Realized P&L
+$837
Unrealized P&L
+$460
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
4,986
Trades
23,605
lifetime
Volume
$76.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$1.66K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 10-28 22:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
58% 45% +$567
Crypto
36% 47% +$222
Politics
5% 38% +$55
Tech
1% 31% -$4
Sports
0% 40% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 1008 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +215 $118 100¢ $214 +$96 10-28 00:42
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +195 $132 86¢ $169 +$36 10-28 17:37
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +101 $80 100¢ $101 +$20 10-27 20:16
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? Yes +100 $75 100¢ $100 +$25 10-28 09:45
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +85 $29 89¢ $76 +$47 10-27 08:28
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +72 $31 99¢ $72 +$41 10-10 22:28
kanye west performs in russia by october 31 No +62 $51 100¢ $62 +$10 09-29 13:42
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +72 $44 84¢ $61 +$17 10-27 23:17
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +60 $41 98¢ $59 +$18 10-20 21:54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +52 $35 97¢ $50 +$15 10-21 10:53
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +60 $44 84¢ $50 +$6 10-25 13:52
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +50 $20 98¢ $49 +$29 10-05 19:58
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +48 $21 98¢ $47 +$25 09-27 18:05
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +40 $29 98¢ $39 +$10 10-17 04:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +40 $33 98¢ $39 +$6 10-25 16:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +40 $16 97¢ $39 +$23 09-18 20:12
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $29 95¢ $38 +$9 10-23 13:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +57 $23 62¢ $35 +$12 10-28 14:48
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +40 $30 87¢ $35 +$5 10-25 15:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +35 $29 96¢ $34 +$5 10-28 18:08
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? No +50 $36 66¢ $33 -$3 10-27 19:10
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +40 $37 77¢ $31 -$6 10-25 22:26
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +30 $16 100¢ $30 +$14 10-26 19:32
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +30 $25 99¢ $30 +$5 10-19 05:24
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? Yes +30 $27 99¢ $30 +$3 10-27 14:26
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +30 $20 98¢ $30 +$10 10-19 14:12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +30 $23 98¢ $29 +$7 10-07 23:48
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +30 $28 96¢ $29 +$1 10-04 22:08
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +204 $59 14¢ $28 -$31 10-28 18:29
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +30 $21 90¢ $27 +$6 10-18 22:32