Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?
open
Total volume
$1,355
$137 in 24h
Trades
110
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$1,434
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-10-01
last 10-30 16:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.8¢
(top1%: 42% YES on $100
vs crowd: 50% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $331 | $188 | +$143 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $159 | $231 | $73 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $47 | $112 | $65 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $42 | $58 | $15 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $2 | $69 | $67 |
| Below median | 1 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $22 | $71 | $49 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $84 | $75 | +$10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 14 | $374 | $260 | +$114 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | +406 | $200 | $200 | 18 | 10-28 13:01 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Texas | +162 | $90 | $90 | 4 | 10-28 13:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa8df…58c9 | Texas | +160 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 10-15 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Maine | +142 | $63 | $63 | 2 | 10-30 16:24 |
| Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Texas | +112 | $66 | $72 | 4 | 10-28 18:47 |
| Well-Off-Crayon 0xdb97…eee8 | Texas | +101 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 10-28 18:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | Texas | +80 | $37 | $37 | 4 | 10-20 03:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Maine | +40 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 10-01 09:52 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Maine | +40 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-27 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Texas | +40 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 10-01 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Maine | +30 | $16 | $39 | 4 | 10-28 18:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Texas | +30 | $16 | $24 | 4 | 10-28 18:47 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Texas | +28 | $28 | $57 | 4 | 10-26 07:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Maine | +22 | $11 | $32 | 3 | 10-16 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Texas | +22 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-02 00:27 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Maine | +21 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-28 18:47 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Maine | +20 | $10 | $34 | 3 | 10-28 18:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xb678…299e | Maine | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-27 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | Maine | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-15 14:18 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Texas | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-28 18:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | Texas | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-14 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Maine | +15 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-01 15:27 |
| Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Maine | +10 | $6 | $42 | 3 | 10-16 16:47 |
| Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Texas | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-11 16:41 |
| Hurtful-Nuke 0xd886…1746 | Texas | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-16 04:00 |
| Accomplished-Fallingout 0x19fc…1a12 | Maine | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-01 09:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 16:24:52 | Authorized-Mandolin 0xf903…e028 | Maine | SELL | 137 | 44¢ | $60 | 0xab5327… |
| 10-30 16:24:52 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Maine | BUY | 137 | 44¢ | $60 | 0xab5327… |
| 10-28 18:47:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Texas | SELL | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x307a3b… |
| 10-28 18:47:46 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x4ab2bb… |
| 10-28 18:47:46 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x4ab2bb… |
| 10-28 18:47:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Texas | SELL | 0 | 53¢ | $0 | 0xffdd64… |
| 10-28 18:47:46 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Texas | BUY | 15 | 54¢ | $8 | 0xffdd64… |
| 10-28 18:47:46 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Texas | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x4a5f13… |
| 10-28 18:47:46 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | Texas | SELL | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0xffdd64… |
| 10-28 18:47:46 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Texas | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x4a5f13… |
| 10-28 18:47:46 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Maine | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xffdd64… |
| 10-28 18:47:46 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Maine | BUY | 21 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x4ab2bb… |
| 10-28 18:47:46 | Well-Off-Crayon 0xdb97…eee8 | Texas | BUY | 61 | 52¢ | $32 | 0x4ab2bb… |
| 10-28 18:47:46 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Texas | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x307a3b… |
| 10-28 13:02:14 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Texas | SELL | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0xe60c74… |
| 10-28 13:02:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Texas | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0xe60c74… |
| 10-28 13:01:49 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Texas | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0xefa158… |
| 10-28 13:01:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0xefa158… |
| 10-27 02:48:02 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x821306… |
| 10-27 02:48:02 | Well-Off-Crayon 0xdb97…eee8 | Texas | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x821306… |
| 10-27 02:48:02 | (anonymous) 0xb678…299e | Maine | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x821306… |
| 10-26 07:57:24 | (anonymous) 0xb678…299e | Texas | SELL | 30 | 41¢ | $12 | 0x51f78f… |
| 10-26 07:57:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Texas | BUY | 40 | 41¢ | $16 | 0x51f78f… |
| 10-26 07:57:24 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Texas | SELL | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x51f78f… |
| 10-26 07:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Maine | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x7fe445… |
| 10-26 07:55:35 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | Maine | SELL | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x7fe445… |
| 10-26 07:55:33 | (anonymous) 0xb678…299e | Texas | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x0b6905… |
| 10-26 07:55:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Maine | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x0b6905… |
| 10-26 07:55:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 70 | 54¢ | $38 | 0x0b6905… |
| 10-26 07:55:33 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Texas | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x0b6905… |
| 10-26 07:55:33 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Texas | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x0b6905… |
| 10-23 20:15:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 8 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x7a4452… |
| 10-23 20:15:23 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Texas | BUY | 8 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x7a4452… |
| 10-20 03:20:38 | (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | Texas | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x95eb7e… |
| 10-20 03:20:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0x95eb7e… |
| 10-18 19:07:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x4db4f9… |
| 10-18 19:07:08 | (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | Texas | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x4db4f9… |
| 10-17 07:58:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x8ecfeb… |
| 10-17 07:58:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Maine | SELL | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x8ecfeb… |
| 10-16 21:48:06 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x9f48d6… |
| 10-16 21:48:06 | Hard-To-Find-Emerald 0xc798…8aab | Maine | SELL | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x9f48d6… |
| 10-16 16:47:54 | Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Maine | SELL | 30 | 59¢ | $18 | 0xef27f9… |
| 10-16 16:47:54 | Hard-To-Find-Emerald 0xc798…8aab | Maine | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0xef27f9… |
| 10-16 16:47:54 | (anonymous) 0xb678…299e | Texas | SELL | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xef27f9… |
| 10-16 04:00:01 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Maine | SELL | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x5808e7… |
| 10-16 04:00:01 | Hurtful-Nuke 0xd886…1746 | Texas | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x5808e7… |
| 10-16 04:00:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 46 | 54¢ | $25 | 0x5808e7… |
| 10-16 04:00:01 | (anonymous) 0xb678…299e | Texas | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x5808e7… |
| 10-15 16:18:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x2fd6b8… |
| 10-15 16:18:44 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Maine | SELL | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x2fd6b8… |
| 10-15 14:26:59 | (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | Maine | SELL | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0xe89eca… |
| 10-15 14:26:59 | Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0xe89eca… |
| 10-15 14:20:32 | Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x3531ec… |
| 10-15 14:20:32 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Maine | SELL | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x3531ec… |
| 10-15 14:18:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0xd3bc25… |
| 10-15 14:18:50 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Maine | SELL | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0xd3bc25… |
| 10-15 14:18:26 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Texas | SELL | 40 | 37¢ | $15 | 0x4fddbb… |
| 10-15 14:18:26 | (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | Maine | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x4fddbb… |
| 10-15 14:18:26 | (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x4fddbb… |
| 10-15 14:18:26 | (anonymous) 0xa8df…58c9 | Texas | BUY | 160 | 37¢ | $60 | 0x4fddbb… |
| 10-15 14:18:26 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x4fddbb… |
| 10-15 14:18:26 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Maine | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x4fddbb… |
| 10-15 14:18:26 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x4fddbb… |
| 10-15 14:18:26 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x4fddbb… |
| 10-14 01:59:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x10aac9… |
| 10-14 01:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | Texas | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x10aac9… |
| 10-12 12:48:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0x701ad7… |
| 10-12 12:48:08 | (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | Texas | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x701ad7… |
| 10-12 07:08:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x913226… |
| 10-12 07:08:01 | (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | Texas | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x913226… |
| 10-11 16:41:04 | Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Texas | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x891997… |
| 10-11 16:41:04 | Thorny-Cashew 0x57cd…82ac | Texas | SELL | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x891997… |
| 10-08 13:51:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Texas | SELL | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x54eef8… |
| 10-08 13:51:15 | (anonymous) 0xe3a0…5793 | Texas | SELL | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x54eef8… |
| 10-08 13:51:15 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Texas | BUY | 40 | 55¢ | $22 | 0x54eef8… |
| 10-08 11:44:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Texas | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x13903a… |
| 10-08 11:44:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x13903a… |
| 10-08 11:42:23 | (anonymous) 0xe3a0…5793 | Texas | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x97fde3… |
| 10-08 11:42:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x97fde3… |
| 10-08 09:34:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0xbc0162… |
| 10-08 09:34:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Texas | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0xbc0162… |
| 10-05 03:40:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x933f90… |
| 10-05 03:40:04 | Thorny-Cashew 0x57cd…82ac | Texas | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x933f90… |
| 10-02 00:27:08 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Texas | BUY | 22 | 60¢ | $13 | 0xbffaaa… |
| 10-02 00:27:08 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Maine | BUY | 22 | 40¢ | $9 | 0x1caadc… |
| 10-02 00:27:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Maine | BUY | 22 | 40¢ | $9 | 0xbffaaa… |
| 10-02 00:27:08 | (anonymous) 0x4e90…e295 | Maine | SELL | 22 | 40¢ | $9 | 0x1caadc… |
| 10-01 15:27:35 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Texas | BUY | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0x9658c7… |
| 10-01 15:27:35 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Maine | BUY | 15 | 40¢ | $6 | 0x9658c7… |
| 10-01 12:42:03 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Texas | BUY | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0x4f2686… |
| 10-01 12:42:03 | Nautical-Moody 0x6090…6dbb | Texas | SELL | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0x4f2686… |
| 10-01 09:52:53 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Texas | BUY | 62 | 56¢ | $35 | 0x5860bf… |
| 10-01 09:52:53 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Maine | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x5860bf… |
| 10-01 09:52:53 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Texas | SELL | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0x5860bf… |
| 10-01 09:52:53 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Texas | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x9a7545… |
| 10-01 09:52:53 | Accomplished-Fallingout 0x19fc…1a12 | Maine | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x9a7545… |
| 10-01 09:52:53 | (anonymous) 0x4e90…e295 | Maine | BUY | 22 | 44¢ | $10 | 0x5860bf… |
| 10-01 08:38:05 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Texas | BUY | 57 | 62¢ | $35 | 0xbc0888… |
| 10-01 08:38:05 | Authorized-Mandolin 0xf903…e028 | Maine | BUY | 57 | 38¢ | $22 | 0xbc0888… |
| 10-01 08:36:51 | Nautical-Moody 0x6090…6dbb | Texas | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x7b27e8… |