Handy-Thrush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$716

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

1,315

Trades

3,561

lifetime

Volume

$7.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$126

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 11-02 03:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 25% -$280

Other

23% 27% -$264

Sports

15% 19% +$37

Politics

5% 19% -$209

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	-100	-$55	100¢	$-100	-$45	05-26 11:12
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-120	-$70	20¢	$-23	+$46	10-05 20:50
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	+954	$0	0¢	$2	+$2	10-28 23:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	16	$477	792	912	-120	open	—	10-05 20:50
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	24	$248	2,155	1,369	+787	No	-$107	06-24 03:25
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	6	$202	500	500	+0	Yes	+$195	08-21 08:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	14	$131	340	340	+0	Yes	+$15	06-17 09:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 6?	11	$128	124	114	+10	Yes	+$100	10-07 02:02
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$123	102	102	+0	No	+$82	06-27 14:19
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	7	$119	1,030	80	+950	No	-$100	05-28 22:25
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$112	466	466	+0	No	+$58	07-12 18:35
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$109	250	250	+0	No	+$2	07-13 20:16
will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	13	$100	347	264	+83	No	+$6	08-31 20:33
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$95	473	473	-0	Yes	+$39	06-27 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:20 UTC	5	$71	172	160	+12	Down	+$63	04-22 02:24
spx up or down on july 2 2026	8	$69	149	149	+0	Up	+$60	07-02 20:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	9	$56	176	156	+20	No	$0	08-13 20:41
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	1	$55	0	100	-100	open	—	05-26 11:12
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026	9	$49	56	36	+21	Yes	-$10	08-28 06:25
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	8	$49	520	520	+0	No	+$2	09-26 18:12
will jos luis rodrguez zapatero be arrested by june 30	4	$46	155	155	+0	No	-$15	06-17 11:08
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova	6	$46	60	60	+0	Diane Parry	+$3	05-30 13:20
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 28	7	$44	43	34	+9	No	+$1	08-31 23:03
spx up or down on june 17 2026	5	$42	100	20	+80	Down	-$6	06-17 19:18
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	14	$42	147	96	+51	Yes	+$20	07-05 15:27
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	11	$42	324	60	+264	Elina Svitolina	-$2	05-31 13:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	4	$39	17,331	0	+17,331	Yes	-$39	06-14 22:08
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$39	122	0	+122	Yes	-$39	06-24 09:48
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 04:00 UTC	6	$39	538	382	+155	Down	+$37	08-11 07:57
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2	$36	71	0	+71	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	-$36	05-28 13:34
spx up or down on june 16 2026	10	$36	142	70	+72	Down	+$0	06-16 18:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 01:35 UTC	3	$36	175	163	+11	Up	-$4	04-22 01:38
f1 british grand prix driver podium verstappen 2026 07 05	6	$34	50	50	+0	No	+$18	07-05 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 03:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x967ac8…
11-02 03:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x0d568a…
11-02 03:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe3fc46…
11-02 03:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9fc5d6…
11-02 03:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	164	1¢	$2	0x2f96dc…
11-02 02:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xb703e9…
11-02 02:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x934db0…
11-02 02:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x23105d…
11-02 02:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa331cd…
11-02 02:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x376560…
11-02 02:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7dff01…
11-02 00:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x875840…
11-02 00:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x702b51…
11-02 00:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x96a790…
11-02 00:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb2f5b1…
11-02 00:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa2c1bb…
11-02 00:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2cad77…
11-02 00:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	45	28¢	$13	0x182c1a…
11-02 00:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x05398b…
11-01 23:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x048b93…
11-01 23:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa44222…
11-01 23:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xdccb32…
11-01 23:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x63be22…
11-01 23:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x194677…
11-01 22:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x181119…
11-01 22:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe6af72…
11-01 22:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	290	0¢	$1	0x79b59e…
11-01 22:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xef4b16…
11-01 22:19:43	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc99288…
11-01 22:19:42	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x28eca3…
11-01 22:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x192d70…
11-01 22:05:33	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0xa5cf7d…
11-01 22:05:25	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7cb658…
11-01 21:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xa76bc1…
11-01 21:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9a39c8…
11-01 21:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x71fda1…
11-01 21:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xda5ca3…
11-01 21:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x976d25…
11-01 21:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x71f0ca…
11-01 21:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4c493b…
11-01 20:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf27861…
11-01 20:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfca29f…
11-01 20:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xac5923…
11-01 20:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x8c80b5…
11-01 20:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x308cf4…
11-01 20:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x81447b…
11-01 20:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x90c123…
11-01 20:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x355e2c…
11-01 20:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x75bd2e…
11-01 20:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7eeede…
11-01 20:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x7f969f…
11-01 20:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9e9de7…
11-01 20:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xda5d86…
11-01 20:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3e6cfe…
11-01 20:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe1780b…
11-01 19:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0x0438cf…
11-01 19:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6a58ba…
11-01 19:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf26050…
11-01 19:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x544c6b…
11-01 19:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0xa00483…
11-01 19:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xb41678…
11-01 19:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfafad4…
11-01 19:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x24f8a5…
11-01 19:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf49834…
11-01 18:45:45	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xd783bd…
11-01 18:45:45	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x569adc…
11-01 04:08:13	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x112157…
11-01 03:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xbf1e7f…
11-01 03:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x046111…
11-01 03:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe32485…
11-01 03:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0xc0cb02…
11-01 03:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdc2123…
11-01 02:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbc1714…
11-01 02:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9583a2…
11-01 02:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe60684…
11-01 01:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb17a5b…
11-01 01:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xaf60c5…
11-01 01:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x379ed2…
11-01 01:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x5d3e91…
11-01 01:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd79892…
11-01 00:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7714f2…
11-01 00:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xd0934a…
11-01 00:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5652aa…
11-01 00:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb15dc1…
11-01 00:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x686287…
11-01 00:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xdb8b01…
11-01 00:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcdf713…
11-01 00:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6f9db8…
10-31 23:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x732a7a…
10-31 23:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x38a81c…
10-31 23:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0f765a…
10-31 23:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x59dfb8…
10-31 23:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xace5b3…
10-31 23:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xcd20c4…
10-31 23:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x00b0a7…
10-31 23:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x8e1889…
10-31 22:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x012b46…
10-31 22:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x94b910…
10-31 22:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xec696f…
10-31 22:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4e5e89…