Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 16?
open
Total volume
$148
$23 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$1,765
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 00:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $8 | $101 | $93 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $8 | $14 | $6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 7 | — | $98 | $98 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 4 | — | $13 | $13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pink-Balcony-Wick 0x3dd3…ccac | Yes | +563 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x13c9…fcf3 | No | +34 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-14 10:09 |
| Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | +29 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-14 12:29 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 00:35 |
| Wasteful-Troop 0x4cad…e203 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 11:10 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-14 17:14 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 05-14 14:51 |
| Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 10:04 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:32 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 17:16 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 14:44 |
| Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 00:13 |
| Giddy-Pill 0x567a…d8f5 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 09:54 |
| United-Savage 0x7d86…0c6f | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 09:54 |
| Gummy-Dogwood 0x6e95…e87e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 09:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 00:35:13 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc22fdc… |
| 05-15 00:13:01 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfb4c44… |
| 05-14 23:47:33 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe0637… |
| 05-14 22:23:02 | Quick-Transport 0x1294…35bb | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x36b481… |
| 05-14 19:32:31 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x74ea17… |
| 05-14 17:16:48 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcfe44e… |
| 05-14 17:14:04 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0928ec… |
| 05-14 17:14:04 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2fe947… |
| 05-14 14:51:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9af881… |
| 05-14 14:44:28 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x8c60dd… |
| 05-14 14:44:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x599b0f… |
| 05-14 14:44:14 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xca3663… |
| 05-14 13:49:26 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3f37ea… |
| 05-14 12:29:26 | Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | BUY | 29 | 98¢ | $28 | 0xe51d01… |
| 05-14 12:29:22 | Pink-Balcony-Wick 0x3dd3…ccac | Yes | BUY | 563 | 1¢ | $8 | 0x724fe0… |
| 05-14 11:10:13 | Wasteful-Troop 0x4cad…e203 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x6925c8… |
| 05-14 10:34:22 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4505fe… |
| 05-14 10:34:13 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x8617af… |
| 05-14 10:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x13c9…fcf3 | No | BUY | 34 | 98¢ | $33 | 0x3581a9… |
| 05-14 10:04:51 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x5f776d… |
| 05-14 09:54:10 | Giddy-Pill 0x567a…d8f5 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x958bdc… |
| 05-14 09:54:09 | United-Savage 0x7d86…0c6f | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xd47358… |
| 05-14 09:54:09 | Gummy-Dogwood 0x6e95…e87e | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x266f4d… |