Accomplished-Fallingout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$932

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

4,746

Trades

13,971

lifetime

Volume

$31.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-15 09:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 53% +$987

Other

2% 18% -$56

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 325 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?	40	$97	156	156	+0	open	—	09-30 19:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	14	$42	60	25	+35	No	-$1	05-14 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	15	$41	70	0	+70	Down	+$29	06-07 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 04:05 UTC	14	$37	70	0	+70	Up	-$37	06-09 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 09:45 UTC	14	$36	55	0	+55	Up	+$19	06-27 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	18	$36	75	0	+75	Up	-$36	05-30 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	24	$36	106	106	+0	No	+$7	05-17 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	17	$36	70	0	+70	Up	+$34	05-31 00:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:25 UTC	17	$36	70	0	+70	Up	+$34	06-06 23:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:05 UTC	12	$36	60	0	+60	Down	+$24	06-12 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	10	$36	50	0	+50	Up	+$14	05-26 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:00 UTC	12	$35	60	0	+60	Up	+$25	06-11 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:15 UTC	22	$35	60	0	+60	Up	+$25	06-07 06:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:55 UTC	11	$34	53	0	+53	Up	+$18	08-10 17:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 06:25 UTC	11	$34	55	0	+55	Up	+$21	06-09 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	4	$34	24	24	+0	Up	+$10	10-07 03:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 06:30 UTC	10	$34	50	0	+50	Up	+$16	06-18 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	7	$33	31	16	+15	Down	+$4	09-25 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:55 UTC	10	$32	50	0	+50	Up	-$32	06-09 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:50 UTC	13	$32	65	0	+65	Down	+$33	06-11 01:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:10 UTC	11	$31	51	0	+51	Up	-$31	06-30 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:30 UTC	17	$31	65	0	+65	Up	-$31	06-07 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	12	$31	60	0	+60	Up	+$29	05-25 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	13	$31	65	0	+65	Down	+$34	05-26 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:00 UTC	8	$30	32	27	+5	Down	-$5	09-24 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:10 UTC	9	$30	45	0	+45	Down	+$15	08-11 04:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 20:35 UTC	9	$30	45	0	+45	Up	-$30	06-13 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	12	$29	50	0	+50	Up	+$21	05-31 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:30 UTC	5	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	09-21 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 22?	15	$29	50	30	+20	Yes	-$1	05-22 06:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 09:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd8fa2f…
10-15 09:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xcf3564…
10-15 09:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb0bcee…
10-15 09:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5d1dd5…
10-15 09:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x12f34e…
10-15 09:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x265629…
10-15 08:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfb33f4…
10-15 08:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x485b36…
10-15 08:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x206fe6…
10-15 08:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1909f8…
10-15 04:57:56	will the uss george hw bush be in centcom on october 31 2026	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xefdf4b…
10-15 02:30:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xcfc5c1…
10-15 02:29:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb24849…
10-15 02:27:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2407f3…
10-15 02:11:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbd5082…
10-15 02:11:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x96931c…
10-15 02:11:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x78a694…
10-15 02:11:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x07416f…
10-15 01:35:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6793df…
10-15 01:10:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x890337…
10-15 00:57:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9cc377…
10-15 00:57:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7bfa3d…
10-15 00:57:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8976e8…
10-15 00:57:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd6035d…
10-15 00:57:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfb8df7…
10-15 00:57:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc202be…
10-14 23:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd71670…
10-14 23:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x466a12…
10-14 23:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x16f714…
10-14 23:18:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x797306…
10-14 22:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf7b2fe…
10-14 22:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe189de…
10-14 22:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7f52c6…
10-14 22:24:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:25 UTC	Down	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0xb07f42…
10-14 22:23:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa725c4…
10-14 22:23:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x2ad744…
10-14 22:23:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x016964…
10-14 15:09:10	Will Beezie launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xaca37a…
10-14 14:32:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xecc260…
10-14 14:31:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa04049…
10-14 14:20:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x94f010…
10-14 14:20:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2a30a8…
10-14 14:18:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x454ee6…
10-14 14:16:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0f7e62…
10-14 14:07:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3f8f72…
10-14 14:05:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x429421…
10-14 12:42:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xde0dc1…
10-14 12:40:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x719054…
10-14 12:36:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc4ffc3…
10-14 12:35:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x8e0674…
10-14 12:25:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x133f46…
10-14 12:25:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb2b7d9…
10-14 12:05:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x43a8cf…
10-14 12:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd22a49…
10-14 12:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1593b7…
10-14 11:59:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5e598b…
10-14 11:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4ed48f…
10-14 11:52:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe4b032…
10-14 11:44:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe3a392…
10-14 11:44:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7edd1b…
10-14 11:43:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfd76a9…
10-14 11:42:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:40 UTC	Down	SELL	20	63¢	$12	0x35205b…
10-14 11:41:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe01830…
10-14 11:41:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8f563a…
10-14 11:40:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc361c8…
10-14 11:40:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x98fda2…
10-14 11:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xff7e68…
10-14 11:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x7600a6…
10-14 11:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x04df3a…
10-14 11:29:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc9c21a…
10-14 11:29:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3f3d0f…
10-14 11:21:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xee6ff3…
10-14 10:32:13	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x6c829d…
10-14 10:30:50	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd4ba58…
10-14 08:06:46	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x94cbb4…
10-14 07:50:49	Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	No	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x50c29a…
10-14 07:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xcd15bc…
10-14 07:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb58ca5…
10-14 07:05:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x82387f…
10-14 07:04:22	Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xf57f3a…
10-14 06:41:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x839465…
10-14 06:41:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xffabf3…
10-14 06:41:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbd85eb…
10-14 06:41:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x11c899…
10-14 06:36:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x924915…
10-14 06:36:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xae0a13…
10-14 06:36:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb23822…
10-14 06:27:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd68b26…
10-14 06:25:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xde16a6…
10-14 05:52:52	Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa2f253…
10-13 13:33:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9c0e46…
10-13 11:40:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbb433d…
10-13 11:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6dc42a…
10-13 10:02:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc5e43a…
10-13 09:57:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8776bf…
10-13 09:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x81beff…
10-13 09:57:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xeb03ea…
10-13 09:57:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x911e8d…
10-13 09:42:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc51f65…
10-13 09:42:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf90601…