Realized P&L
+$867
Unrealized P&L
+$1.02K
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
7,478
Trades
58,094
lifetime
Volume
$241.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$2.91K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-02
last 10-22 14:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Other
93% 46% +$874
Politics
4% 46% +$113
Crypto
3% 43% -$49
Sports
1% 35% -$73
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 1305 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +250 $107 91¢ $228 +$121 08-13 18:58
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +213 $88 98¢ $208 +$120 10-12 18:42
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +210 $133 82¢ $173 +$40 10-08 14:54
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +190 $101 82¢ $157 +$55 09-20 16:02
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +158 $63 99¢ $156 +$94 10-12 08:20
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +160 $82 93¢ $149 +$66 08-27 07:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +140 $105 99¢ $139 +$34 09-05 18:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +158 $93 84¢ $133 +$41 09-06 09:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +150 $86 84¢ $127 +$41 10-10 11:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +120 $67 98¢ $117 +$50 09-28 12:21
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +113 $86 97¢ $110 +$24 09-15 18:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +138 $70 78¢ $108 +$37 09-21 16:59
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +100 $67 98¢ $99 +$32 09-29 20:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +81 $58 100¢ $80 +$23 10-21 22:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +124 $49 60¢ $74 +$25 10-20 16:18
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +80 $49 92¢ $73 +$24 10-21 20:07
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $73 71¢ $71 -$2 09-28 14:43
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +70 $42 99¢ $69 +$28 08-20 21:16
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +66 $25 99¢ $65 +$41 10-04 22:59
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +60 $44 99¢ $59 +$15 10-05 19:51
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +60 $32 98¢ $59 +$27 10-08 00:33
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +60 $41 98¢ $59 +$18 10-22 01:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +60 $46 96¢ $58 +$12 10-21 22:40
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +70 $53 77¢ $54 +$1 09-28 11:47
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +52 $18 100¢ $52 +$35 09-18 21:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +52 $40 94¢ $49 +$10 09-21 16:35
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +50 $32 98¢ $49 +$17 09-06 20:46
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +50 $42 96¢ $48 +$6 10-19 20:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +121 $73 40¢ $48 -$24 10-20 15:29
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +50 $26 82¢ $41 +$15 10-21 16:59