Realized P&L (30d)
+$37
Unrealized P&L
+$15.5K
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved (30d)
6
Trades (30d)
743
35,750 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$156.0K
$7.10M lifetime
Avg / trade
$199
Open exposure
$477.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 19:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Politics
64%
66%
+$47,217
Other
28%
56%
+$13,871
Crypto
8%
66%
-$264
Tech
0%
78%
+$568
Sports
0%
100%
+$74
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk
• peak 180 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | +325,034 | $300,159 | 97¢ | $316.4K | +$16,262 | 05-26 14:26 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | +45,248 | $27,485 | 52¢ | $23.3K | -$4,160 | 10-29 14:00 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | +21,851 | $12,934 | 92¢ | $20.0K | +$7,060 | 10-29 16:02 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | +20,213 | $15,047 | 96¢ | $19.3K | +$4,257 | 10-29 15:43 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | +17,021 | $12,821 | 100¢ | $16.9K | +$4,116 | 10-28 11:31 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +32,491 | $7,451 | 48¢ | $15.7K | +$8,290 | 10-29 13:52 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | +12,712 | $10,584 | 99¢ | $12.6K | +$2,052 | 10-27 13:12 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | +9,813 | $9,134 | 100¢ | $9.8K | +$664 | 10-27 13:12 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | +324,623 | $25,094 | 3¢ | $8.6K | -$16,492 | 06-07 00:33 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | +8,247 | $7,820 | 100¢ | $8.2K | +$415 | 10-27 13:12 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | +5,394 | $3,012 | 78¢ | $4.2K | +$1,185 | 10-28 15:28 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | +5,064 | $1,513 | 78¢ | $4.0K | +$2,437 | 10-29 16:07 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | +12,388 | $2,783 | 22¢ | $2.7K | -$58 | 10-29 12:02 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +2,802 | $1,989 | 88¢ | $2.5K | +$480 | 10-29 16:12 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | Yes | +11,091 | $4,768 | 22¢ | $2.5K | -$2,306 | 10-29 17:13 | |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | +2,174 | $2,045 | 96¢ | $2.1K | +$33 | 09-22 16:53 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | +23,226 | $3,799 | 8¢ | $2.0K | -$1,824 | 10-29 13:31 | |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +1,045 | $973 | 97¢ | $1.0K | +$40 | 07-13 15:46 | |
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | +747 | $708 | 98¢ | $732 | +$24 | 07-13 06:16 | |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -657 | $98 | 93¢ | $-609 | -$707 | 08-13 00:17 | |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +550 | $418 | 95¢ | $523 | +$105 | 07-16 04:37 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | +981 | $461 | 52¢ | $515 | +$54 | 10-29 12:50 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +559 | $342 | 92¢ | $515 | +$172 | 08-11 14:22 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | +556 | $374 | 91¢ | $506 | +$132 | 10-23 22:22 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +500 | $445 | 94¢ | $468 | +$22 | 08-03 11:33 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | +23,289 | $5,598 | 2¢ | $466 | -$5,132 | 10-29 16:04 | |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | +7,503 | $531 | 6¢ | $413 | -$118 | 10-28 10:09 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | -391 | $1,443 | 98¢ | $-383 | -$1,826 | 10-28 07:11 | |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | +609 | $231 | 62¢ | $381 | +$150 | 10-29 20:10 | |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | +378 | $203 | 94¢ | $355 | +$152 | 06-20 03:14 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 1,536 | $465.1K | 688,204 | 235,576 | +452,628 | Yes | +$8,932 | 04-21 18:07 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 1,515 | $439.1K | 442,768 | 241,586 | +201,182 | Yes | +$13,005 | 04-21 18:01 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 3,604 | $386.5K | 781,942 | 132,285 | +649,657 | open | — | 06-07 00:33 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1,143 | $384.7K | 417,201 | 264,763 | +152,438 | Yes | +$26,494 | 06-15 08:50 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 1,276 | $312.0K | 525,989 | 85,822 | +440,167 | Yes | -$3,557 | 04-21 15:57 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | 918 | $216.7K | 359,635 | 138,772 | +220,863 | Yes | -$8,520 | 06-15 08:50 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 431 | $204.4K | 244,622 | 126,319 | +118,303 | Yes | +$6,620 | 06-16 10:36 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 911 | $203.3K | 302,003 | 165,189 | +136,814 | Yes | -$2,957 | 04-07 22:23 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 1,187 | $196.4K | 632,762 | 523,347 | +109,415 | Yes | -$197 | 06-14 21:45 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 1,504 | $192.7K | 687,376 | 605,409 | +81,967 | No | -$144 | 05-31 21:11 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 1,146 | $190.8K | 301,372 | 101,177 | +200,195 | Yes | -$3,972 | 04-07 22:13 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | 885 | $189.3K | 245,328 | 131,812 | +113,516 | Yes | +$2,244 | 04-21 18:14 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 497 | $171.0K | 295,257 | 193,134 | +102,123 | No | -$2,550 | 03-06 15:28 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552 | 750 | $151.0K | 259,708 | 69,541 | +190,167 | No | -$772 | 03-29 10:42 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 779 | $148.3K | 257,253 | 162,792 | +94,461 | Yes | -$3,514 | 02-28 21:04 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 714 | $146.7K | 267,279 | 52,278 | +215,001 | Yes | +$2,271 | 03-30 15:49 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | 596 | $137.4K | 231,395 | 105,445 | +125,950 | Yes | +$3,091 | 04-21 14:06 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597 | 697 | $133.7K | 222,180 | 49,435 | +172,745 | No | +$2,625 | 03-19 06:24 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881 | 665 | $129.5K | 256,237 | 13,856 | +242,381 | No | +$5,723 | 03-31 11:45 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | 689 | $121.2K | 153,139 | 68,180 | +84,960 | Yes | -$347 | 04-07 22:25 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 625 | $118.9K | 162,321 | 66,167 | +96,154 | Yes | +$250 | 04-07 22:17 |
| us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046 | 545 | $108.7K | 139,593 | 51,744 | +87,849 | Yes | +$7,004 | 08-12 14:28 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | 303 | $96.5K | 116,972 | 50,667 | +66,305 | Yes | -$2,052 | 08-12 10:01 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | 703 | $92.7K | 173,258 | 86,982 | +86,275 | Yes | -$1,496 | 08-12 15:06 |
| cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27 | 82 | $91.2K | 94,352 | 44,112 | +50,241 | Connecticut Huskies | -$6,759 | 03-28 03:31 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 387 | $90.4K | 132,056 | 44,384 | +87,672 | No | +$1,315 | 04-20 04:42 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 481 | $69.0K | 118,710 | 20,087 | +98,623 | No | -$8,362 | 03-31 13:54 |
| over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632 | 223 | $66.6K | 127,924 | 21,742 | +106,182 | Yes | +$8,423 | 01-10 15:43 |
| over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655 | 169 | $61.7K | 55,679 | 39,348 | +16,331 | Yes | +$1,453 | 01-10 15:44 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | 225 | $61.4K | 102,864 | 45,217 | +57,647 | Yes | -$2,748 | 06-16 08:39 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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