:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5463c5…
05-11 15:24:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8c13af…
05-11 15:23:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x83b361…
05-11 10:47:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1bb45c…
05-11 05:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x0e2b20…
05-11 05:38:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x66ab23…
05-10 22:10:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6bc39b…
05-10 08:16:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcabe0c…
05-10 07:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa1959f…
05-10 06:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x286fc6…
05-08 10:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 8?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2e943a…
05-07 12:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$6	0x2af2ee…
05-07 11:00:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 7?	No	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0xdcde86…
05-07 10:34:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 7?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0xa5a6df…
05-07 10:10:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3783ae…
05-07 08:54:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x9eaff6…
05-06 14:00:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?	No	BUY	69	92¢	$63	0x5260e1…
05-06 08:14:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x09e5b6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905	9	$795	23	05-11 14:43
Nautical-Oar 0x52ef…1310	6	$1.17K	19	05-11 16:50
Whopping-Columnist 0x8fb4…b9ed	6	$510	11	05-10 12:21
Brown-Spy 0x4a5e…daeb	4	$1.45K	13	05-11 21:02
Impish-Tract 0x8817…cda8	4	$686	5	05-11 16:43
Great-Temper 0x2d0f…81aa	3	$6.67K	5	05-07 14:21