Realized P&L
+$61.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$11.5K
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
233
Trades
35,375
lifetime
Volume
$6.99M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$198
Open exposure
$410.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 07:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Politics
65%
66%
+$47,217
Other
28%
56%
+$13,871
Crypto
7%
66%
-$264
Tech
0%
78%
+$568
Sports
0%
100%
+$74
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk
• peak 194 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | +325,034 | $300,159 | 98¢ | $318.4K | +$18,212 | 05-26 14:26 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | +14,257 | $10,138 | 96¢ | $13.8K | +$3,620 | 10-25 22:31 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | +14,078 | $5,885 | 88¢ | $12.5K | +$6,574 | 10-22 08:43 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | +9,770 | $7,712 | 98¢ | $9.6K | +$1,852 | 10-27 07:36 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | +9,874 | $5,089 | 93¢ | $9.2K | +$4,093 | 10-27 07:35 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | +324,623 | $25,094 | 2¢ | $6.7K | -$18,440 | 06-07 00:33 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | +5,313 | $4,757 | 99¢ | $5.3K | +$505 | 10-17 07:30 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +11,582 | $4,110 | 44¢ | $5.1K | +$986 | 10-25 14:56 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | +6,002 | $2,193 | 76¢ | $4.6K | +$2,399 | 10-25 15:23 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | +4,247 | $3,926 | 99¢ | $4.2K | +$294 | 10-27 07:35 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | -4,315 | -$2,290 | 96¢ | $-4142 | -$1,852 | 10-27 05:22 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | +5,893 | $2,634 | 56¢ | $3.3K | +$666 | 10-25 07:38 | |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | +2,174 | $2,045 | 98¢ | $2.1K | +$88 | 09-22 16:53 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | +14,128 | $3,213 | 12¢ | $1.6K | -$1,588 | 10-26 06:08 | |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +1,045 | $973 | 98¢ | $1.0K | +$46 | 07-13 15:46 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | +3,437 | $717 | 29¢ | $981 | +$264 | 10-25 00:17 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | +21,670 | $5,608 | 4¢ | $867 | -$4,741 | 10-26 17:58 | |
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | +747 | $708 | 98¢ | $731 | +$23 | 07-13 06:16 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +1,012 | $800 | 71¢ | $723 | -$77 | 10-06 03:58 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | +2,871 | $978 | 24¢ | $675 | -$303 | 10-21 12:37 | |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -657 | $98 | 93¢ | $-611 | -$709 | 08-13 00:17 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | +879 | $503 | 63¢ | $556 | +$53 | 10-23 21:59 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | Yes | +1,450 | $526 | 37¢ | $532 | +$7 | 10-25 03:11 | |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +550 | $418 | 96¢ | $525 | +$107 | 07-16 04:37 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | +556 | $374 | 92¢ | $514 | +$140 | 10-23 22:22 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +559 | $342 | 91¢ | $509 | +$167 | 08-11 14:22 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +500 | $445 | 94¢ | $468 | +$22 | 08-03 11:33 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | +6,069 | $1,628 | 7¢ | $425 | -$1,203 | 10-27 00:48 | |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | +599 | $225 | 62¢ | $372 | +$146 | 10-27 01:41 | |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | +378 | $203 | 94¢ | $353 | +$150 | 06-20 03:14 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 1,536 | $465.1K | 688,204 | 235,576 | +452,628 | Yes | +$8,932 | 04-21 18:07 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 1,515 | $439.1K | 442,768 | 241,586 | +201,182 | Yes | +$13,005 | 04-21 18:01 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 3,604 | $386.5K | 781,942 | 132,285 | +649,657 | open | — | 06-07 00:33 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1,143 | $384.7K | 417,201 | 264,763 | +152,438 | Yes | +$26,494 | 06-15 08:50 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 1,276 | $312.0K | 525,989 | 85,822 | +440,167 | Yes | -$3,557 | 04-21 15:57 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | 918 | $216.7K | 359,635 | 138,772 | +220,863 | Yes | -$8,520 | 06-15 08:50 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 431 | $204.4K | 244,622 | 126,319 | +118,303 | Yes | +$6,620 | 06-16 10:36 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 911 | $203.3K | 302,003 | 165,189 | +136,814 | Yes | -$2,957 | 04-07 22:23 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 1,187 | $196.4K | 632,762 | 523,347 | +109,415 | Yes | -$197 | 06-14 21:45 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 1,504 | $192.7K | 687,376 | 605,409 | +81,967 | No | -$144 | 05-31 21:11 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 1,146 | $190.8K | 301,372 | 101,177 | +200,195 | Yes | -$3,972 | 04-07 22:13 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | 885 | $189.3K | 245,328 | 131,812 | +113,516 | Yes | +$2,244 | 04-21 18:14 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 497 | $171.0K | 295,257 | 193,134 | +102,123 | No | -$2,550 | 03-06 15:28 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552 | 750 | $151.0K | 259,708 | 69,541 | +190,167 | No | -$772 | 03-29 10:42 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 779 | $148.3K | 257,253 | 162,792 | +94,461 | Yes | -$3,514 | 02-28 21:04 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 714 | $146.7K | 267,279 | 52,278 | +215,001 | Yes | +$2,271 | 03-30 15:49 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | 596 | $137.4K | 231,395 | 105,445 | +125,950 | Yes | +$3,091 | 04-21 14:06 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597 | 697 | $133.7K | 222,180 | 49,435 | +172,745 | No | +$2,625 | 03-19 06:24 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881 | 665 | $129.5K | 256,237 | 13,856 | +242,381 | No | +$5,723 | 03-31 11:45 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | 689 | $121.2K | 153,139 | 68,180 | +84,960 | Yes | -$347 | 04-07 22:25 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 625 | $118.9K | 162,321 | 66,167 | +96,154 | Yes | +$250 | 04-07 22:17 |
| us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046 | 545 | $108.7K | 139,593 | 51,744 | +87,849 | Yes | +$7,004 | 08-12 14:28 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | 303 | $96.5K | 116,972 | 50,667 | +66,305 | Yes | -$2,052 | 08-12 10:01 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | 703 | $92.7K | 173,258 | 86,982 | +86,275 | Yes | -$1,496 | 08-12 15:06 |
| cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27 | 82 | $91.2K | 94,352 | 44,112 | +50,241 | Connecticut Huskies | -$6,759 | 03-28 03:31 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 387 | $90.4K | 132,056 | 44,384 | +87,672 | No | +$1,315 | 04-20 04:42 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 481 | $69.0K | 118,710 | 20,087 | +98,623 | No | -$8,362 | 03-31 13:54 |
| over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632 | 223 | $66.6K | 127,924 | 21,742 | +106,182 | Yes | +$8,423 | 01-10 15:43 |
| over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655 | 169 | $61.7K | 55,679 | 39,348 | +16,331 | Yes | +$1,453 | 01-10 15:44 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | 225 | $61.4K | 102,864 | 45,217 | +57,647 | Yes | -$2,748 | 06-16 08:39 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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