Incompatible-Odyssey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.2%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$969

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-31 21:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-21

Politics

16% — —

Crypto

14% 20% $-26

Sports

5% — —

Pop-Culture

5% 0% $-1

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	16	$136	178	178	+0	open	—	05-22 06:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$98	200	200	+0	open	—	05-01 07:21
Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$93	50	50	+0	Yes	$-2	05-03 21:29
Will Ice Spice be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$59	38	38	+0	No	$-0	05-03 22:30
Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	3	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	04-30 07:23
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	9	$47	89	49	+40	open	—	05-20 21:26
Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$39	40	40	+0	Yes	$-1	05-04 09:18
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	5	$37	45	35	+10	open	—	05-21 23:35
Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?	4	$34	21	21	+0	open	—	05-01 11:24
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	2	$34	50	0	+50	open	—	05-26 00:37
Will Trump say "Tariff" at The Villages on May 1?	5	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 12:36
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	4	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	04-29 14:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	7	$24	35	35	+0	Yes	$-12	05-05 05:51
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	05-22 18:04
Will Powell say "No Comment" during April press conference?	5	$23	48	0	+48	open	—	04-29 15:27
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-25 12:11
Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	3	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-21 23:59
Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-25 09:07
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 08:41
Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	6	$18	70	40	+30	Yes	$-17	05-04 03:00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	3	$16	28	12	+16	open	—	05-25 11:23
Will Trump say "Booming" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 01:12
Will Trump say "Deduction" at The Villages on May 1?	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 12:36
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	05-20 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	1	$8	25	0	+25	Up	$-8	05-06 09:06
Will Trump say "Fat" at The Villages on May 1?	3	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 10:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$6	20	0	+20	Down	$-6	05-14 00:23
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	2	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	05-20 15:44
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	2	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 21:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc8f7e4…
05-31 21:12:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x6065e2…
05-26 00:37:14	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x87e609…
05-26 00:37:12	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x351d36…
05-25 12:11:23	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x12f615…
05-25 12:11:12	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x2290bb…
05-25 11:23:52	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x189ef3…
05-25 10:28:39	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x065a14…
05-25 10:28:18	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xbca35e…
05-25 09:07:57	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xea3f15…
05-23 18:40:54	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x355613…
05-22 18:04:50	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xb3becd…
05-22 06:52:20	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x15c180…
05-22 06:38:52	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xa52e24…
05-22 04:08:29	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x127ea3…
05-22 00:01:49	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x2ea0b1…
05-21 23:59:39	Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xbf621a…
05-21 23:47:12	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x13d0ce…
05-21 23:39:48	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0xe59cf0…
05-21 23:39:39	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xc59ec1…
05-21 23:35:37	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x31a610…
05-21 23:34:10	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x75c377…
05-21 23:33:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xaecce8…
05-21 23:20:24	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xed4522…
05-21 23:19:54	Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xee5b1f…
05-21 23:17:17	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x57fe51…
05-21 23:17:15	Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x38873a…
05-21 22:41:42	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x999a0d…
05-21 22:39:08	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x775359…
05-21 22:06:22	Will Trump say "Booming" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xabe5bc…
05-21 21:41:12	Will Trump say "Booming" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa201da…
05-21 11:01:22	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x02ac31…
05-21 10:13:10	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb29a6b…
05-20 22:14:45	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0xc1970f…
05-20 21:46:28	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x27f722…
05-20 21:37:53	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x41f789…
05-20 21:26:38	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0xa7e9a2…
05-20 21:26:38	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x06e8fd…
05-20 20:41:38	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x1cdd9f…
05-20 19:50:23	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xdd79e5…
05-20 17:45:40	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x09f440…
05-20 17:14:40	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x572fbf…
05-20 15:44:09	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x4a7dfc…
05-20 14:13:23	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xfbe456…
05-20 11:32:15	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x171e04…
05-19 17:46:03	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa85269…
05-19 13:48:38	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x94e409…
05-19 13:19:46	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x282e65…
05-19 11:52:21	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x3550ec…
05-19 01:02:01	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x4bf9a5…
05-18 20:28:00	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x86f77c…
05-18 20:27:16	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x112352…
05-18 11:01:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x28f627…
05-14 00:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x18ff2c…
05-14 00:16:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd1122b…
05-13 12:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x7687b9…
05-13 01:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xba2bf9…
05-13 01:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd7f136…
05-09 10:56:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7f7cb2…
05-06 09:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xbb019e…
05-05 05:51:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	35	18¢	$6	0xd9bd04…
05-04 19:47:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xbba0b4…
05-04 19:46:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x22bba8…
05-04 19:46:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe3b364…
05-04 19:46:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x64e236…
05-04 19:44:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x532024…
05-04 19:44:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x038042…
05-04 09:18:58	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x33fdb1…
05-04 03:00:10	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xeee898…
05-04 03:00:10	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x1b756b…
05-04 03:00:08	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x6a8b11…
05-03 22:30:30	Will Ice Spice be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	38	77¢	$29	0x636aab…
05-03 22:10:32	Will Ice Spice be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x119221…
05-03 21:59:44	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xdb07bc…
05-03 21:59:12	Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x53ee35…
05-03 21:49:08	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x96e24d…
05-03 21:29:28	Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x00874e…
05-03 21:24:30	Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xde4c4e…
05-03 21:23:08	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xe61d2f…
05-02 16:07:46	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	70	25¢	$18	0x29bd1f…
05-01 12:36:46	Will Trump say "Tariff" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x562ae9…
05-01 12:36:00	Will Trump say "Deduction" at The Villages on May 1?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xdfbb94…
05-01 12:35:10	Will Trump say "Tariff" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x2f17bd…
05-01 12:35:08	Will Trump say "Tariff" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xd87fdc…
05-01 11:59:44	Will Trump say "Tariff" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x8a029d…
05-01 11:31:54	Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x7f9b40…
05-01 11:28:24	Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xeac634…
05-01 11:26:24	Will Trump say "Save America" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xe06dfe…
05-01 11:24:40	Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x5ca56b…
05-01 11:19:46	Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xb75c42…
05-01 10:42:50	Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc3882d…
05-01 10:42:00	Will Trump say "Fat" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x23633a…
05-01 10:07:10	Will Trump say "Fat" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x3869fa…
05-01 10:01:54	Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x8e330a…
05-01 09:51:44	Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xa7b10c…
05-01 09:45:20	Will Trump say "Save America" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3a2fb5…
05-01 08:59:08	Will Trump say "Fat" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x531afc…
05-01 08:44:22	Will Trump say "Tariff" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc4f858…
05-01 08:41:20	Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x511d57…
05-01 07:53:50	Will Trump say "Deduction" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe5fed0…