Handy-Thrush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$152

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,196

lifetime

Volume

$2.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$96

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-10 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 38% $-18

Other

20% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+1,793	$163	4¢	$74	$-89	05-30 19:47
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+753	$85	3¢	$22	$-63	05-28 22:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	10	$163	1,793	0	+1,793	open	—	05-30 19:47
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	3	$85	753	0	+753	open	—	05-28 22:25
btc updown 5m 1776824400	5	$71	172	160	+12	open	—	04-22 02:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	9	$61	280	20	+260	open	—	06-01 14:44
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova	6	$46	60	60	+0	open	—	05-30 13:20
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	9	$37	224	40	+184	open	—	05-31 13:10
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2	$36	71	0	+71	open	—	05-28 13:34
btc updown 5m 1776821700	3	$36	175	163	+11	open	—	04-22 01:38
Roland Garros WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Kimberly Birrell	2	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	05-28 10:49
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	1	$31	155	0	+155	open	—	05-27 22:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	5	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	05-30 12:24
btc updown 5m 1776712500	3	$27	300	0	+300	open	—	04-20 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$25	31	29	+2	open	—	04-25 21:44
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	05-27 18:52
btc updown 5m 1776741300	3	$22	20	19	+1	open	—	04-21 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$21	25	23	+2	open	—	04-25 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	7	$21	41	41	+0	open	—	05-31 22:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	1	$20	400	0	+400	open	—	06-01 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$19	100	100	+0	open	—	05-23 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$18	42	39	+3	open	—	04-25 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	5	$18	22	19	+3	Up	+$0	05-09 18:14
btc updown 5m 1776768000	4	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	04-21 10:42
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	05-28 12:34
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	6	$17	100	25	+75	open	—	05-31 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	7	$17	347	97	+250	Up	+$5	05-09 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$17	43	40	+3	open	—	04-27 17:59
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys	1	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	05-27 16:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$16	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-19 19:39
Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam Walton	1	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	05-28 11:33
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	05-27 18:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:41:25	btc updown 15m 1781055000	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x3d7bca…
06-10 00:57:13	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xe25fe5…
06-10 00:57:07	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xff53b9…
06-10 00:57:07	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xe86344…
06-10 00:57:06	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbf2eca…
06-10 00:39:34	btc updown 15m 1781051400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x04141f…
06-10 00:39:00	btc updown 15m 1781051400	Up	SELL	97	2¢	$2	0xa4e081…
06-10 00:37:48	btc updown 15m 1781051400	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe7865c…
06-10 00:36:28	btc updown 15m 1781051400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x683287…
06-10 00:32:09	btc updown 15m 1781051400	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xd45174…
06-10 00:29:28	btc updown 15m 1781050500	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1d5480…
06-10 00:08:37	btc updown 15m 1781049600	Down	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x8d0743…
06-10 00:05:06	btc updown 15m 1781049600	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x2692e1…
06-10 00:04:18	btc updown 15m 1781049600	Down	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x867e91…
06-10 00:02:42	btc updown 15m 1781049600	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0425d5…
06-09 23:54:03	btc updown 15m 1781048700	Down	SELL	33	18¢	$6	0x9d5123…
06-09 23:53:22	btc updown 15m 1781048700	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xaf9e8a…
06-09 23:09:54	btc updown 15m 1781046000	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xd77d73…
06-09 23:08:48	btc updown 15m 1781046000	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4b24be…
06-09 22:57:49	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x57a9ff…
06-09 22:48:25	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$2	0x76c466…
06-09 22:45:52	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe1ea6c…
06-09 22:13:33	btc updown 15m 1781042400	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xc38eb0…
06-09 22:13:33	btc updown 15m 1781042400	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xb6ef0b…
06-09 22:13:33	btc updown 15m 1781042400	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x91440b…
06-09 21:56:21	btc updown 15m 1781041500	Up	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x637cb0…
06-09 21:56:19	btc updown 15m 1781041500	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb98a15…
06-09 21:56:18	btc updown 15m 1781041500	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xad7c2e…
06-09 21:56:16	btc updown 15m 1781041500	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x754515…
06-09 21:56:16	btc updown 15m 1781041500	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x1fbc52…
06-09 21:56:13	btc updown 15m 1781041500	Up	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xb390ea…
06-01 14:44:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0xad6684…
06-01 14:43:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x4a0eda…
06-01 14:43:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x3cd595…
06-01 14:42:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x50c919…
06-01 14:41:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	11¢	$15	0x7fbced…
06-01 07:40:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x151c26…
06-01 07:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0xe56267…
06-01 07:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0x741fc2…
06-01 07:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0xf7a38c…
06-01 07:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x24ea51…
06-01 07:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x2206ab…
06-01 07:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x6bfbeb…
06-01 07:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x17df9d…
06-01 07:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xcecba3…
06-01 07:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xca7075…
06-01 07:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x488c7d…
06-01 07:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x40eff6…
06-01 07:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x100da1…
06-01 07:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x890101…
06-01 07:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0x8e7f95…
06-01 07:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0xbe1719…
06-01 07:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x3b514a…
06-01 04:33:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x51cb72…
06-01 01:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x006889…
06-01 01:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x66cf1a…
06-01 01:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0x10a5e7…
06-01 01:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0xc46736…
06-01 01:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x27c670…
06-01 00:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	127	1¢	$1	0x091d4b…
06-01 00:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xe7b8ea…
06-01 00:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xd4b28f…
06-01 00:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xbc1133…
06-01 00:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x31322f…
06-01 00:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x40e878…
06-01 00:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	51	1¢	$0	0x905d38…
06-01 00:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x977bf3…
05-31 23:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x725cbd…
05-31 23:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x52d9be…
05-31 23:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xd6448d…
05-31 23:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xb1ad4a…
05-31 23:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xb6bc87…
05-31 23:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xf88db9…
05-31 23:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xeac957…
05-31 23:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xa5134a…
05-31 23:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xd2bf01…
05-31 23:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x770d28…
05-31 22:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xfdc2d6…
05-31 22:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x1c2719…
05-31 22:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x346647…
05-31 22:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x329362…
05-31 22:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xac6f94…
05-31 22:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x873179…
05-31 22:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x019833…
05-31 22:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xf16e55…
05-31 22:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x2a1bac…
05-31 22:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbfe880…
05-31 21:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x7d939a…
05-31 21:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xd252f4…
05-31 21:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x4fc9cb…
05-31 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0xce3cda…
05-31 21:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xa63f3f…
05-31 21:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xbb321c…
05-31 21:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xce5cd8…
05-31 21:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc4fb14…
05-31 19:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	32¢	$2	0xa8ad90…
05-31 19:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xac510e…
05-31 18:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0x255976…
05-31 18:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x4fdcb4…
05-31 14:53:52	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xab89cd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	458	$321.2K	10,030	06-10 00:57
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	448	$112.3K	19,057	06-10 01:41
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	446	$975.2K	36,660	06-10 01:42
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	444	$117.2K	34,434	06-10 01:40
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	444	$116.2K	34,158	06-10 01:41
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	441	$274.9K	17,914	06-01 07:28
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	440	$124.6K	20,682	06-10 01:41
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	440	$38.6K	3,943	06-10 01:41