Incompatible-Odyssey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.0%

Resolved

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$1.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-31 21:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

61% 10% -$67

Politics

14% 50% -$2

Crypto

13% 22% -$31

Sports

5% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

4% 50% -$1

Tech

3% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	16	$136	178	178	+0	Yes	-$1	05-22 06:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$98	200	200	+0	Up	-$2	05-01 07:21
Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$93	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	05-03 21:29
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	3	$64	50	50	+0	Yes	-$4	05-26 01:35
Will Ice Spice be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$59	38	38	+0	No	$0	05-03 22:30
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 4?	7	$58	70	70	+0	No	-$7	05-04 10:13
Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	3	$58	30	30	+0	No	$0	04-30 07:23
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	9	$47	89	49	+40	No	-$1	05-20 21:26
Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$39	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	05-04 09:18
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	5	$37	45	35	+10	Yes	-$2	05-21 23:35
Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?	4	$34	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	05-01 11:24
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	6	$29	32	32	+0	No	-$1	05-21 18:29
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	4	$27	40	40	+0	No	-$3	05-22 01:29
Will Trump say "Tariff" at The Villages on May 1?	5	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 12:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	05-25 22:14
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	4	$25	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-29 14:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	7	$24	35	35	+0	Yes	-$12	05-05 05:51
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	2	$24	20	20	+0	No	-$3	05-22 18:04
Will Powell say "No Comment" during April press conference?	5	$23	48	0	+48	No	+$2	04-29 15:27
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	05-22 12:47
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	$0	05-25 12:11
Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	3	$20	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	05-21 23:59
Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	2	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	-$8	05-25 09:07
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?	2	$19	20	20	+0	No	-$1	05-01 08:41
Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	6	$18	70	40	+30	Yes	-$17	05-04 03:00
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	2	$17	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-23 09:55
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	3	$16	28	12	+16	Yes	-$1	05-25 11:23
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	4	$16	40	40	+0	No	$0	05-21 21:09
Will Trump say "Booming" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	2	$15	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	05-21 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 01:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 21:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc8f7e4…
05-31 21:12:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x6065e2…
05-26 01:35:53	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xbe96c0…
05-26 00:37:14	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x87e609…
05-26 00:37:12	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x351d36…
05-25 22:14:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xa51dff…
05-25 22:14:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x20023e…
05-25 12:11:23	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x12f615…
05-25 12:11:12	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x2290bb…
05-25 11:23:52	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x189ef3…
05-25 10:28:39	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x065a14…
05-25 10:28:18	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xbca35e…
05-25 09:07:57	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xea3f15…
05-23 18:40:54	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x355613…
05-23 09:55:59	Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xa04331…
05-23 00:18:24	Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x3a6092…
05-22 18:25:45	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x0e6386…
05-22 18:23:42	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x87a668…
05-22 18:04:50	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xb3becd…
05-22 12:47:19	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xb2833b…
05-22 12:35:59	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x7c47e9…
05-22 12:35:18	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xeeda16…
05-22 10:18:38	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x980b22…
05-22 10:18:24	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0xf828ec…
05-22 06:52:20	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x15c180…
05-22 06:38:52	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xa52e24…
05-22 04:24:19	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x30caeb…
05-22 04:08:29	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x127ea3…
05-22 03:55:23	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xe2e2bc…
05-22 01:29:36	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xc12904…
05-22 00:22:26	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xd42b22…
05-22 00:01:49	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x2ea0b1…
05-21 23:59:39	Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xbf621a…
05-21 23:47:12	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x13d0ce…
05-21 23:39:48	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0xe59cf0…
05-21 23:39:39	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xc59ec1…
05-21 23:35:37	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x31a610…
05-21 23:34:10	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x75c377…
05-21 23:33:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xaecce8…
05-21 23:20:24	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xed4522…
05-21 23:19:54	Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xee5b1f…
05-21 23:17:17	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x57fe51…
05-21 23:17:15	Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x38873a…
05-21 22:41:42	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x999a0d…
05-21 22:39:08	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x775359…
05-21 22:06:22	Will Trump say "Booming" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xabe5bc…
05-21 21:41:12	Will Trump say "Booming" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa201da…
05-21 21:09:00	Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x811cb6…
05-21 21:07:54	Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xac641f…
05-21 18:29:50	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	25	38¢	$10	0xea9dd2…
05-21 18:29:50	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$5	0x85d021…
05-21 18:27:11	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x14b956…
05-21 16:41:36	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x59f15c…
05-21 15:24:24	Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x1fd7ad…
05-21 14:24:08	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x62e5df…
05-21 14:12:14	Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xca87fb…
05-21 14:09:53	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	No	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xf15956…
05-21 11:01:22	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x02ac31…
05-21 10:13:10	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb29a6b…
05-20 22:14:45	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0xc1970f…
05-20 21:46:28	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x27f722…
05-20 21:37:53	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x41f789…
05-20 21:26:38	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0xa7e9a2…
05-20 21:26:38	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x73f6f4…
05-20 21:26:38	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x06e8fd…
05-20 20:41:38	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x1cdd9f…
05-20 20:06:32	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x3e9f26…
05-20 19:50:23	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xdd79e5…
05-20 17:45:40	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x09f440…
05-20 17:14:40	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x572fbf…
05-20 15:44:09	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x4a7dfc…
05-20 14:13:23	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xfbe456…
05-20 11:32:15	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x171e04…
05-19 17:46:03	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa85269…
05-19 13:48:38	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x94e409…
05-19 13:19:46	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x282e65…
05-19 11:52:21	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x3550ec…
05-19 01:02:01	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x4bf9a5…
05-18 20:28:00	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x86f77c…
05-18 20:27:16	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x112352…
05-18 11:01:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x28f627…
05-18 11:01:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x9574cc…
05-17 23:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 18?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xda3362…
05-17 23:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xa76f2f…
05-17 23:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?	No	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x475a98…
05-17 06:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 17?	No	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x0fa1bc…
05-17 05:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x707250…
05-16 22:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 17?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x24d99e…
05-16 18:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?	No	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0x53c684…
05-16 11:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x6ea65b…
05-16 09:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x962e3e…
05-16 09:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf8a591…
05-16 05:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x31faf9…
05-16 04:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xd0a30b…
05-15 23:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xf88ade…
05-15 23:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x7ac1a5…
05-15 23:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	94	3¢	$3	0x48201b…
05-15 23:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0xed680a…
05-15 23:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0xa1868d…
05-15 10:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xc6dc8e…