Skeletal-Schooner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.19K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

3,018

Trades

8,269

lifetime

Volume

$55.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 04:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 261 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 20% -$1,891

Other

25% 16% -$207

Politics

9% 13% -$59

Sports

3% 22% -$52

Tech

0% 33% +$19

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 257 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+100	$12	12¢	$12	+$0	10-25 23:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$521	510	510	+0	Yes	+$483	04-07 23:52
ethereum above 2000 on march 1	12	$428	550	450	+100	No	+$202	03-01 16:56
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	12	$417	600	600	+0	No	+$167	09-03 00:42
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	10	$386	343	343	+0	Yes	+$112	09-26 20:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	13	$353	1,903	1,903	+0	open	—	08-27 15:15
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$331	14,924	12,924	+2,000	No	-$53	07-06 01:40
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	14	$320	1,010	1,010	+0	Yes	+$153	10-14 09:36
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$309	2,400	1,900	+500	No	-$40	07-06 15:30
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 0 39	28	$308	1,943	1,943	+0	No	+$202	02-07 21:14
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	5	$291	740	740	+0	Yes	+$13	03-05 00:14
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	27	$288	3,994	3,994	+0	open	—	08-16 14:15
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	6	$260	200	300	-100	Yes	+$63	01-23 18:56
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	10	$257	250	250	+0	Yes	+$135	08-29 00:07
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$247	419	419	+0	Yes	+$71	10-25 23:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$237	184	184	+0	Yes	+$131	05-09 05:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	6	$221	400	400	+0	No	+$41	08-24 04:35
bitcoin above 76k on april 14	6	$219	600	444	+156	No	+$171	04-14 14:33
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	18	$212	2,498	2,100	+398	No	-$43	10-26 22:21
Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET	24	$211	500	348	+152	Up	+$46	09-16 18:57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	3	$210	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$10	04-14 07:16
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 1?	4	$205	200	200	+0	Yes	+$115	09-01 18:28
bitcoin above 84k on september 30 2026	7	$198	350	250	+100	Yes	+$86	09-30 15:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	13	$180	1,500	1,100	+400	Yes	-$19	09-29 15:31
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	3	$180	107	107	+0	Yes	+$31	01-26 02:31
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	9	$176	387	387	+0	Yes	+$11	04-29 06:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 20?	8	$176	254	200	+54	Yes	+$67	09-20 15:39
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	6	$175	400	300	+100	No	+$115	02-10 13:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	10	$175	500	400	+100	Yes	+$136	02-28 19:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 21?	4	$172	411	371	+40	Yes	+$106	10-21 15:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 2	6	$163	300	300	+0	Yes	+$71	03-02 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xf1e475…
10-27 03:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc1daed…
10-27 03:15:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xf44105…
10-27 03:03:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa07fb8…
10-27 03:03:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2532cf…
10-27 02:57:56	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xcd188b…
10-27 02:55:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x71e5c1…
10-27 02:49:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xf6c767…
10-27 02:45:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xfb721f…
10-26 22:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xaf92fe…
10-26 22:21:32	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x97135a…
10-26 22:21:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xc40825…
10-26 22:21:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0xbcbcd0…
10-26 22:21:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x73b39b…
10-26 22:21:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0xcd4e41…
10-26 22:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x38cca9…
10-26 22:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x80d4bf…
10-26 22:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	9¢	$4	0x2f3629…
10-26 22:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x5c63ce…
10-26 22:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xb54328…
10-26 21:54:02	Exact Score: Sevilla FC 2 - 0 CA Osasuna?	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x3b5805…
10-26 21:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9a79ad…
10-26 21:28:15	Exact Score: Sevilla FC 2 - 0 CA Osasuna?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xc9fc22…
10-26 21:26:30	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x726312…
10-26 19:37:36	Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x4e719f…
10-26 19:16:03	Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0x1165f0…
10-26 19:15:36	Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x97f9ce…
10-26 19:13:02	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1269f9…
10-26 17:49:48	Exact Score: Sevilla FC 1 - 2 CA Osasuna?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc90a26…
10-26 17:48:50	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xcffa10…
10-26 17:46:11	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3675cc…
10-26 17:43:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xdc1a23…
10-26 15:55:44	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xda4cb1…
10-26 15:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x10e6f4…
10-26 15:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xeb0cfc…
10-26 15:37:26	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x223833…
10-26 15:36:53	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x4ed70a…
10-26 15:32:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd6b34f…
10-26 15:28:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd86413…
10-26 15:21:45	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	96	52¢	$50	0xd3e94f…
10-26 14:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xaac0f3…
10-26 14:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x523df3…
10-26 14:07:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xf051ab…
10-26 14:07:51	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xb4b458…
10-26 14:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x8d1c18…
10-26 13:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xa977f0…
10-26 13:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x53ea83…
10-26 13:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x76260b…
10-26 13:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x25f422…
10-26 13:01:44	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xbb0ebf…
10-26 12:58:29	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xcf1b7b…
10-26 12:46:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xac820c…
10-26 12:43:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x9a0913…
10-26 11:38:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xfa50fd…
10-26 10:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x0902fa…
10-26 10:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x210d4c…
10-26 10:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x759d3a…
10-26 02:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xe939ab…
10-26 01:37:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x47ccb0…
10-26 01:25:45	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xdc3f02…
10-25 23:52:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x362ee9…
10-25 23:52:24	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x1cc763…
10-25 23:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x94f7ea…
10-25 23:28:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0a76b4…
10-25 23:25:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x268900…
10-25 23:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x818aa7…
10-25 23:22:02	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xbe817f…
10-25 23:13:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x25538f…
10-25 19:51:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x809ec8…
10-25 19:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0x1359cc…
10-25 19:14:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xcc1f16…
10-25 19:07:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x8fa735…
10-25 19:07:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	83	9¢	$7	0x1a65ad…
10-25 19:06:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	90	16¢	$14	0x7f8585…
10-25 19:06:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x20bd5c…
10-25 19:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x08c5fe…
10-25 19:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5a254f…
10-25 18:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	72	3¢	$2	0x5c21b7…
10-25 18:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0xe9b1d6…
10-25 18:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x31015b…
10-25 18:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x0280f7…
10-25 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x1454f9…
10-25 18:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x225cd3…
10-25 18:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x486af5…
10-25 18:51:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1c26e6…
10-25 18:51:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x755a65…
10-25 18:46:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x1df7c1…
10-25 18:45:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0x44c27b…
10-25 18:45:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x23f42d…
10-25 18:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc3dacd…
10-25 18:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xc013cc…
10-25 18:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x32bc9a…
10-25 18:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xbbab2b…
10-25 18:42:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xcb1235…
10-25 18:28:57	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x488794…
10-25 18:28:45	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x2ec607…
10-25 18:28:24	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xee457f…
10-25 18:20:11	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5cf9cb…
10-25 17:13:30	Exact Score: LASK Linz 1 - 2 FC Salzburg?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x554ca3…
10-25 16:24:15	Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 2 Leeds United FC?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe803e3…