Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

+$75

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

1,708

Trades

3,609

lifetime

Volume

$26.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$290

8 positions

First seen

2026-08-22

last 10-26 18:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

79% 52% -$638

Crypto

12% 65% -$164

Politics

4% 47% -$14

Sports

3% 60% -$90

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$115

Tech

0% 17% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 299 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+157	$66	57¢	$90	+$24	10-17 10:41
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+375	$67	23¢	$86	+$18	10-25 10:24
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	+61	$41	90¢	$55	+$14	10-23 09:10
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+64	$15	29¢	$18	+$3	09-30 16:16
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	+23	$12	76¢	$18	+$6	10-13 16:51
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	+17	$11	90¢	$16	+$5	10-13 16:51
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	+15	-$1	27¢	$4	+$5	10-26 16:12
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+10	$4	36¢	$4	$0	10-26 18:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	6	$857	519	519	+0	No	-$3	10-16 04:15
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	4	$537	281	281	+0	Yes	+$17	10-20 17:41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	3	$446	247	247	+0	Yes	+$46	09-01 15:02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or below on August 31?	4	$445	247	247	+0	Yes	+$48	09-01 01:06
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	6	$436	331	331	+0	Yes	-$114	10-24 03:44
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	3	$419	450	37	+413	No	+$12	10-16 04:16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$400	428	0	+428	No	+$28	10-15 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 5?	8	$383	251	251	+0	Yes	+$114	09-05 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 5?	6	$327	532	0	+532	No	-$327	09-05 10:31
Steelers vs. Browns	6	$277	281	225	+56	Browns	+$71	10-02 02:52
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	8	$265	359	78	+282	open	—	10-26 13:32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	10	$257	263	263	+0	No	-$84	09-28 15:32
Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	3	$252	153	153	+0	Yes	+$50	10-06 12:15
Will "Sacrifice" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	4	$243	313	0	+313	No	-$243	10-16 14:02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	6	$231	121	121	+0	Yes	+$4	09-05 15:21
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	20	$227	457	457	+0	open	—	10-26 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 1?	2	$223	124	124	+0	Yes	+$23	09-01 08:42
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	3	$216	118	118	+0	No	+$14	10-03 08:41
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$216	120	120	+0	Yes	+$15	10-10 10:19
Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	4	$211	114	114	+0	Yes	-$7	10-17 12:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 30?	4	$210	113	113	+0	Yes	+$2	08-30 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?	2	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	08-30 12:29
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 1?	2	$205	107	107	+0	No	+$5	09-01 06:15
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$200	238	0	+238	Yes	+$38	10-21 00:14
Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	2	$196	104	104	+0	Yes	-$4	10-17 15:51
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	4	$196	212	212	+0	No	-$14	10-12 14:33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	8	$189	271	90	+181	No	-$111	09-11 12:58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	2	$181	94	94	+0	No	+$1	10-06 16:07
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$171	207	0	+207	No	+$37	10-13 03:47
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	4	$161	358	0	+358	Yes	+$197	10-18 00:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:31:38	Will "Sacrifice" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0xcab6c5…
10-26 18:31:12	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdf0424…
10-26 18:30:50	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x1dbcf5…
10-26 18:27:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x221251…
10-26 18:27:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x13e579…
10-26 16:27:45	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	192	10¢	$19	0x2544b8…
10-26 16:27:15	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	180	9¢	$16	0xa70b25…
10-26 16:15:39	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x12d08d…
10-26 16:13:18	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	157	12¢	$19	0xaa0957…
10-26 16:12:54	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x16bf42…
10-26 16:12:35	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x208a10…
10-26 16:09:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x923393…
10-26 16:09:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa698a6…
10-26 16:06:02	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x537e95…
10-26 16:04:53	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x889d83…
10-26 16:02:20	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x4c535c…
10-26 15:31:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0xcba10f…
10-26 15:30:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	96¢	$62	0x732c2b…
10-26 15:03:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x39a957…
10-26 14:13:30	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	92	90¢	$82	0xeae26c…
10-26 13:46:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x5d6ff0…
10-26 13:38:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x7add73…
10-26 13:33:33	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0xb66887…
10-26 13:32:26	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	78	7¢	$5	0x409028…
10-26 13:22:36	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x03ef6d…
10-26 13:15:17	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	61	19¢	$12	0x30189c…
10-26 13:12:47	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x74f7e7…
10-26 13:01:33	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0x72cf31…
10-26 13:01:32	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	281	56¢	$157	0x025352…
10-26 10:25:05	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$6	0x627141…
10-26 10:24:50	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x09203c…
10-26 10:24:06	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x9e87b8…
10-26 10:23:17	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x58596b…
10-26 10:23:06	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x6a761c…
10-26 10:20:18	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x944244…
10-26 10:20:12	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xc36a8c…
10-25 17:24:11	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	70	88¢	$62	0xedd6b3…
10-25 17:23:50	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	246	26¢	$64	0xe45a1d…
10-25 17:19:03	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x51792b…
10-25 17:16:44	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0x62c6d4…
10-25 16:47:23	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xc5983e…
10-25 16:46:50	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xbfa715…
10-25 16:30:39	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x7907e1…
10-25 16:26:59	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xa36e26…
10-25 16:26:18	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x86b792…
10-25 16:25:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xe61ed7…
10-25 15:03:20	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x59cb34…
10-25 15:02:23	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x19a7ab…
10-25 14:13:03	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x7ec62c…
10-25 14:09:21	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xba54d7…
10-25 14:09:12	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x85fd41…
10-25 14:04:47	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x62d1b3…
10-25 14:04:21	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x065f95…
10-25 14:04:06	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x97e117…
10-25 14:01:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0xfaada6…
10-25 13:56:50	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x3a39bf…
10-25 13:56:23	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x8f8d2a…
10-25 13:56:08	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x7bbf94…
10-25 13:54:09	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x6420ea…
10-25 13:53:56	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x7e11e1…
10-25 13:53:23	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0x18ea85…
10-25 13:52:42	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0xf33a4e…
10-25 13:52:11	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0xb63c2b…
10-25 13:51:33	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0xfb8d19…
10-25 10:24:59	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xadde11…
10-25 10:23:24	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x06536a…
10-25 10:13:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x6ab4a5…
10-25 01:42:57	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x07ab9d…
10-25 01:32:09	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xe94ff8…
10-25 00:31:29	Will "Gladiator II" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	73	5¢	$4	0x6b1f9a…
10-24 09:55:03	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	79	82¢	$65	0x66bbcc…
10-24 08:57:39	Will "Gladiator II" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	23	74¢	$17	0x8a2e01…
10-24 08:48:23	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xe7ac13…
10-24 08:32:38	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa78e42…
10-24 08:30:32	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x299f85…
10-24 07:55:54	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xb24543…
10-24 07:55:41	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x859748…
10-24 07:54:29	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x988759…
10-24 04:41:57	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x8ce739…
10-24 04:34:45	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x0cbd15…
10-24 03:54:12	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0xaa1eff…
10-24 03:52:47	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x65de3e…
10-24 03:45:06	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc5c680…
10-24 03:44:41	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x28f12f…
10-24 02:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x999529…
10-24 02:05:51	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xa976d7…
10-24 01:37:29	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x9b4fb0…
10-24 01:18:27	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x569f0b…
10-24 01:16:15	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0x949cba…
10-24 01:14:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xe816e0…
10-24 01:07:03	Will "Gladiator II" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xddfad0…
10-24 00:55:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x1b11c7…
10-23 16:45:03	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x6ced93…
10-23 16:42:29	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x0d489c…
10-23 16:39:09	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x467059…
10-23 16:36:32	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xacf24e…
10-23 16:12:02	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x1e7cd9…
10-23 16:05:20	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcb52c7…
10-23 16:04:03	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x031673…
10-23 15:21:32	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	Yes	SELL	328	49¢	$161	0x126e05…