Thorny-Cashew 0x57cd8c…4282ac
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$9.67K
Unrealized P&L
+$278
Hit rate
70.9%
Resolved
346
Trades
1,937
lifetime
Volume
$165.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$4.91K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-31 17:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Politics
64% 53% +$11,401
Other
28% 39% +$86
Sports
8% 41% -$1,862
Crypto
0% 80% +$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2,600 $1,269 70¢ $1.8K +$564 06-09 19:55
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No -840 -$576 80¢ $-676 -$100 10-12 16:00
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +600 $390 68¢ $411 +$21 06-11 05:34
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes -497 -$343 80¢ $-400 -$57 10-11 04:54
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +500 $230 72¢ $358 +$128 06-04 19:35
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +200 $156 94¢ $189 +$33 05-09 17:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +215 $120 74¢ $158 +$38 06-04 19:28
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -159 -$148 98¢ $-156 -$8 05-23 05:49
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No -512 -$143 26¢ $-136 +$8 10-21 04:01
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +250 $98 48¢ $121 +$24 10-06 15:56
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,500 $117 3¢ $115 -$2 10-31 17:57
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +100 $83 86¢ $86 +$3 10-05 03:08
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +50 $46 93¢ $46 +$0 10-05 03:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +62 -$16 70¢ $44 +$60 10-05 03:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +75 $42 50¢ $38 -$4 10-27 01:41
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +5,150 $101 1¢ $28 -$73 06-09 19:54
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +30 $22 84¢ $25 +$4 10-05 03:23
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $22 92¢ $23 +$1 10-05 03:06
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $26 12¢ $23 -$3 10-20 03:57
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +55 $15 26¢ $15 $0 10-31 23:06
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes +14 $9 77¢ $11 +$2 10-06 15:00
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes +7,099 $54 0¢ $11 -$44 05-09 22:20
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +20 $4 32¢ $6 +$2 10-05 03:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +350 $77 1¢ $3 -$73 10-19 03:05
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? Yes +320 $21 0¢ $2 -$19 10-14 13:47
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +992 $226 0¢ $1 -$224 06-04 15:30