Realized P&L (7d)
-$315
Unrealized P&L
+$1.44K
Hit rate
44.0%
Resolved (7d)
222
Trades (7d)
510
14,745 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.12K
$151.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$7.50K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 10-27 12:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
47% 53% -$2,117
Crypto
35% 56% -$2,125
Sports
10% 46% -$438
Politics
8% 33% -$89
Tech
1% 12% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 1565 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +883 $806 99¢ $872 +$66 10-13 06:57
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +918 $777 74¢ $674 -$103 10-15 01:05
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +612 $163 97¢ $596 +$433 10-14 23:00
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +595 $312 69¢ $411 +$99 10-14 12:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +403 $380 97¢ $390 +$10 10-13 03:46
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +349 $63 100¢ $349 +$286 10-16 14:28
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +341 $224 100¢ $340 +$116 10-16 01:04
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +333 $307 95¢ $317 +$10 10-15 15:56
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +321 $220 80¢ $258 +$39 10-06 15:31
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +299 $264 82¢ $245 -$19 10-17 13:40
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +918 $138 26¢ $243 +$105 10-16 01:03
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +244 $219 90¢ $220 +$1 10-15 14:19
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +204 $133 100¢ $204 +$71 10-16 01:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +203 $157 98¢ $199 +$41 10-19 19:48
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +197 $134 98¢ $194 +$60 10-16 01:53
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +194 $75 99¢ $191 +$117 10-05 13:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +203 $191 92¢ $188 -$3 10-15 17:48
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? No +595 $276 31¢ $184 -$92 10-16 00:38
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +190 $167 84¢ $159 -$7 10-15 04:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +149 $103 94¢ $139 +$36 10-19 18:14
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +241 $126 56¢ $136 +$10 10-17 13:34
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +120 $41 100¢ $120 +$79 10-16 11:21
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +143 $119 84¢ $119 +$1 10-14 21:08
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October? No +118 $60 100¢ $118 +$58 10-16 01:04
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +125 $118 94¢ $117 -$2 10-15 22:10
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +164 $117 68¢ $111 -$5 10-16 14:26
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +119 $95 89¢ $106 +$11 10-16 00:36
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +241 $113 44¢ $105 -$8 10-16 23:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +100 $69 99¢ $99 +$30 10-04 23:42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +116 $92 78¢ $91 $0 10-15 21:18