Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 14?
open
Total volume
$709
$2,869 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$1,772
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 14:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $345 | $345 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $10 | $312 | $302 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | — | $364 | $364 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $100 | $98 |
| Median | 7 | — | $104 | $104 |
| Below median | 7 | $1 | $69 | $68 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $7 | $30 | $23 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $13 | $13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | +318 | $314 | $314 | 4 | 05-13 14:33 |
| Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | +194 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 21:35 |
| Next-Chin 0xcbc1…99e6 | No | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 04:15 |
| Charming-Tape 0x8428…57c6 | No | +72 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 05-14 11:27 |
| Weepy-Man 0xe87a…9064 | Yes | +54 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:10 |
| Envious-Auction 0xe98b…626a | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-14 11:20 |
| Idolized-Clam 0x9263…1999 | Yes | +41 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 01:25 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 6 | 05-14 13:04 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-14 04:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x7268…78ab | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 10:07 |
| Helpful-Coal 0x9783…264f | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 02:58 |
| Fearful-Reliability 0xa637…3494 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-12 04:54 |
| Defensive-Portion 0xdfa9…1fd2 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a36…27be | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 14:14 |
| Mammoth-Installation-Earplug 0x5082…8253 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 20:42 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 04:40 |
| Remarkable-Chinchilla 0xebdb…5ac4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 11:27 |
| Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 12:55 |
| Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | +4 | $4 | $16 | 5 | 05-13 22:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x16b6…72c9 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 02:42 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 14:08 |
| Fair-Utensil 0x3b73…9b26 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 07:16 |
| Damp-Ligula 0x26d2…ed55 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 14:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x4a36…27be | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xb99cb1… |
| 05-14 14:08:13 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x86a024… |
| 05-14 13:04:17 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xa55328… |
| 05-14 12:55:51 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x99c2ee… |
| 05-14 12:24:30 | Defensive-Portion 0xdfa9…1fd2 | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0xe161c5… |
| 05-14 12:15:33 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd9fddc… |
| 05-14 11:27:13 | Charming-Tape 0x8428…57c6 | No | BUY | 72 | 97¢ | $70 | 0x490c6a… |
| 05-14 11:27:06 | Remarkable-Chinchilla 0xebdb…5ac4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x30aefd… |
| 05-14 11:20:04 | Envious-Auction 0xe98b…626a | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xfa224c… |
| 05-14 10:04:25 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x926fcc… |
| 05-14 09:34:08 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x32b4c5… |
| 05-14 06:10:58 | Weepy-Man 0xe87a…9064 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbf6ca5… |
| 05-14 05:49:12 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xba62df… |
| 05-14 04:40:22 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x64cd34… |
| 05-14 04:40:22 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x6d2a06… |
| 05-14 04:15:24 | Next-Chin 0xcbc1…99e6 | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x7dcf4f… |
| 05-14 02:58:49 | Helpful-Coal 0x9783…264f | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x17d9f5… |
| 05-14 01:25:46 | Idolized-Clam 0x9263…1999 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x6eba7e… |
| 05-14 01:06:59 | Necessary-Wasp 0x5abf…4f48 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9a68c5… |
| 05-13 22:50:40 | Fatal-Outrage 0x524c…d364 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdc14b4… |
| 05-13 22:45:56 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x4547ee… |
| 05-13 22:45:51 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x0943ad… |
| 05-13 22:13:28 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x276522… |
| 05-13 22:13:23 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x0ecc31… |
| 05-13 22:07:49 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x176834… |
| 05-13 22:05:57 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xa6f2e4… |
| 05-13 21:57:03 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x701542… |
| 05-13 21:35:14 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | BUY | 194 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x5563e4… |
| 05-13 21:24:27 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xdb63dc… |
| 05-13 21:24:18 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xbe2cdb… |
| 05-13 21:03:00 | Damp-Ligula 0x26d2…ed55 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x6ca4d8… |
| 05-13 20:42:44 | Mammoth-Installation-Earplug 0x5082…8253 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xa7be7d… |
| 05-13 20:13:27 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x2590fa… |
| 05-13 15:58:25 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb5cf7… |
| 05-13 15:58:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb71837… |
| 05-13 14:33:31 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x5500f5… |
| 05-13 04:03:38 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcb3e46… |
| 05-13 02:48:09 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x480d57… |
| 05-13 02:42:21 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x43f575… |
| 05-13 02:42:21 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 244 | 99¢ | $241 | 0x5907cd… |
| 05-13 02:42:10 | (anonymous) 0x16b6…72c9 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xd7f3f5… |
| 05-12 23:01:14 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x4a45c7… |
| 05-12 23:01:07 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xc5b3dc… |
| 05-12 10:07:42 | (anonymous) 0x7268…78ab | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdc3bfc… |
| 05-12 07:16:19 | Fair-Utensil 0x3b73…9b26 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc72983… |
| 05-12 04:54:24 | Fearful-Reliability 0xa637…3494 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xe97aac… |