Green-Birdwatcher 0x3458ae…efb5a7 Create alert
whale hot 23W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$561
Hit rate
85.9%
Resolved
2,459
Trades
3,748
lifetime
Volume
$681.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$182
Open exposure
$7.82K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-08 00:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 250 days
Categories
Sports
46% 71% +$5,503
Other
30% 80% +$741
Politics
22% 74% +$5,928
Crypto
2% 70% -$1,288
Tech
0% 94% +$360
Pop-Culture
0% 20% -$106
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +2,165 $1,650 86¢ $1.9K +$201 10-24 12:41
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1,234 -$1,111 82¢ $-1016 +$95 11-04 03:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +1,513 $1,003 65¢ $984 -$19 10-16 15:21
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +429 $400 98¢ $422 +$22 10-19 17:22
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +297 $200 90¢ $269 +$69 07-14 02:59
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +226 $200 99¢ $224 +$24 08-29 20:07
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +244 $200 86¢ $210 +$10 11-01 15:44
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +213 $200 99¢ $210 +$10 08-29 18:05
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +294 $200 67¢ $196 -$4 11-08 00:18
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -166 -$148 94¢ $-156 -$8 10-11 22:33
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +153 $100 97¢ $149 +$49 07-16 02:19
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -147 -$144 97¢ $-143 +$1 10-11 22:34
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -137 -$148 97¢ $-133 +$15 11-01 16:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +130 $100 97¢ $126 +$26 08-23 20:30
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -120 -$117 99¢ $-120 -$3 06-23 23:02
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -119 -$116 98¢ $-116 +$0 10-11 22:34
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No -125 -$118 92¢ $-115 +$3 10-11 22:33
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +115 $100 98¢ $113 +$13 05-04 21:14
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No -116 -$129 97¢ $-112 +$18 10-11 22:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +114 $100 98¢ $112 +$12 08-29 20:07
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -114 -$107 98¢ $-111 -$4 10-11 22:34
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +114 $100 96¢ $110 +$10 11-06 14:36
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? Yes +118 $100 93¢ $109 +$9 09-20 05:29
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +108 $100 98¢ $105 +$5 05-13 03:02
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? No +106 $100 99¢ $105 +$5 06-03 12:03
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +106 $100 97¢ $103 +$3 05-13 01:31
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +105 $100 98¢ $103 +$3 06-03 02:39
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +106 $100 97¢ $103 +$3 08-29 20:38
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +112 $100 87¢ $98 -$2 06-03 12:00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +117 $100 83¢ $97 -$3 07-12 00:13