Realized P&L
+$61.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$30.9K
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
235
Trades
36,269
lifetime
Volume
$7.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$198
Open exposure
$504.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-30 15:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 76 days
Categories
Politics
64% 66% +$47,217
Other
28% 55% +$13,885
Crypto
8% 66% -$264
Tech
0% 78% +$568
Sports
0% 100% +$74
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 430 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +325,034 $300,159 97¢ $315.4K +$15,287 05-26 14:26
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +48,259 $29,147 53¢ $25.4K -$3,715 10-30 06:51
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +21,952 $13,025 92¢ $20.1K +$7,061 10-30 00:06
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +20,287 $15,114 94¢ $19.0K +$3,855 10-30 11:10
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? Yes +16,753 $5,940 100¢ $16.8K +$10,814 10-30 16:05
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +17,021 $12,821 98¢ $16.6K +$3,775 10-28 11:31
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +34,429 $8,238 47¢ $16.3K +$8,047 10-30 13:12
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +9,813 $9,134 99¢ $9.7K +$561 10-27 13:12
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +324,623 $25,094 3¢ $9.6K -$15,518 06-07 00:33
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +8,247 $7,820 100¢ $8.2K +$403 10-27 13:12
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? Yes +8,040 $4,231 100¢ $8.0K +$3,809 10-30 16:04
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +5,338 $3,285 99¢ $5.3K +$1,975 10-30 00:27
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +4,572 $5,919 96¢ $4.4K -$1,553 10-30 01:34
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +5,394 $3,012 78¢ $4.2K +$1,180 10-28 15:28
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +5,064 $1,513 82¢ $4.1K +$2,614 10-29 16:07
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? Yes +4,072 $3,345 100¢ $4.1K +$727 10-30 14:24
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes +11,533 $4,812 22¢ $2.6K -$2,240 10-30 04:25
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +13,811 $3,076 18¢ $2.6K -$521 10-30 12:38
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +2,802 $1,989 86¢ $2.4K +$423 10-29 16:12
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +2,174 $2,045 96¢ $2.1K +$38 09-22 16:53
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +23,725 $3,839 8¢ $2.0K -$1,822 10-30 12:26
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +23,916 $5,618 4¢ $1.1K -$4,541 10-29 23:27
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1,045 $973 97¢ $1.0K +$40 07-13 15:46
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +747 $708 98¢ $732 +$24 07-13 06:16
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -657 $98 93¢ $-612 -$710 08-13 00:17
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? Yes +527 $490 100¢ $526 +$36 10-30 13:19
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +550 $418 95¢ $523 +$105 07-16 04:37
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +559 $342 94¢ $523 +$181 08-11 14:22
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +3,729 $115 14¢ $518 +$404 10-30 13:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +556 $374 92¢ $514 +$140 10-23 22:22