Rotating-Equation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$756

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

542

Trades

1,322

lifetime

Volume

$49.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$141

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Other

70% 85% -$666

Politics

22% 68% -$30

Crypto

6% 62% -$49

Sports

2% 86% +$2

Tech

1% 75% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-121	-$104	98¢	$-118	-$14	06-04 11:59
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-23	-$20	97¢	$-22	-$2	05-04 18:33
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	-15	-$7	5¢	$-1	+$6	08-02 10:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 btts	13	$2.0K	2,800	2,800	+0	No	+$9	04-08 19:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?	15	$1.9K	1,220	1,220	+0	Yes	+$12	07-24 21:50
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$1.6K	1,487	1,487	+0	No	-$27	05-16 13:07
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	7	$1.2K	585	585	-0	open	—	08-04 23:16
uel scf cel4 2026 04 09 btts	2	$999	1,040	1,040	+0	No	+$1	04-09 19:02
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	4	$960	700	700	+0	Yes	-$8	07-25 18:42
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	8	$941	665	665	+0	No	-$4	07-28 22:15
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	24	$920	596	596	+0	Yes	-$7	03-16 12:06
spx up or down on april 6 2026	4	$650	500	500	+0	Up	+$0	04-06 17:24
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts second half	29	$617	700	700	+0	Yes	+$169	07-01 21:15
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$614	500	500	+0	open	—	09-20 21:29
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?	4	$593	300	300	+0	No	+$5	05-25 03:08
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	16	$526	423	423	+0	Yes	-$10	06-27 21:19
atp augeral sinner 2026 04 10	6	$500	5,000	0	+5,000	Jannik Sinner	-$500	04-10 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 22?	2	$499	250	250	+0	No	+$0	05-22 19:34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 21?	4	$498	250	250	+0	No	+$1	05-21 22:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 88°F or higher on July 11?	9	$497	250	250	+0	No	+$0	07-11 19:33
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts	20	$496	590	590	+0	No	-$11	07-04 18:28
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	2	$480	273	273	+0	Yes	+$5	07-23 23:15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on September 30?	2	$476	239	239	+0	No	+$1	09-30 05:26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29?	3	$459	230	230	+0	No	+$0	09-29 05:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$454	420	420	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 19:18
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?	14	$452	1,800	1,800	+0	No	-$16	05-09 16:51
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	14	$449	480	480	+0	No	$0	06-30 21:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$441	900	900	+0	Yes	-$2	05-16 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 9?	2	$439	220	220	+0	No	+$0	10-09 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12?	2	$438	220	220	+0	No	+$0	10-12 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?	11	$437	220	220	+0	No	+$1	09-23 02:17
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$430	218	218	+0	open	—	10-18 14:36
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$420	213	213	+0	open	—	10-26 22:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 13:29:42	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	89	98¢	$87	0xf154df…
11-05 09:51:30	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa5e40a…
11-05 07:09:16	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	110	98¢	$107	0x43e695…
11-04 23:13:07	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xf05161…
10-26 23:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x06ad10…
10-26 22:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xe22bd2…
10-26 22:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$153	0xc6cc1d…
10-26 22:05:50	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	181	98¢	$178	0x08674f…
10-26 22:05:20	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x1566bf…
10-21 21:58:51	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	213	99¢	$210	0x0af065…
10-18 15:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x77e561…
10-18 15:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xf1b812…
10-18 15:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x4804a0…
10-18 15:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x0f83c4…
10-18 15:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc3c207…
10-18 15:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x6a93d1…
10-18 14:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xe9e7a1…
10-18 14:36:48	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	218	99¢	$215	0x7fa3de…
10-12 23:46:35	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	218	99¢	$215	0x5f36f3…
10-12 07:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$219	0x6a0a17…
10-11 22:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0x1efbd6…
10-09 08:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 9?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x3957a5…
10-09 08:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 9?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0x059795…
10-09 07:59:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0xe8cca2…
10-07 20:58:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 7?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x35f374…
10-07 20:58:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 7?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcda671…
10-07 20:03:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x8d824b…
10-07 20:01:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 7?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xfddb25…
10-05 23:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 5?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x3d9bdb…
10-05 22:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 5?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xdb6db2…
10-05 22:48:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 5?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xdd8b90…
10-05 21:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 5?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x4a369c…
10-05 15:51:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 5?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xcc7c9f…
10-05 15:51:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 5?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x25b86c…
10-05 15:51:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 5?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1577bb…
10-05 09:37:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 5?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x4e52ab…
10-05 09:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 5?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x8b349e…
10-05 01:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 5?	No	SELL	160	99¢	$159	0x8100a9…
10-04 23:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 5?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0x72177f…
10-04 23:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 5?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe29f58…
10-02 21:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 2?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x6daddb…
10-02 21:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 2?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x2a2ee7…
10-02 21:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 2?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xff1fce…
10-02 21:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 2?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x228ac9…
10-02 21:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 2?	No	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0x781954…
09-30 05:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on September 30?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0x45668b…
09-29 23:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on September 30?	No	BUY	239	99¢	$238	0x1814e5…
09-29 05:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x18b33e…
09-29 05:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0xd91f34…
09-28 23:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0x8bada0…
09-26 18:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 26?	No	BUY	220	99¢	$218	0xab2331…
09-23 02:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$116	0x618044…
09-23 01:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x079609…
09-23 01:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xcfcd86…
09-23 01:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6c1b54…
09-23 00:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$40	0x58b5f3…
09-23 00:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbceb6b…
09-23 00:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x5bef3f…
09-23 00:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf78113…
09-23 00:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x36d178…
09-22 23:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7894b2…
09-22 23:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23?	No	BUY	220	99¢	$218	0x9bec81…
09-21 19:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on September 21?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0x372b3e…
09-20 21:41:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 20?	No	BUY	220	99¢	$218	0x4e3bd0…
09-20 21:29:20	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	470	33¢	$155	0x6e3947…
09-20 21:29:04	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	490	64¢	$314	0x0c7074…
08-15 20:15:51	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x22af43…
08-15 20:15:18	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x47bffa…
08-13 21:26:40	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	483	41¢	$198	0xf78483…
08-13 21:26:12	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	500	59¢	$295	0x0c20d7…
08-12 21:41:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 12?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2a3525…
08-04 23:16:27	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x3992bc…
08-03 16:40:21	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xb0a6d2…
08-02 18:30:02	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	No	SELL	400	11¢	$42	0x583492…
08-02 18:19:00	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	No	SELL	400	11¢	$46	0xb21fa7…
08-02 18:13:05	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	No	BUY	800	14¢	$114	0x6be5f8…
08-02 15:20:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 2?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xb30cba…
08-02 12:32:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 2?	No	BUY	140	98¢	$137	0xc54dcc…
08-02 10:58:53	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x227890…
08-01 19:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x5c2ed8…
07-31 15:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x386e34…
07-31 07:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 31?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x03f4a4…
07-31 06:04:15	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0x6aa288…
07-31 02:12:08	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xf4ad05…
07-31 01:17:14	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x43ebf6…
07-30 23:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9e2f43…
07-30 23:10:05	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xa8f5d0…
07-30 23:05:09	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	120	84¢	$101	0xa207f1…
07-30 22:21:57	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xdb4ca6…
07-29 20:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 29?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x0316b6…
07-29 19:18:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	420	54¢	$227	0x08092e…
07-29 19:15:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	420	54¢	$227	0x940eec…
07-28 22:15:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	165	72¢	$118	0x4a32fe…
07-28 22:12:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	165	69¢	$114	0x098fef…
07-28 22:10:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xf94dd5…
07-28 17:30:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x72fd44…
07-28 17:25:11	will trump say afghanistan during tribute to lindsey graham 20260728013158837	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x0431df…
07-28 17:20:44	will trump say afghanistan during tribute to lindsey graham 20260728013158837	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xadc1d1…
07-28 16:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xd9dc33…
07-28 16:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 28?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x918531…