Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$16.5K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
75
38,948 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$13.4K
$7.62M lifetime
Avg / trade
$196
Open exposure
$504.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-14 02:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Politics
63%
63%
+$48,086
Other
28%
55%
+$17,586
Crypto
9%
61%
-$232
Tech
0%
78%
+$568
Sports
0%
100%
+$74
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk
• peak 1107 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | +325,034 | $300,159 | 99¢ | $321.6K | +$21,462 | 05-26 14:26 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +38,531 | $9,946 | 61¢ | $23.4K | +$13,461 | 11-12 12:09 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | +27,537 | $17,971 | 85¢ | $23.3K | +$5,325 | 11-14 04:10 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | +21,144 | $21,314 | 92¢ | $19.4K | -$1,956 | 11-13 09:36 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | +19,020 | $14,762 | 95¢ | $18.1K | +$3,383 | 11-11 03:30 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | +43,401 | $25,955 | 39¢ | $17.0K | -$8,920 | 11-14 04:11 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | +12,501 | $7,853 | 89¢ | $11.1K | +$3,254 | 11-13 02:55 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | +9,813 | $9,134 | 99¢ | $9.7K | +$546 | 10-27 13:12 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | +8,253 | $7,824 | 100¢ | $8.2K | +$388 | 11-04 14:56 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +7,461 | $5,599 | 90¢ | $6.7K | +$1,093 | 11-13 09:34 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | +8,104 | $4,831 | 80¢ | $6.4K | +$1,615 | 11-12 21:21 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | +15,777 | $3,453 | 36¢ | $5.6K | +$2,148 | 11-13 06:00 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | +8,453 | $3,902 | 64¢ | $5.5K | +$1,550 | 11-14 03:21 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | +29,881 | $4,540 | 15¢ | $4.6K | +$61 | 11-13 05:10 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | +3,522 | $1,462 | 98¢ | $3.5K | +$2,002 | 11-13 19:21 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | +324,623 | $25,094 | 1¢ | $3.4K | -$21,686 | 06-07 00:33 | |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | +2,174 | $2,045 | 97¢ | $2.1K | +$65 | 09-22 16:53 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | Yes | +10,184 | $4,316 | 20¢ | $2.1K | -$2,234 | 11-14 03:44 | |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | Yes | +1,962 | $1,596 | 99¢ | $2.0K | +$355 | 11-04 07:30 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | +22,894 | $5,509 | 8¢ | $1.9K | -$3,575 | 11-13 02:48 | |
| Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027? | No | +2,406 | $1,573 | 70¢ | $1.7K | +$123 | 11-14 02:54 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | +10,377 | $2,013 | 11¢ | $1.2K | -$856 | 11-13 02:51 | |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +1,045 | $973 | 97¢ | $1.0K | +$42 | 07-13 15:46 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | +9,026 | $798 | 10¢ | $930 | +$132 | 11-14 03:43 | |
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | +747 | $708 | 98¢ | $734 | +$26 | 07-13 06:16 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | +15,930 | $2,255 | 5¢ | $733 | -$1,522 | 11-14 03:42 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? | Yes | +670 | $665 | 99¢ | $665 | +$0 | 10-28 06:47 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | +655 | $563 | 94¢ | $612 | +$49 | 11-02 11:56 | |
| Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027? | Yes | +883 | $542 | 68¢ | $596 | +$54 | 11-08 08:22 | |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +550 | $418 | 96¢ | $527 | +$109 | 07-16 04:37 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 1,536 | $465.1K | 688,204 | 235,576 | +452,628 | Yes | +$8,932 | 04-21 18:07 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 1,515 | $439.1K | 442,768 | 241,586 | +201,182 | Yes | +$13,005 | 04-21 18:01 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 3,604 | $386.5K | 781,942 | 132,285 | +649,657 | open | — | 06-07 00:33 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1,143 | $384.7K | 417,201 | 264,763 | +152,438 | Yes | +$26,494 | 06-15 08:50 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 1,276 | $312.0K | 525,989 | 85,822 | +440,167 | Yes | -$3,557 | 04-21 15:57 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | 918 | $216.7K | 359,635 | 138,772 | +220,863 | Yes | -$8,520 | 06-15 08:50 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 431 | $204.4K | 244,622 | 126,319 | +118,303 | Yes | +$6,620 | 06-16 10:36 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 911 | $203.3K | 302,003 | 165,189 | +136,814 | Yes | -$2,957 | 04-07 22:23 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 1,187 | $196.4K | 632,762 | 523,347 | +109,415 | Yes | -$197 | 06-14 21:45 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 1,504 | $192.7K | 687,376 | 605,409 | +81,967 | No | -$144 | 05-31 21:11 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 1,146 | $190.8K | 301,372 | 101,177 | +200,195 | Yes | -$3,972 | 04-07 22:13 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | 885 | $189.3K | 245,328 | 131,812 | +113,516 | Yes | +$2,244 | 04-21 18:14 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 497 | $171.0K | 295,257 | 193,134 | +102,123 | No | -$2,550 | 03-06 15:28 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552 | 750 | $151.0K | 259,708 | 69,541 | +190,167 | No | -$772 | 03-29 10:42 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 779 | $148.3K | 257,253 | 162,792 | +94,461 | Yes | -$3,514 | 02-28 21:04 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 714 | $146.7K | 267,279 | 52,278 | +215,001 | Yes | +$2,271 | 03-30 15:49 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | 596 | $137.4K | 231,395 | 105,445 | +125,950 | Yes | +$3,091 | 04-21 14:06 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597 | 697 | $133.7K | 222,180 | 49,435 | +172,745 | No | +$2,625 | 03-19 06:24 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 569 | $133.7K | 343,906 | 90,597 | +253,309 | No | +$870 | 11-04 04:33 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881 | 665 | $129.5K | 256,237 | 13,856 | +242,381 | No | +$5,723 | 03-31 11:45 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | 689 | $121.2K | 153,139 | 68,180 | +84,960 | Yes | -$347 | 04-07 22:25 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 625 | $118.9K | 162,321 | 66,167 | +96,154 | Yes | +$250 | 04-07 22:17 |
| us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046 | 545 | $108.7K | 139,593 | 51,744 | +87,849 | Yes | +$7,004 | 08-12 14:28 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | 303 | $96.5K | 116,972 | 50,667 | +66,305 | Yes | -$2,052 | 08-12 10:01 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | 703 | $92.7K | 173,258 | 86,982 | +86,275 | Yes | -$1,496 | 08-12 15:06 |
| cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27 | 82 | $91.2K | 94,352 | 44,112 | +50,241 | Connecticut Huskies | -$6,759 | 03-28 03:31 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 387 | $90.4K | 132,056 | 44,384 | +87,672 | No | +$1,315 | 04-20 04:42 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 481 | $69.0K | 118,710 | 20,087 | +98,623 | No | -$8,362 | 03-31 13:54 |
| over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632 | 223 | $66.6K | 127,924 | 21,742 | +106,182 | Yes | +$8,423 | 01-10 15:43 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 237 | $62.6K | 107,482 | 25,550 | +81,932 | open | — | 11-14 04:11 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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