Intrepid-Stone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

7,362

Trades

51,800

lifetime

Volume

$94.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 08-06 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Other

95% 22% +$2,163

Politics

4% 54% +$41

Sports

1% 33% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	15	$1.6K	1,540	1,811	-271	Yes	+$99	03-28 15:19
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	56	$1.1K	802	810	-8	Yes	+$0	03-28 15:18
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 48forhigher	66	$1.0K	1,053	952	+100	Yes	-$130	03-08 18:54
highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 9c	94	$834	577	815	-238	Yes	+$447	03-07 23:04
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$802	479	479	+0	No	+$2	03-28 05:38
highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 14c	52	$768	633	633	+0	Yes	+$496	03-30 21:14
highest temperature in dallas on march 10 2026 82forhigher	18	$727	689	700	-12	Yes	+$661	03-10 23:26
highest temperature in london on march 8 2026 11corbelow	38	$618	365	408	-43	Yes	+$154	03-08 17:56
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 54 55f	17	$575	578	578	-0	Yes	+$549	03-17 04:10
highest temperature in paris on march 26 2026 11c	72	$534	578	582	-4	Yes	+$464	03-26 17:32
highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 9c	67	$533	1,206	629	+577	Yes	+$230	03-19 11:06
nba por sas 2026 04 08 spread home 3pt5	4	$396	400	400	+0	Spurs	-$4	04-08 20:47
nba mem bkn 2026 03 09	2	$389	370	370	+0	Nets	-$3	03-09 17:57
highest temperature in madrid on april 4 2026 23c	48	$384	325	331	-6	Yes	+$272	04-04 20:25
highest temperature in paris on april 3 2026 12c	16	$372	252	223	+29	No	+$73	04-03 13:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?	29	$358	352	352	+0	Yes	+$345	07-18 19:48
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30?	40	$342	239	239	+0	Yes	+$128	05-30 17:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?	27	$325	256	256	+0	Yes	+$181	05-31 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?	29	$322	241	241	+0	Yes	+$144	06-30 16:05
highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 11c	20	$309	255	292	-37	No	+$155	03-22 14:42
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 16c	88	$306	632	578	+54	No	+$100	03-23 15:02
highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	15	$301	303	303	+0	Yes	-$26	03-24 02:32
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 56 57f	121	$300	1,031	988	+43	Yes	+$87	03-22 19:16
highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 10c	93	$293	713	923	-209	No	-$110	03-07 14:38
highest temperature in seattle on march 4 2026 50 51f	20	$293	310	320	-10	Yes	-$131	03-04 22:23
highest temperature in nyc on march 29 2026 50 51f	58	$289	804	343	+461	No	+$27	03-29 19:53
highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 12c	21	$284	269	260	+9	No	+$26	03-30 13:29
highest temperature in madrid on march 27 2026 18c	57	$266	258	258	+0	Yes	+$212	03-27 16:08
highest temperature in dallas on april 2 2026 82 83f	22	$266	203	202	+1	Yes	+$139	04-03 01:19
highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 8corbelow	121	$250	1,766	1,433	+333	No	+$136	03-07 14:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 16:25:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on August 6?	Yes	SELL	260	0¢	$1	0xcd147b…
08-06 13:13:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on August 6?	Yes	SELL	335	0¢	$1	0x395358…
08-05 23:12:06	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x25a158…
08-05 19:01:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x6c5fc2…
08-05 18:57:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x62d314…
08-05 18:56:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x74b29b…
08-05 18:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x258a51…
08-05 17:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	43	19¢	$8	0xb91bf1…
08-05 17:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xef4aa2…
08-05 17:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x74b1da…
08-05 17:23:47	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x20028f…
08-05 16:46:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	595	0¢	$3	0xa73a0b…
08-05 16:27:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x34f2c9…
08-05 16:26:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf3b2c9…
08-05 16:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x38d6c4…
08-05 15:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x51f679…
08-05 15:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x7d9fc8…
08-05 15:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x336f6c…
08-05 15:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x54aee3…
08-05 15:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x0d7b9c…
08-05 15:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	51	5¢	$3	0x15aade…
08-05 15:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x18ae5b…
08-05 15:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf1481c…
08-05 14:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x2b6ca9…
08-05 14:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5?	No	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x00703e…
08-05 13:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xb7832d…
08-05 13:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x28770f…
08-05 13:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x586a67…
08-05 13:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa688f5…
08-05 12:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xfc7e2c…
08-05 12:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x17d532…
08-05 12:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdc8fb8…
08-05 11:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc5efbf…
08-05 11:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa60a07…
08-05 11:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x8cf2c6…
08-05 11:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb1ca20…
08-05 11:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	34	18¢	$6	0x0c1f23…
08-05 11:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd1cc85…
08-05 11:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xfa0fb4…
08-05 11:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x5f056e…
08-05 11:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x43fc55…
08-05 11:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x97cd84…
08-05 11:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x974836…
08-05 11:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x36eacd…
08-05 11:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xfb687b…
08-05 11:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x8cadd8…
08-05 10:53:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xaddfb6…
08-05 10:19:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on August 5?	Yes	BUY	997	1¢	$8	0x0981c7…
08-05 10:19:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on August 5?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x9ac3da…
08-05 10:19:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on August 5?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x8b3d9e…
08-05 09:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x36906c…
08-05 09:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x2fcc1f…
08-05 08:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x905633…
08-05 08:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xd35edc…
08-05 08:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5c338c…
08-05 08:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0x71034a…
08-05 08:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5a8ae5…
08-05 08:00:53	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x409698…
08-05 08:00:53	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x351631…
08-05 08:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xaf701a…
08-05 08:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x5f322f…
08-05 08:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x9d9359…
08-05 07:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd755ec…
08-05 07:58:15	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7ca6a2…
08-05 07:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x0250e2…
08-05 07:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x4353aa…
08-05 07:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x086ad1…
08-05 07:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xfd762f…
08-05 07:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x454fac…
08-05 07:53:32	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xde389f…
08-05 07:53:32	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x98476a…
08-05 07:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf361cd…
08-05 07:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x5961d1…
08-05 07:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xf85043…
08-05 07:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xdfedfd…
08-05 07:17:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x161a88…
08-05 07:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x8492cc…
08-05 07:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x91b067…
08-05 07:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x3d3d0f…
08-05 07:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xec37d8…
08-05 07:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe607e4…
08-05 07:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x998e99…
08-05 07:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4c5b87…
08-05 07:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x3830e8…
08-05 05:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x4e5c23…
08-05 05:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xd77929…
08-05 05:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x6976ed…
08-05 05:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x78f135…
08-05 03:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0x793f21…
08-05 03:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa23de2…
08-05 03:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x1658f5…
08-05 02:52:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x081255…
08-05 02:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2e3d17…
08-05 02:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x97c4e0…
08-05 02:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x909779…
08-05 01:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x6ad96b…
08-05 01:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x656bb5…
08-05 00:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe8c4e6…
08-04 22:55:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x74bb2e…
08-04 19:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xf6881a…