Realized P&L
-$4.76K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.82K
Hit rate
48.3%
Resolved
3,419
Trades
14,745
lifetime
Volume
$151.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$8.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 10-27 12:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
47% 53% -$2,105
Crypto
35% 57% -$2,114
Sports
10% 47% -$434
Politics
8% 33% -$89
Tech
1% 12% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 1565 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +883 $806 100¢ $878 +$72 10-13 06:57
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +918 $777 76¢ $702 -$75 10-15 01:05
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +612 $163 98¢ $599 +$436 10-14 23:00
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +595 $312 71¢ $423 +$111 10-14 12:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +414 $313 95¢ $393 +$80 10-15 12:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +403 $380 96¢ $386 +$7 10-13 03:46
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +341 $224 98¢ $334 +$110 10-16 01:04
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +366 $72 91¢ $332 +$260 10-07 05:07
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +349 $63 95¢ $332 +$269 10-16 14:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +344 $231 95¢ $327 +$96 10-17 13:40
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +333 $307 94¢ $313 +$7 10-15 15:56
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +321 $220 84¢ $268 +$48 10-06 15:31
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +299 $264 87¢ $260 -$4 10-17 13:40
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026 No +290 $178 88¢ $254 +$76 10-16 14:29
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +244 $219 90¢ $219 $0 10-15 14:19
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +918 $138 24¢ $216 +$77 10-16 01:03
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +204 $133 99¢ $202 +$68 10-16 01:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +203 $157 97¢ $197 +$39 10-19 19:48
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +194 $75 98¢ $190 +$116 10-05 13:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +203 $191 94¢ $190 -$1 10-15 17:48
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +197 $134 96¢ $189 +$55 10-16 01:53
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? No +595 $276 29¢ $172 -$104 10-16 00:38
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +190 $167 85¢ $162 -$4 10-15 04:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +149 $103 94¢ $141 +$37 10-19 18:14
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +241 $126 54¢ $129 +$3 10-17 13:34
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +143 $119 82¢ $118 -$1 10-14 21:08
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +125 $118 92¢ $116 -$3 10-15 22:10
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October? No +118 $60 95¢ $113 +$52 10-16 01:04
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +241 $113 46¢ $112 -$1 10-16 23:39
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +164 $117 67¢ $109 -$7 10-16 14:26