Hoarse-Cigarette — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$112

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved

Trades

935

lifetime

Volume

$44.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-29 20:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

96% 100% +$74

Sports

2% 0% $-186

Crypto

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 19c	2	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	04-14 09:52
highest temperature in seattle on april 9 2026 58 59f	2	$400	401	0	+401	open	—	04-09 20:54
highest temperature in beijing on april 14 2026 21c	2	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	04-14 09:53
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 23corhigher	2	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	04-05 04:56
highest temperature in toronto on april 6 2026 4c	2	$400	401	0	+401	open	—	04-06 14:40
highest temperature in madrid on april 5 2026 29corhigher	2	$330	330	0	+330	open	—	04-05 14:24
cdr fcb atm 2026 03 03 fcb	3	$324	196	196	+0	open	—	03-04 00:32
highest temperature in nyc on april 8 2026 54 55f	2	$300	302	0	+302	open	—	04-08 15:00
highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 13c	2	$263	264	0	+264	open	—	04-22 08:45
highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 12c	1	$250	251	0	+251	open	—	04-21 08:47
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 27?	1	$225	225	0	+225	open	—	04-27 13:32
lowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 10c	1	$222	223	0	+223	open	—	04-23 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on April 25?	1	$220	220	0	+220	open	—	04-25 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	1	$220	220	0	+220	open	—	04-26 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	1	$220	220	0	+220	open	—	04-27 13:28
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	1	$210	210	0	+210	open	—	04-23 09:18
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	1	$210	210	0	+210	open	—	04-22 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 27?	1	$210	211	0	+211	open	—	04-27 13:31
highest temperature in miami on april 22 2026 80 81f	1	$203	203	0	+203	open	—	04-22 22:21
highest temperature in jakarta on april 23 2026 36c	1	$202	203	0	+203	open	—	04-23 09:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	05-20 02:50
highest temperature in atlanta on april 9 2026 76 77f	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	04-09 20:54
highest temperature in chengdu on april 23 2026 29c	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	04-23 09:19
highest temperature in san francisco on april 9 2026 74forhigher	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	04-09 20:54
highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 22c	1	$200	201	0	+201	open	—	04-17 06:41
highest temperature in atlanta on april 12 2026 80 81f	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	04-12 06:02
highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 56 57f	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	04-22 22:21
highest temperature in hong kong on april 7 2026 27c	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	04-08 00:43
highest temperature in miami on april 6 2026 78 79f	1	$200	201	0	+201	open	—	04-06 14:38
highest temperature in miami on april 5 2026 78 79f	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	04-05 14:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 20:14:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0xf127d5…
05-28 20:56:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xf12c07…
05-20 02:50:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xc98506…
05-19 18:31:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7cd97f…
05-12 14:04:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrea Pellegrino	Jannik Sinner	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x471a60…
05-10 20:33:56	AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x4f30b1…
05-10 20:30:52	AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	79	35¢	$28	0x9dad26…
04-27 13:33:36	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 27?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x750c35…
04-27 13:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 27?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xa1e0c1…
04-27 13:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 27?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xac721c…
04-27 13:32:28	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on April 27?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xb1b06a…
04-27 13:32:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0xc0e139…
04-27 13:31:54	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on April 27?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xef14b3…
04-27 13:31:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5a1cc3…
04-27 13:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 27?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x80afe7…
04-27 13:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 27?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xf30ea1…
04-27 13:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xcf2371…
04-27 13:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 27?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xb6ea45…
04-27 13:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x0e8bdb…
04-26 13:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x3d7fcd…
04-26 13:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x16457b…
04-25 07:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x124814…
04-25 07:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on April 25?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x554364…
04-25 07:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on April 25?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xd90647…
04-25 07:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 25?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x63fbb6…
04-25 07:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 25?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x4e3bd3…
04-25 07:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 25?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0xc15eae…
04-25 07:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xd49e82…
04-25 07:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xdf7f07…
04-25 07:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xc3f653…
04-23 20:06:56	highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x21c12b…
04-23 20:06:30	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 28c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x3d49da…
04-23 20:05:58	lowest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 5c	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xb6f632…
04-23 20:05:44	lowest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 22c	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x9cbf73…
04-23 09:21:20	highest temperature in mexico city on april 23 2026 23c	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x98839f…
04-23 09:21:08	highest temperature in karachi on april 23 2026 35corhigher	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x57485c…
04-23 09:20:56	lowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 10c	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0x89fbac…
04-23 09:20:46	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 23 2026 35c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xca5a9c…
04-23 09:19:42	highest temperature in chengdu on april 23 2026 29c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf5b2c8…
04-23 09:19:20	highest temperature in jakarta on april 23 2026 36c	No	BUY	203	99¢	$202	0x16dcd1…
04-23 09:19:00	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 28c	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xd3d15c…
04-23 09:18:30	highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 17c	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x3f799c…
04-23 09:18:04	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x060a8e…
04-22 22:22:36	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 22 2026 21c	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x01e659…
04-22 22:22:12	lowest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 44 45f	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x2a1009…
04-22 22:21:50	highest temperature in miami on april 22 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0xc5bc19…
04-22 22:21:34	highest temperature in atlanta on april 22 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xbac66e…
04-22 22:21:20	highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x7602f4…
04-22 13:17:02	highest temperature in karachi on april 22 2026 34corhigher	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x606b15…
04-22 13:16:42	highest temperature in jeddah on april 22 2026 34c	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x911c01…
04-22 13:16:26	highest temperature in mexico city on april 22 2026 22c	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf319b7…
04-22 13:15:58	highest temperature in panama city on april 22 2026 28c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x59d198…
04-22 13:15:24	Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x9ca163…
04-22 08:45:22	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 13c	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x09b66d…
04-22 08:44:32	highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 24c	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x9a884e…
04-22 08:44:22	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xc24b3e…
04-22 08:44:14	highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 30c	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x599877…
04-21 08:50:24	highest temperature in chengdu on april 21 2026 22c	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3f4dfe…
04-21 08:49:58	highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa2f5c0…
04-21 08:49:36	highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 66 67f	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x601b42…
04-21 08:49:20	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 13c	No	BUY	191	99¢	$190	0x043970…
04-21 08:49:02	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 13c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x987f55…
04-21 08:48:44	highest temperature in dallas on april 22 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xd55aeb…
04-21 08:48:26	highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 18c	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x634ae2…
04-21 08:48:18	highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 29c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xc40dbf…
04-21 08:48:10	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 15c	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x2d0e7e…
04-21 08:47:42	highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 12c	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xfef798…
04-21 08:47:26	highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xc6be75…
04-20 08:03:48	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 11c	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x53d09e…
04-20 08:02:34	highest temperature in denver on april 20 2026 21forbelow	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x811e8d…
04-20 08:02:20	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 20 2026 34corhigher	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x6543c3…
04-20 08:02:10	highest temperature in chongqing on april 20 2026 21c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf1e1c6…
04-20 08:01:44	highest temperature in tokyo on april 20 2026 24corhigher	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x29f776…
04-20 08:01:30	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 31c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x3d1b8a…
04-20 08:00:56	highest temperature in wuhan on april 20 2026 24corhigher	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8a8f22…
04-20 08:00:26	highest temperature in beijing on april 20 2026 27c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9e4b37…
04-20 07:59:56	highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 16c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xae12a6…
04-20 07:59:44	highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 20c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x4c1a7d…
04-18 13:28:34	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1,488	12¢	$180	0xf833c6…
04-17 06:48:18	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 17 2026 35c	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x9c85d4…
04-17 06:44:58	highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x73b1a6…
04-17 06:43:56	highest temperature in beijing on april 17 2026 26c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xea7fab…
04-17 06:43:12	highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 18c	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x7a09bf…
04-17 06:42:20	highest temperature in london on april 17 2026 16c	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xbe3246…
04-17 06:41:38	highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 20c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x142070…
04-17 06:41:00	highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 22c	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x304c32…
04-17 06:39:40	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 17 2026 30c	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xce49f7…
04-17 06:39:26	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 29c	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xfd10cd…
04-17 06:33:48	highest temperature in singapore on april 17 2026 34c	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x8643ac…
04-17 06:33:06	highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 19c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa4a634…
04-14 17:28:10	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xf7ebef…
04-14 17:27:38	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 14 2026 28c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2001e3…
04-14 17:27:14	highest temperature in austin on april 14 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x892663…
04-14 09:56:03	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	No	BUY	43	75¢	$32	0xfe53e7…
04-14 09:55:37	highest temperature in atlanta on april 14 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc5368b…
04-14 09:55:17	highest temperature in miami on april 14 2026 86 87f	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xd1cf9f…
04-14 09:54:19	highest temperature in munich on april 14 2026 15corhigher	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd972f0…
04-14 09:54:01	highest temperature in moscow on april 14 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0d9794…
04-14 09:53:29	highest temperature in milan on april 14 2026 16c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x394ad9…
04-14 09:53:13	highest temperature in beijing on april 14 2026 21c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x76ad4c…