Realized P&L
+$804
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
86.4%
Resolved
96
Trades
2,689
lifetime
Volume
$465.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$173
Open exposure
$2.76K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-01 00:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Sports
59% 77% +$743
Other
19% 53% $-156
Politics
19% 92% +$217
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -706 $-705 100¢ $-705 +$0 07-01 00:17
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +536 $500 100¢ $535 +$35 06-03 02:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +505 $300 70¢ $351 +$51 06-30 13:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -321 $-345 99¢ $-319 +$26 07-01 00:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -130 $-140 100¢ $-129 +$11 07-01 00:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +714 $100 16¢ $118 +$18 06-23 22:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +120 $100 88¢ $105 +$5 06-02 01:41
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30? No +102 $100 100¢ $101 +$1 06-02 12:44
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? No +106 $100 94¢ $100 +$0 06-03 12:03
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +106 $100 94¢ $100 $-0 06-30 13:31
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +105 $100 94¢ $99 $-1 06-03 02:39
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +139 $100 68¢ $94 $-6 06-30 13:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +1,170 $100 $1 $-99 06-11 12:45