Skeletal-Schooner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.29K

Unrealized P&L

+$28

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

3,042

Trades

8,320

lifetime

Volume

$55.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$92

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 19:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 261 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 20% -$1,988

Other

25% 16% -$207

Politics

9% 13% -$59

Sports

3% 22% -$52

Tech

0% 33% +$19

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 257 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+300	$63	30¢	$92	+$28	10-27 13:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$521	510	510	+0	Yes	+$483	04-07 23:52
ethereum above 2000 on march 1	12	$428	550	450	+100	No	+$202	03-01 16:56
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	12	$417	600	600	+0	No	+$167	09-03 00:42
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	10	$386	343	343	+0	Yes	+$112	09-26 20:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	13	$353	1,903	1,903	+0	open	—	08-27 15:15
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$331	14,924	12,924	+2,000	No	-$53	07-06 01:40
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	14	$320	1,010	1,010	+0	Yes	+$153	10-14 09:36
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$309	2,400	1,900	+500	No	-$40	07-06 15:30
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 0 39	28	$308	1,943	1,943	+0	No	+$202	02-07 21:14
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	5	$291	740	740	+0	Yes	+$13	03-05 00:14
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	27	$288	3,994	3,994	+0	open	—	08-16 14:15
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	6	$260	200	300	-100	Yes	+$63	01-23 18:56
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	10	$257	250	250	+0	Yes	+$135	08-29 00:07
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$247	419	419	+0	Yes	+$71	10-25 23:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$237	184	184	+0	Yes	+$131	05-09 05:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	6	$221	400	400	+0	No	+$41	08-24 04:35
bitcoin above 76k on april 14	6	$219	600	444	+156	No	+$171	04-14 14:33
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	18	$212	2,498	2,100	+398	No	-$43	10-26 22:21
Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET	24	$211	500	348	+152	Up	+$46	09-16 18:57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	3	$210	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$10	04-14 07:16
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 1?	4	$205	200	200	+0	Yes	+$115	09-01 18:28
bitcoin above 84k on september 30 2026	7	$198	350	250	+100	Yes	+$86	09-30 15:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	13	$180	1,500	1,100	+400	Yes	-$19	09-29 15:31
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	3	$180	107	107	+0	Yes	+$31	01-26 02:31
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	9	$176	387	387	+0	Yes	+$11	04-29 06:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 20?	8	$176	254	200	+54	Yes	+$67	09-20 15:39
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	6	$175	400	300	+100	No	+$115	02-10 13:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	10	$175	500	400	+100	Yes	+$136	02-28 19:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 21?	4	$172	411	371	+40	Yes	+$106	10-21 15:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 2	6	$163	300	300	+0	Yes	+$71	03-02 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:41:02	Exact Score: AS Roma 2 - 0 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xb36db2…
10-27 19:40:03	Spread: Como 1907 (-3.5)	Como 1907	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x033bf8…
10-27 17:10:42	RB Leipzig leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	73	27¢	$20	0x4be479…
10-27 16:22:24	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x41f88a…
10-27 15:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x99f4fa…
10-27 15:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x02fa95…
10-27 15:35:17	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xdb163c…
10-27 15:22:57	Solana Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0xc6f88a…
10-27 15:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfd8468…
10-27 14:42:42	Exact Score: Torino FC 0 - 5 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xe8d4bc…
10-27 14:41:41	Spread: Como 1907 (-3.5)	Como 1907	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xcd48e5…
10-27 14:39:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xc2ac79…
10-27 14:39:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	23¢	$11	0xde3f78…
10-27 14:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xfeb925…
10-27 14:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xcf6671…
10-27 14:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	87¢	$13	0xf5aec2…
10-27 14:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x47607e…
10-27 14:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x880522…
10-27 13:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x299014…
10-27 13:29:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xc79dd8…
10-27 13:27:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x76d646…
10-27 13:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x1dd981…
10-27 13:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x27c6b0…
10-27 13:24:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0x93449e…
10-27 12:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0x7c0d12…
10-27 12:56:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 27?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x65578a…
10-27 12:56:02	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x469b33…
10-27 12:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x8ba278…
10-27 12:52:20	Bitcoin above 80,600 on October 27, 9AM ET?	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$2	0xe8f338…
10-27 12:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x560edf…
10-27 12:35:41	bitcoin above 80600 on october 27 2026 9am et	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5e87e2…
10-27 12:35:38	bitcoin above 80600 on october 27 2026 9am et	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc1244c…
10-27 12:35:36	bitcoin above 80600 on october 27 2026 9am et	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xb0eb21…
10-27 12:35:35	bitcoin above 80600 on october 27 2026 9am et	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x74a194…
10-27 12:35:32	bitcoin above 80600 on october 27 2026 9am et	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x4af496…
10-27 12:26:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xfec1e1…
10-27 12:25:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0x9eeaf3…
10-27 11:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	33	59¢	$20	0xe1ae29…
10-27 11:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x353f64…
10-27 10:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfc1da2…
10-27 10:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa05f67…
10-27 10:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x359472…
10-27 10:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x3a7e95…
10-27 10:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x6950e6…
10-27 10:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x88e29e…
10-27 09:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x67d53f…
10-27 08:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x56bccf…
10-27 08:52:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xee0b42…
10-27 08:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xe6635c…
10-27 08:51:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x88bbce…
10-27 08:50:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x870b7e…
10-27 04:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xf1e475…
10-27 03:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc1daed…
10-27 03:15:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xf44105…
10-27 03:03:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa07fb8…
10-27 03:03:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2532cf…
10-27 02:57:56	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xcd188b…
10-27 02:55:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x71e5c1…
10-27 02:49:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xf6c767…
10-27 02:45:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xfb721f…
10-26 22:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xaf92fe…
10-26 22:21:32	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x97135a…
10-26 22:21:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xc40825…
10-26 22:21:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0xbcbcd0…
10-26 22:21:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x73b39b…
10-26 22:21:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0xcd4e41…
10-26 22:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x38cca9…
10-26 22:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x80d4bf…
10-26 22:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	9¢	$4	0x2f3629…
10-26 22:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x5c63ce…
10-26 22:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xb54328…
10-26 21:54:02	Exact Score: Sevilla FC 2 - 0 CA Osasuna?	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x3b5805…
10-26 21:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9a79ad…
10-26 21:28:15	Exact Score: Sevilla FC 2 - 0 CA Osasuna?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xc9fc22…
10-26 21:26:30	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x726312…
10-26 19:37:36	Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x4e719f…
10-26 19:16:03	Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0x1165f0…
10-26 19:15:36	Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x97f9ce…
10-26 19:13:02	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1269f9…
10-26 17:49:48	Exact Score: Sevilla FC 1 - 2 CA Osasuna?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc90a26…
10-26 17:48:50	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xcffa10…
10-26 17:46:11	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3675cc…
10-26 17:43:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xdc1a23…
10-26 15:55:44	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xda4cb1…
10-26 15:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x10e6f4…
10-26 15:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xeb0cfc…
10-26 15:37:26	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x223833…
10-26 15:36:53	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x4ed70a…
10-26 15:32:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd6b34f…
10-26 15:28:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd86413…
10-26 15:21:45	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	96	52¢	$50	0xd3e94f…
10-26 14:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xaac0f3…
10-26 14:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x523df3…
10-26 14:07:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xf051ab…
10-26 14:07:51	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xb4b458…
10-26 14:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x8d1c18…
10-26 13:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xa977f0…
10-26 13:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x53ea83…
10-26 13:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x76260b…
10-26 13:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x25f422…