Skeletal-Schooner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$129

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,586

lifetime

Volume

$18.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-21 10:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 17% $-248

Other

29% 0% $-5

Politics

19% 33% +$123

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+100	$7	6¢	$6	$-1	07-16 08:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$521	510	510	+0	open	—	04-07 23:52
ethereum above 2000 on march 1	12	$428	550	450	+100	open	—	03-01 16:56
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 0 39	28	$308	1,943	1,943	+0	open	—	02-07 21:14
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	5	$291	740	740	+0	open	—	03-05 00:14
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	6	$260	200	300	-100	open	—	01-23 18:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$237	184	184	+0	Yes	+$131	05-09 05:18
bitcoin above 76k on april 14	6	$219	600	444	+156	open	—	04-14 14:33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	3	$210	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-14 07:16
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	3	$180	107	107	+0	open	—	01-26 02:31
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	9	$176	387	387	+0	open	—	04-29 06:07
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	6	$175	400	300	+100	open	—	02-10 13:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	10	$175	500	400	+100	open	—	02-28 19:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 2	6	$163	300	300	+0	open	—	03-02 15:33
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 120 139	9	$161	200	200	+0	open	—	02-27 16:22
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 14?	7	$159	300	300	+0	open	—	05-13 16:36
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	4	$155	100	100	+0	open	—	02-04 15:44
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	2	$150	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 13:36
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	8	$145	200	200	+0	open	—	03-03 16:46
btc updown 15m 1784190600	2	$142	200	200	+0	open	—	07-16 08:44
bitcoin above 74k on april 14	2	$135	300	284	+16	open	—	04-14 08:49
bitcoin above 72000 on april 9 2026 11pm et	3	$134	120	113	+7	open	—	04-10 03:07
ethereum above 1600 on july 1 2026	11	$133	220	200	+20	open	—	07-01 14:15
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 13?	6	$131	240	200	+40	Yes	+$47	05-13 14:09
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	4	$122	99	99	+0	Yes	+$76	05-10 22:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	11	$121	172	172	+0	open	—	04-09 04:30
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$119	400	400	+0	open	—	03-08 09:15
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 17 million 669	4	$114	130	130	+0	open	—	02-16 06:16
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	4	$114	65	65	+0	open	—	02-06 16:23
will 2000 meters to andriivka be nominated for best documentary feature at the 98th academy awards	14	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	01-22 14:01
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	2	$107	100	100	+0	open	—	01-30 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 16:53:45	eth updown 15m 1784652300	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xc88bb8…
07-21 16:53:43	eth updown 15m 1784652300	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x41c302…
07-21 16:38:13	btc updown 15m 1784651400	Down	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x34317e…
07-21 16:37:37	btc updown 15m 1784651400	Down	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xc129f4…
07-21 15:55:09	btc updown 15m 1784648700	Down	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xd9545a…
07-21 15:45:28	bitcoin above 66600 on july 21 2026 12pm et	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x34bdce…
07-21 15:44:09	bitcoin above 66600 on july 21 2026 12pm et	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x04522b…
07-21 15:41:57	bitcoin above 66600 on july 21 2026 12pm et	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x6268b0…
07-21 10:23:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$18	0xc3837b…
07-21 08:51:00	btc updown 15m 1784623500	Up	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x6b73fd…
07-21 08:50:58	btc updown 15m 1784623500	Up	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xbda982…
07-21 08:48:42	btc updown 15m 1784623500	Up	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xed4202…
07-21 08:42:31	bitcoin above 66k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xb10493…
07-21 08:39:27	bitcoin above 66k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	65	33¢	$21	0x6341f6…
07-21 08:39:04	bitcoin above 66k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	35	33¢	$11	0xfaaad4…
07-20 15:55:31	ethereum above 1900 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x2380ef…
07-20 06:47:27	megaquake by july 31 20260617190926646	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc1b4f7…
07-20 04:19:25	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb0941e…
07-19 21:24:57	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0x978b74…
07-19 21:09:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0xad58ec…
07-19 21:09:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0x7b06cd…
07-19 21:01:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd4ee15…
07-19 18:56:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x2c363a…
07-19 18:04:18	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 19	Yes	BUY	92	21¢	$19	0xb866e2…
07-19 18:04:09	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 19	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xd3ac6c…
07-19 16:08:28	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 19	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x9d5407…
07-19 15:28:51	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 19	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0xc2fe44…
07-19 15:27:13	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 19	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x2ef079…
07-19 15:11:21	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 19	Yes	SELL	90	40¢	$36	0x928912…
07-19 15:10:43	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 19	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xe51f35…
07-19 15:09:16	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 19	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x86cde1…
07-19 15:04:15	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 19	Yes	BUY	97	45¢	$44	0xdc609e…
07-19 13:03:12	will javier milei attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357116	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf2c54d…
07-19 13:01:52	will the announcers say euro during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956894	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xf96d0c…
07-19 13:01:33	will the announcers say transition during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956891	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x8ad7bd…
07-19 13:00:25	will the announcers say euro during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956894	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf09f4e…
07-19 13:00:09	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	No	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xe0435e…
07-19 12:58:13	btc updown 15m 1784465100	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x809e40…
07-19 12:53:25	will the announcers say ishowspeed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403334	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xaad940…
07-19 09:20:58	btc updown 5m 1784452800	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x5354a8…
07-19 08:58:37	bnb up or down july 19 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x05162b…
07-19 08:58:36	bnb up or down july 19 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x94d7ee…
07-19 08:53:13	bnb up or down july 19 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x796474…
07-19 08:48:03	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x8c177a…
07-19 08:47:49	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x311b9a…
07-19 08:47:43	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdc3609…
07-19 08:47:43	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x9d5ae5…
07-19 08:47:43	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x75e1a1…
07-19 08:41:39	wta jakupov avanesy 2026 07 19	Dalila Jakupovic	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd651c5…
07-19 08:41:39	wta jakupov avanesy 2026 07 19	Dalila Jakupovic	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x490240…
07-19 04:38:58	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x8a6570…
07-19 04:38:55	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xbae8c7…
07-19 04:38:27	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x83b6a7…
07-19 04:37:31	btc updown 5m 1784435700	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x31d50c…
07-18 23:02:36	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 18	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x635cb5…
07-18 23:02:36	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 18	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x26477c…
07-18 22:58:45	eth updown 15m 1784414700	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x9d47d6…
07-18 22:57:13	eth updown 5m 1784415300	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x6fcca3…
07-18 22:56:36	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0xd70d77…
07-18 22:49:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xcffb81…
07-18 22:48:36	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$15	0x40adf7…
07-18 22:37:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0x1b788e…
07-18 15:43:58	bitcoin above 64k on july 20 2026	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x32269a…
07-18 13:29:54	btc updown 5m 1784381400	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfd2ded…
07-18 13:29:03	bitcoin above 64k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x52aa49…
07-18 05:15:03	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x75091f…
07-17 11:28:00	btc updown 5m 1784287500	Down	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xc56ab0…
07-17 10:29:15	btc updown 5m 1784283900	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xcf140a…
07-17 09:13:57	btc updown 5m 1784279400	Down	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x40772d…
07-17 08:57:24	btc updown 5m 1784278500	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x6bb636…
07-17 08:56:28	btc updown 5m 1784278500	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x277f2e…
07-17 08:50:57	btc updown 5m 1784278200	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xfab3ae…
07-17 08:47:51	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xbdd78c…
07-17 08:45:43	btc updown 5m 1784277900	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x107d8d…
07-17 08:45:06	btc updown 5m 1784277900	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x43e595…
07-17 08:37:21	btc updown 15m 1784277000	Up	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x6da43a…
07-17 08:33:54	btc updown 15m 1784277000	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x0582a6…
07-17 08:33:04	btc updown 5m 1784277000	Up	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x3631e4…
07-17 08:28:06	btc updown 5m 1784276700	Down	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xafc53f…
07-17 08:24:27	btc updown 5m 1784276700	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x994c57…
07-17 08:23:19	btc updown 5m 1784276700	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xafaf3b…
07-17 08:22:09	btc updown 5m 1784276400	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x2b349b…
07-17 08:21:40	btc updown 5m 1784276400	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x50bebc…
07-17 08:21:39	btc updown 5m 1784276400	Down	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x034622…
07-17 08:14:46	eth updown 5m 1784275800	Down	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x3f43e0…
07-17 06:11:54	btc updown 5m 1784268600	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x75bc6c…
07-17 06:03:54	btc updown 5m 1784268000	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xbb19fd…
07-17 06:00:03	btc updown 5m 1784268000	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x1ff5d5…
07-17 05:52:48	btc updown 5m 1784267400	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x063be9…
07-17 05:52:07	btc updown 5m 1784267400	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0xa14f24…
07-17 05:52:07	btc updown 5m 1784267400	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x0e171f…
07-17 05:52:06	btc updown 5m 1784267400	Up	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xa9e3f5…
07-17 05:52:06	btc updown 5m 1784267400	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x9043e4…
07-17 05:51:45	btc updown 15m 1784267100	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x5a46c4…
07-17 05:46:31	btc updown 5m 1784267100	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb7d960…
07-17 05:41:10	btc updown 15m 1784266200	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xaf2ea7…
07-17 05:38:52	btc updown 5m 1784266500	Up	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0x66353c…
07-17 05:38:31	btc updown 5m 1784266500	Up	SELL	22	72¢	$16	0xde2167…
07-17 05:37:39	btc updown 5m 1784266500	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x40716d…
07-17 05:36:45	btc updown 5m 1784266500	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xdecc4f…