Realized P&L
+$863
Unrealized P&L
+$1.02K
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
7,475
Trades
58,094
lifetime
Volume
$241.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$2.97K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-02
last 10-22 14:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
93% 46% +$870
Politics
4% 46% +$113
Crypto
3% 43% -$49
Sports
1% 35% -$73
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 1336 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +250 $107 90¢ $226 +$120 08-13 18:58
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +213 $88 99¢ $211 +$123 10-12 18:42
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +210 $133 84¢ $175 +$42 10-08 14:54
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +190 $101 84¢ $160 +$58 09-20 16:02
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +158 $63 95¢ $149 +$87 10-12 08:20
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +160 $82 93¢ $149 +$66 08-27 07:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +140 $105 99¢ $138 +$33 09-05 18:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +158 $93 84¢ $132 +$39 09-06 09:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +150 $86 86¢ $128 +$42 10-10 11:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +120 $67 97¢ $116 +$49 09-28 12:21
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +138 $70 82¢ $113 +$42 09-21 16:59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +113 $86 96¢ $109 +$23 09-15 18:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +103 $82 100¢ $103 +$21 10-21 23:06
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +100 $67 96¢ $97 +$30 09-29 20:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +124 $49 63¢ $78 +$30 10-20 16:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +81 $58 96¢ $78 +$20 10-21 22:27
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $73 72¢ $71 -$2 09-28 14:43
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +80 $49 88¢ $70 +$21 10-21 20:07
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +70 $42 98¢ $69 +$27 08-20 21:16
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +66 $25 100¢ $66 +$41 10-04 22:59
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +60 $44 99¢ $59 +$15 10-05 19:51
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +60 $41 97¢ $58 +$17 10-22 01:01
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +60 $32 96¢ $57 +$26 10-08 00:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +60 $46 94¢ $56 +$10 10-21 22:40
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +70 $53 77¢ $54 +$1 09-28 11:47
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +52 $18 100¢ $52 +$35 09-18 21:09
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +50 $32 98¢ $49 +$17 09-06 20:46
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +52 $40 94¢ $49 +$9 09-21 16:35
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +50 $42 96¢ $48 +$6 10-19 20:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +121 $73 37¢ $44 -$28 10-20 15:29