Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$513

Unrealized P&L

-$132

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

Trades

546

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-12

last 10-29 11:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

95% 71% -$349

Pop-Culture

2% 17% -$48

Tech

1% — —

Politics

1% 0% -$116

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No		+4,746	$134	0¢	$5	-$130	10-27 10:12
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+202	$3	0¢	$0	-$2	10-28 11:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	53	$3.8K	11,900	0	+11,900	Yes	-$384	10-26 21:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	46	$2.3K	9,200	0	+9,200	No	-$308	10-26 21:01
Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	3	$1.9K	1,998	0	+1,998	Yes	+$60	10-15 18:07
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	13	$1.1K	1,471	101	+1,370	open	—	10-28 11:25
Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in September?	7	$1.0K	1,060	0	+1,060	No	+$32	10-13 17:29
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	40	$705	1,604	100	+1,504	Yes	+$20	10-23 08:28
Will "Clayface" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$528	540	0	+540	No	+$12	10-21 21:39
will street fighter score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261019	2	$483	505	0	+505	No	+$22	10-14 20:15
Will "Clayface" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	21	$419	610	0	+610	Yes	-$77	10-24 23:20
will whalefall score at least 76 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	12	$405	463	0	+463	No	+$59	10-19 07:23
Will "Clayface" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	8	$375	391	0	+391	Yes	+$16	10-21 19:44
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$357	468	0	+468	open	—	10-28 18:36
Will "Clayface" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$331	440	0	+440	No	+$108	10-21 15:48
Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	40	$311	541	0	+541	Yes	+$230	10-24 14:42
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	14	$290	407	0	+407	Yes	-$171	10-18 13:48
Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?	2	$278	283	0	+283	open	—	10-26 11:52
Will "Klara and the Sun" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	19	$248	567	0	+567	Yes	-$59	10-23 14:38
Will "Street Fighter" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	8	$240	263	0	+263	No	+$23	10-15 16:17
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	19	$231	271	31	+240	No	-$15	10-24 06:22
Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?	3	$216	254	0	+254	Yes	+$37	10-15 01:43
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$210	252	0	+252	open	—	10-28 21:39
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$191	200	0	+200	open	—	10-24 13:34
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	3	$176	294	0	+294	open	—	10-17 16:23
Will "Klara and the Sun" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	7	$162	179	0	+179	Yes	+$17	10-24 19:20
Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	17	$161	322	13	+309	Yes	+$56	10-26 18:32
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$134	4,746	0	+4,746	open	—	10-27 10:12
Will "Whalefall" score at least 78 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	3	$125	158	0	+158	No	+$33	10-15 17:08
Will "Wildwood" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$108	109	0	+109	Yes	+$2	10-21 20:56
Will "Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	6	$106	108	0	+108	No	+$2	10-15 02:20
Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?	3	$87	107	0	+107	open	—	10-21 13:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:10:26	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	48	91¢	$44	0xdb40f9…
10-29 09:05:17	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x9444c8…
10-29 03:00:22	will the diplomat season 4 be the 2 global netflix show this week 20261103	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa8323b…
10-29 02:56:31	Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3e7807…
10-29 01:00:11	will sacrifice be the 2 us netflix movie this week 20261103	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8cc03c…
10-29 00:29:25	will the diplomat season 4 be the top global netflix show this week 20261103	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xda9a15…
10-29 00:28:49	will the diplomat season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 20261103	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2853d6…
10-29 00:18:04	will the diplomat season 4 be the 2 us netflix show this week 20261103	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x999c15…
10-29 00:04:26	will sacrifice be the top us netflix movie this week 20261103	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x623c11…
10-28 21:39:11	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xc65015…
10-28 20:06:52	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0xa3c1ff…
10-28 20:06:52	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x5d1581…
10-28 20:06:50	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	220	1¢	$1	0x5ce26b…
10-28 20:06:49	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xf110e5…
10-28 20:06:47	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x00131b…
10-28 20:05:50	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0xf24080…
10-28 20:05:50	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x9b6c59…
10-28 20:05:50	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	217	1¢	$1	0x744e3a…
10-28 20:05:49	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd89be8…
10-28 20:05:47	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xf1ac2c…
10-28 18:36:02	Will "Ebenezer" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe862ab…
10-28 13:52:14	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	67¢	$22	0x7f5404…
10-28 11:25:49	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	SELL	28	69¢	$19	0x122b21…
10-28 11:25:37	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x5eb161…
10-28 11:18:43	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	202	1¢	$3	0xca5c66…
10-28 07:29:50	Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate at the November meeting?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x49c1f2…
10-28 07:29:19	Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate at the November meeting?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x13f925…
10-27 21:44:23	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xeee8fc…
10-27 21:44:23	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0x8e8cc0…
10-27 21:44:21	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0xe72e61…
10-27 21:44:21	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0x2bc660…
10-27 21:44:20	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0x045905…
10-27 19:23:39	Will "Ebenezer" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	75	63¢	$47	0x3350a0…
10-27 18:24:47	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x1ed669…
10-27 16:01:20	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	89	2¢	$1	0x65f1c4…
10-27 13:28:24	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	136	33¢	$45	0x7156d3…
10-27 12:59:35	Will "Ebenezer" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0x1ca8a7…
10-27 11:31:24	Will "Ebenezer" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	203	77¢	$156	0x0b6075…
10-27 11:31:21	Will "Ebenezer" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xd90332…
10-27 10:12:32	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,179	2¢	$50	0x4490ae…
10-27 02:51:41	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x3ed57a…
10-26 21:24:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x54532f…
10-26 21:24:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x16b756…
10-26 21:24:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x7857fb…
10-26 21:24:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x73c516…
10-26 21:24:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x69819e…
10-26 21:23:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xa744cc…
10-26 21:23:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x5161c5…
10-26 21:23:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x18de4b…
10-26 21:23:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x318d74…
10-26 21:23:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x2bf52b…
10-26 21:22:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x84b8b8…
10-26 21:22:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xa47f40…
10-26 21:22:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x54618f…
10-26 21:22:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x6d2bbd…
10-26 21:22:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x40965d…
10-26 21:01:56	Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x9079dd…
10-26 21:01:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xb3d94e…
10-26 21:01:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x66b481…
10-26 21:01:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x566c14…
10-26 21:00:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x7482c2…
10-26 21:00:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xf595cd…
10-26 21:00:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x87f3d5…
10-26 21:00:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x6ce28d…
10-26 21:00:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x0ead58…
10-26 20:59:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x595f39…
10-26 20:59:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x1df73a…
10-26 20:59:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xf0abe3…
10-26 20:59:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xe27a3b…
10-26 20:59:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xda19cc…
10-26 20:58:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x1a9915…
10-26 20:58:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x0a2086…
10-26 20:58:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x770cad…
10-26 20:58:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x5b81af…
10-26 20:58:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xa9ab79…
10-26 20:54:06	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xdad9cb…
10-26 18:32:00	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0833ad…
10-26 18:17:35	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x7bad0e…
10-26 18:01:17	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2978cc…
10-26 17:13:39	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0xb5b80d…
10-26 16:53:08	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	SELL	73	80¢	$58	0xaafd33…
10-26 16:49:35	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	73	82¢	$60	0x80ba6b…
10-26 16:07:12	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xc139c2…
10-26 15:38:36	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x0a4d30…
10-26 15:36:12	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xe67d6e…
10-26 15:33:45	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	28	24¢	$7	0xe28750…
10-26 15:33:38	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0x81e7ab…
10-26 15:31:44	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x971c55…
10-26 15:10:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$185	0xdff415…
10-26 14:50:56	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa6e4fd…
10-26 13:28:56	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	880	3¢	$29	0x5144bf…
10-26 13:20:42	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xaba6e0…
10-26 13:19:41	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x2599ac…
10-26 12:22:29	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	144	21¢	$30	0x9bdeab…
10-26 11:52:54	Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	243	98¢	$239	0xd150bc…
10-26 11:51:06	Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x05d810…
10-26 11:48:35	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	867	3¢	$28	0x9f78ff…
10-26 11:47:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,500	5¢	$74	0x40ab82…
10-26 07:19:20	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x920f77…
10-26 04:49:51	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$7	0xee93f7…