Intrepid-Water — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.96K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

2,499

Trades

7,274

lifetime

Volume

$229.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 10-24 13:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 167 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 38% -$3,457

Sports

6% 32% -$1,039

Other

5% 11% -$1,954

Politics

1% 11% -$500

Tech

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+1,250	$5	0¢	$4	-$1	10-07 07:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 06:15 UTC	7	$3.8K	3,849	3,024	+825	Down	-$95	04-03 06:26
bitcoin above 74k on april 15	6	$3.3K	3,235	3,134	+102	No	-$288	04-15 15:53
bitcoin above 64k on june 20 2026	17	$2.6K	1,589	1,498	+91	Yes	+$88	06-20 16:00
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	9	$2.6K	2,708	2,608	+100	Knicks	-$286	06-06 03:26
bitcoin above 66k on april 2	4	$2.5K	1,779	1,744	+35	Yes	-$10	04-02 10:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 14:45 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,204	1,200	+4	Down	+$43	04-02 14:48
bitcoin above 72k on april 13	2	$2.3K	1,516	1,482	+34	No	+$223	04-13 15:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 13	4	$2.2K	1,530	1,458	+72	Yes	-$87	04-13 15:51
bitcoin above 76k on april 15	2	$2.2K	1,364	1,343	+21	No	+$111	04-14 18:41
will bitcoin dip to 69k on april 12	2	$2.1K	1,141	1,127	+14	No	+$179	04-13 02:04
bitcoin above 60k on june 25 2026	5	$2.0K	1,477	1,106	+371	No	-$201	06-25 15:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 16:00 UTC	2	$2.0K	1,012	1,011	+1	Up	+$8	03-31 16:16
will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	3	$2.0K	1,356	1,315	+42	No	+$460	04-12 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 11:45 UTC	2	$2.0K	993	992	+1	Down	+$1	04-02 11:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 04:45 UTC	6	$2.0K	1,295	1,264	+31	Up	+$255	04-02 05:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 15	4	$1.9K	2,156	2,090	+66	No	-$472	04-15 13:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 05:20 UTC	3	$1.9K	1,209	1,181	+27	Down	+$246	04-03 05:23
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	4	$1.8K	1,190	1,023	+167	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$237	05-31 17:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 08:15 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,557	1,502	+55	Down	+$196	04-02 08:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	4	$1.7K	919	919	+0	Yes	+$118	05-19 16:00
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$1.6K	1,404	1,053	+351	Spurs	+$361	05-25 01:35
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$1.6K	1,266	1,266	+0	No	+$2	05-30 19:12
bitcoin above 64k on march 31	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$13	03-31 13:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 15:00 UTC	4	$1.5K	1,089	1,089	+0	Down	+$288	06-11 15:13
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	16	$1.5K	1,534	1,534	+0	Spurs	-$465	06-09 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$1.5K	1,130	1,130	+0	Up	+$233	06-01 11:43
bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	9	$1.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$53	06-08 15:43
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	8	$1.2K	3,017	1,017	+2,000	Knicks	-$605	06-11 03:35
bitcoin up or down on june 20 2026	5	$1.2K	1,044	1,044	+0	Up	+$18	06-20 14:18
bitcoin above 58k on june 26 2026	2	$1.1K	645	645	+0	Yes	+$126	06-25 10:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 13:38:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	5¢	$7	0xd6fb5d…
10-24 13:36:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xff1a7d…
10-24 13:35:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x36c434…
10-24 09:21:23	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x1b01d1…
10-24 09:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x4f0eba…
10-18 10:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb78587…
10-18 10:16:50	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs	Team Vitality	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0xaf476a…
10-18 09:24:11	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x04772b…
10-17 02:59:51	Memphis vs. Tulane	Tulane	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x53bcb3…
10-17 01:51:53	Memphis vs. Tulane	Tulane	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x14922c…
10-17 01:36:44	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x59ebd3…
10-17 01:18:45	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x428b87…
10-16 15:57:45	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 16 2026	No	BUY	224	44¢	$98	0xe188a5…
10-16 12:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	47	10¢	$5	0xcc9ca1…
10-16 12:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	47	9¢	$4	0xa85d6d…
10-16 12:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	248	6¢	$15	0x4e2dbf…
10-16 12:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	248	8¢	$20	0x4e4b6e…
10-16 12:00:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	177	49¢	$87	0x1cadfc…
10-16 11:52:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x735bde…
10-16 11:43:52	will bitcoin reach 84k on october 16 2026	No	SELL	113	75¢	$84	0x27a597…
10-16 11:42:45	will bitcoin reach 83k on october 16 2026	No	SELL	94	17¢	$16	0x5c4fb2…
10-16 11:29:25	will bitcoin reach 84k on october 16 2026	No	BUY	113	71¢	$80	0xdbe154…
10-16 11:28:40	will bitcoin reach 83k on october 16 2026	No	BUY	94	10¢	$9	0x8aaa81…
10-16 11:21:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	113	9¢	$10	0x8374b8…
10-16 11:19:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x104731…
10-16 10:53:10	cs2 nip tl1 2026 10 16	Liquid	BUY	57	50¢	$28	0xff8ece…
10-16 10:52:04	cs2 nip tl1 2026 10 16	NIP	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0xe41b97…
10-16 10:41:06	cs2 nip tl1 2026 10 16	NIP	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x73b22e…
10-16 10:40:27	cs2 nip tl1 2026 10 16	Liquid	SELL	23	63¢	$14	0xe17b3f…
10-16 10:39:57	cs2 nip tl1 2026 10 16	Liquid	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x2070ae…
10-16 10:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	43	35¢	$15	0xf75d31…
10-16 10:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0xe8cd4d…
10-16 10:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	31	22¢	$7	0x309d19…
10-16 10:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x445668…
10-16 07:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xa84663…
10-16 07:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0x481db5…
10-16 07:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xd23fc4…
10-16 07:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xc42817…
10-16 07:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	44	64¢	$28	0xe69352…
10-16 07:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0x640b4d…
10-16 07:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb2e05b…
10-16 07:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x193adb…
10-16 07:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xef576d…
10-16 07:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf47714…
10-16 06:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x0d94b3…
10-16 06:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	49	82¢	$40	0x692dd8…
10-16 06:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	49	60¢	$30	0x8046ce…
10-16 06:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	69	44¢	$31	0x05d516…
10-16 06:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xe4c286…
10-16 06:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	58	28¢	$16	0x8efdba…
10-16 06:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x1beaef…
10-16 06:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	108	25¢	$27	0xb0965f…
10-16 06:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x40c6a3…
10-16 06:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	110	48¢	$53	0xb3c766…
10-16 05:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0xe9e378…
10-16 05:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x2f4283…
10-16 05:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xee3c53…
10-16 05:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x41fbc7…
10-16 05:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x899d0e…
10-16 05:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x34dc89…
10-16 05:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe20d34…
10-16 04:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc44144…
10-16 04:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	28	26¢	$7	0xb9a20d…
10-16 04:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x873ad4…
10-16 04:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	110	54¢	$59	0x84e386…
10-16 04:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	110	31¢	$34	0x3c5ed4…
10-16 04:00:12	Flames vs. Golden Knights	Flames	SELL	117	1¢	$1	0xb1d4d8…
10-16 03:52:18	Flames vs. Golden Knights	Flames	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0x75beba…
10-16 03:37:01	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7eecef…
10-16 03:35:45	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x246061…
10-16 03:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x46d2dd…
10-16 03:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xc7a00e…
10-16 03:06:46	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x9dc07d…
10-15 14:56:34	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x5c97ab…
10-15 14:55:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xea7ddb…
10-15 13:59:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x066ac7…
10-14 09:27:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x505a35…
10-14 09:16:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd1c843…
10-14 06:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	34	57¢	$19	0x5ff1c8…
10-14 06:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x8aa567…
10-13 06:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x3df065…
10-12 14:13:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xf5e877…
10-12 11:47:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x22bee6…
10-11 15:44:54	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x08d154…
10-11 14:39:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1a87ab…
10-11 14:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7fef00…
10-11 14:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xdd998c…
10-11 14:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	91	76¢	$69	0xe4d06d…
10-11 14:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x009e0c…
10-11 10:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x87bc5f…
10-11 10:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	33	20¢	$7	0x514c31…
10-11 10:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xe37ecc…
10-11 09:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1aa775…
10-11 09:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0xee44a6…
10-11 09:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xe4151b…
10-11 09:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xf23a2a…
10-11 09:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	81	91¢	$73	0x9709dd…
10-11 09:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	81	60¢	$48	0x66c9c1…
10-11 08:46:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0xbe4ced…
10-11 08:46:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x500b2d…