Realized P&L
+$252
Unrealized P&L
+$5.54K
Hit rate
92.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
25,006
lifetime
Volume
$5.14M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$205
Open exposure
$43.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-09 21:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
63% 100% +$63
Other
30%
Crypto
7% 40% +$189
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 1390 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +18,076 $7,866 84¢ $15.1K +$7,228 06-09 13:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +15,811 $9,642 68¢ $10.7K +$1,030 06-08 22:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +13,487 $2,264 32¢ $4.4K +$2,119 06-08 23:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +25,923 $9,222 16¢ $4.3K $-4,944 06-06 10:52
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +2,497 $1,693 68¢ $1.7K $-8 06-08 00:31
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +1,544 $1,136 76¢ $1.2K +$37 06-05 19:00
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1,284 $1,115 88¢ $1.1K +$21 06-07 16:45
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +2,329 $1,074 47¢ $1.1K +$21 06-09 04:32
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +1,625 $545 39¢ $634 +$88 06-09 09:58
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -805 $-525 63¢ $-507 +$18 06-09 14:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -449 $-437 99¢ $-443 $-6 05-29 15:01
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -487 $-429 77¢ $-375 +$54 06-08 12:49
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -1,000 $-350 32¢ $-325 +$25 06-01 12:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -326 $-266 93¢ $-303 $-37 05-29 10:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -307 $-274 96¢ $-294 $-20 05-29 09:12
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -617 $-296 48¢ $-293 +$3 06-02 16:05
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +613 $166 30¢ $184 +$18 06-09 21:46
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +300 $141 50¢ $150 +$9 06-08 19:50
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -345 $-77 26¢ $-91 $-14 06-04 07:49
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +154 $94 57¢ $88 $-7 06-08 12:44
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -95 $-66 70¢ $-67 $-1 06-02 13:38
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No -95 $-60 67¢ $-64 $-4 06-02 10:02
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -554 $-72 12¢ $-64 +$8 06-07 21:18
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -112 $-58 50¢ $-56 +$2 06-08 12:44
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +90 $31 37¢ $33 +$3 06-04 11:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +471 $132 $26 $-106 06-07 00:33
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No -24 $-16 70¢ $-17 $-1 06-06 03:53
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +23 $8 46¢ $10 +$2 06-09 05:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes -300 $-5 $-3 +$2 06-03 10:24
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +6 $0 44¢ $3 +$2 06-06 03:52