Well-Off-Crayon 0xdb976e…67eee8
whale hot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5.25K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.43K
Hit rate
58.2%
Resolved
609
Trades
4,062
lifetime
Volume
$495.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$122
Open exposure
$41.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 18:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Politics
43% 49% -$8,394
Other
36% 55% +$10,365
Sports
12% 62% +$4,311
Crypto
7% 22% -$34
Tech
2% 40% -$607
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$388
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +6,200 $3,578 68¢ $4.2K +$669 10-21 18:41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +7,500 $3,880 55¢ $4.1K +$223 10-22 15:26
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +3,900 $2,144 70¢ $2.7K +$586 10-18 09:51
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,800 $2,218 70¢ $2.7K +$461 10-16 13:42
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +3,500 $2,488 70¢ $2.4K -$56 10-19 11:19
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +3,800 $2,362 64¢ $2.4K +$51 10-26 21:23
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,100 $2,083 74¢ $2.3K +$227 10-16 12:56
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,053 74¢ $2.2K +$182 10-05 18:53
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +4,000 $1,583 55¢ $2.2K +$597 10-21 18:02
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $1,339 38¢ $1.5K +$201 10-27 18:16
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +3,700 $1,228 40¢ $1.5K +$234 10-06 21:37
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +8,000 $1,618 18¢ $1.4K -$218 10-26 22:53
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +3,200 $1,518 42¢ $1.3K -$190 10-27 18:15
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,300 $984 68¢ $891 -$93 10-17 19:33
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +1,400 $701 62¢ $875 +$174 10-21 18:33
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +1,200 $668 64¢ $774 +$106 10-20 22:47
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,200 $780 63¢ $756 -$24 10-21 18:41
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,900 $1,708 26¢ $739 -$969 10-26 14:15
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +1,600 $537 40¢ $648 +$111 10-23 16:59
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +1,900 $599 34¢ $636 +$38 10-22 08:40
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +800 $451 80¢ $636 +$185 10-19 12:55
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +1,400 $493 45¢ $630 +$137 10-22 08:39
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +700 $382 80¢ $556 +$174 10-27 12:14
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,300 $555 42¢ $546 -$9 10-10 18:51
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $326 68¢ $473 +$146 09-12 13:27
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +1,300 $401 34¢ $442 +$41 10-25 23:26
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +1,300 $450 34¢ $442 -$8 10-22 15:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +900 -$112 44¢ $392 +$503 10-26 13:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +1,000 $310 39¢ $390 +$80 10-19 14:31
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +12,000 $508 3¢ $378 -$130 10-19 14:36