Present-Lava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.50K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.69K

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

224

Trades

5,133

lifetime

Volume

$162.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$5.91K

30 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-28 23:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 69% +$3,600

Other

44% 52% -$377

Tech

6% 86% +$359

Politics

1% 40% -$74

Sports

0% 29% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	+1,655	$1,490	96¢	$1.6K	+$107	10-27 08:37
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+1,982	$894	28¢	$564	-$331	10-28 16:45
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+666	$475	82¢	$550	+$75	10-05 00:52
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	+467	$430	94¢	$438	+$8	09-20 02:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+479	$178	90¢	$433	+$255	10-21 02:17
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	+599	$414	66¢	$392	-$22	10-28 07:35
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+1,343	$489	26¢	$356	-$133	10-10 00:00
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+363	$326	96¢	$348	+$21	08-22 17:06
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+209	$137	94¢	$195	+$58	10-20 02:23
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	+402	$108	40¢	$162	+$53	10-28 20:44
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	-160	-$113	94¢	$-149	-$37	04-28 14:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+176	$142	84¢	$149	+$7	10-20 11:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$93	92¢	$92	$0	10-20 13:21
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	+100	$81	86¢	$86	+$6	08-23 17:06
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	+110	$43	77¢	$85	+$42	09-08 21:40
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+69	$40	75¢	$52	+$12	10-14 13:49
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	+51	$31	96¢	$48	+$18	10-02 21:45
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+100	-$4	44¢	$44	+$48	10-24 06:01
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	+41	$37	98¢	$40	+$3	08-24 00:12
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	+32	$23	86¢	$28	+$5	09-27 06:06
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	+957	$536	2¢	$24	-$512	10-28 06:41
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-170	$51	13¢	$-22	-$73	09-27 18:15
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+19	-$40	77¢	$14	+$54	10-27 08:55
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	+56	$31	22¢	$12	-$19	08-26 14:07
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+342	$169	3¢	$10	-$159	10-22 19:12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,130	$511	1¢	$6	-$504	10-28 17:01
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	+98	$306	5¢	$5	-$301	10-28 10:50
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+26	$387	12¢	$3	-$384	10-28 15:05
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$1	90¢	$0	+$1	09-21 20:29
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	+0	-$10	99¢	$0	+$11	09-29 11:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	179	$8.0K	9,498	9,498	+0	Yes	+$322	06-12 19:42
will magicblock launch a token by december 31 2026	86	$4.5K	3,363	3,450	-88	open	—	09-25 08:16
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	51	$4.5K	2,765	2,828	-63	No	-$173	04-29 21:05
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	51	$3.9K	3,009	3,210	-202	Yes	+$960	04-21 14:14
will magicblock launch a token by june 30 2027	71	$3.6K	2,280	2,254	+26	open	—	09-21 13:04
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	32	$2.6K	1,426	1,736	-310	No	+$248	04-29 11:25
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	68	$2.5K	2,871	2,845	+26	open	—	10-28 15:05
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	19	$2.3K	1,504	1,418	+86	open	—	09-07 06:27
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	68	$2.2K	3,073	1,090	+1,982	open	—	10-28 16:45
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	49	$2.1K	2,405	1,907	+498	Yes	+$899	04-21 20:49
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	69	$1.9K	2,225	2,395	-170	open	—	09-27 18:15
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	29	$1.9K	1,058	1,078	-20	No	-$22	04-29 21:12
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	38	$1.9K	1,704	1,105	+599	open	—	10-28 07:35
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	25	$1.8K	1,601	1,601	+0	open	—	08-04 15:58
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	32	$1.7K	1,444	700	+744	Yes	+$1	06-12 19:58
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	78	$1.5K	2,450	2,108	+342	open	—	10-22 19:12
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	63	$1.5K	2,212	2,115	+98	open	—	10-28 10:50
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	84	$1.5K	3,410	2,453	+957	open	—	10-28 06:41
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	6	$1.5K	1,655	0	+1,655	open	—	10-27 08:37
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	28	$1.5K	1,518	1,518	+0	Yes	+$128	04-22 10:32
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	123	$1.4K	3,684	3,684	+0	No	-$347	06-12 19:46
Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027?	39	$1.4K	863	863	+0	Yes	+$79	09-29 18:45
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	14	$1.4K	738	738	-0	No	-$47	04-29 21:14
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	26	$1.4K	1,246	1,246	+0	Yes	+$254	07-03 10:30
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	40	$1.3K	1,155	1,155	+0	open	—	10-21 12:26
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	12	$1.3K	1,072	1,072	+0	No	+$516	04-30 19:45
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	15	$1.2K	581	681	-100	No	+$108	04-29 21:08
o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?	16	$1.2K	987	987	+0	Yes	+$230	06-18 13:51
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	35	$1.2K	1,424	1,424	+0	No	-$110	06-16 16:51
will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	58	$1.2K	1,891	1,865	+27	open	—	09-08 11:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:39:50	1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc097fe…
10-28 20:44:23	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	72	42¢	$31	0xac9067…
10-28 17:01:38	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xf5a777…
10-28 16:45:07	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xce73d7…
10-28 15:05:43	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x0d2431…
10-28 15:04:28	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x67df8c…
10-28 14:02:47	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xa764b2…
10-28 13:42:58	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xa85801…
10-28 13:23:50	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	175	1¢	$2	0xae280d…
10-28 13:01:59	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x774f99…
10-28 10:50:52	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	381	8¢	$31	0x7ba5bb…
10-28 10:38:47	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xd4c76d…
10-28 09:31:02	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	35¢	$23	0x81c614…
10-28 09:29:55	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	35¢	$6	0x6eabf7…
10-28 09:27:47	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	175	1¢	$2	0x1ac229…
10-28 07:36:46	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	39	62¢	$24	0xd1c2fc…
10-28 07:36:46	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	147	62¢	$91	0x28e95d…
10-28 07:35:28	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	47	55¢	$26	0xc312f9…
10-28 07:33:47	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	152	55¢	$84	0x48d8ed…
10-28 06:59:04	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe8925a…
10-28 06:48:20	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x9d3b48…
10-28 06:47:40	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	78	7¢	$6	0xfd33a2…
10-28 06:45:46	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	187	0¢	$1	0xbe521b…
10-28 06:45:14	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	254	46¢	$117	0x52cdf4…
10-28 06:43:44	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	320	10¢	$32	0x1ff1d7…
10-28 06:41:20	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	319	3¢	$10	0x950fd6…
10-28 06:39:40	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x880bd4…
10-28 06:38:26	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xf59055…
10-28 06:37:37	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	64	62¢	$40	0x20642a…
10-28 06:37:14	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xf26d34…
10-28 06:29:32	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	222	24¢	$54	0xc7cab9…
10-28 06:26:32	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xf047f5…
10-28 06:24:44	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0x4c702d…
10-28 02:06:02	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	235	5¢	$12	0xb5b963…
10-28 00:02:15	Will Solana hit $150 by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x38acd7…
10-27 21:21:27	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	166	15¢	$25	0x6c0472…
10-27 19:21:54	Will Cashmere launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x87ebe3…
10-27 18:32:14	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xe317e6…
10-27 16:52:05	TownSquare FDV above $125M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x08cf07…
10-27 16:51:54	TownSquare FDV above $125M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	54¢	$33	0xb0fb49…
10-27 16:45:24	TownSquare FDV above $125M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x0fd008…
10-27 16:40:05	GenLayer FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x02fda7…
10-27 16:39:42	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	127	41¢	$52	0x345f24…
10-27 15:28:20	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x206766…
10-27 13:49:27	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	464	50¢	$231	0x8c9adc…
10-27 13:20:08	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	39	20¢	$8	0x50719e…
10-27 13:19:47	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	479	66¢	$315	0xacf699…
10-27 13:15:24	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	226	26¢	$59	0x81d77e…
10-27 12:54:26	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	261	6¢	$16	0xc73a7c…
10-27 12:10:21	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0xf45b15…
10-27 10:59:20	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x281074…
10-27 10:38:30	TownSquare FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xd8d93d…
10-27 10:38:30	TownSquare FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x18091a…
10-27 09:15:17	GenLayer FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0x9192d0…
10-27 08:57:17	Will Linera launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xba23d6…
10-27 08:55:33	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	110	68¢	$75	0x8b76c4…
10-27 08:55:23	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xe8e3d0…
10-27 08:50:41	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	69¢	$41	0x85dc29…
10-27 08:46:38	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	89	6¢	$6	0x76566b…
10-27 08:44:48	Will TownSquare launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0x4156cf…
10-27 08:44:47	Will TownSquare launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x7ef7b0…
10-27 08:41:00	TownSquare FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0xbae254…
10-27 08:37:57	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0xe34afc…
10-27 08:37:51	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$32	0xecba6a…
10-27 08:37:38	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0xf21762…
10-27 07:47:41	Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x6ff7ee…
10-27 05:25:12	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x62b4af…
10-27 02:59:23	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xbeca19…
10-26 19:01:54	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0x0ccdd4…
10-26 16:52:03	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x65abf4…
10-26 16:39:54	Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	43	64¢	$28	0xc96d37…
10-26 16:06:27	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0xbcaf21…
10-26 14:17:38	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb1eca8…
10-26 13:56:21	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	94	83¢	$78	0x0ae4d0…
10-26 13:51:47	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	83¢	$32	0xec37f8…
10-26 08:05:33	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0xc9fe38…
10-26 07:47:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x9aa1d2…
10-26 07:47:30	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x492f4a…
10-26 06:53:41	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x835271…
10-26 00:50:33	Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0xb0c0b6…
10-25 19:24:02	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0xfe7362…
10-25 18:52:38	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x544331…
10-25 16:55:50	Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	45¢	$23	0x66c894…
10-25 16:50:50	Linera listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x50bd43…
10-25 14:56:14	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xad9b0f…
10-25 14:01:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	57	3¢	$2	0xba120f…
10-25 14:01:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	269	3¢	$8	0x1f4e60…
10-25 13:36:54	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xa3fc81…
10-25 13:35:41	Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x69623f…
10-25 12:46:38	Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x36758d…
10-25 11:24:39	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x15e393…
10-25 10:11:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xf3e21c…
10-25 09:04:02	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x1cb4ea…
10-25 08:47:26	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x16843c…
10-25 08:46:06	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x9b55c6…
10-25 08:19:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	204	3¢	$6	0x4a4e83…
10-25 08:18:36	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xe65f01…
10-25 07:38:11	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x1091f3…
10-25 06:04:41	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	123	4¢	$5	0xd13cac…
10-25 04:11:05	Will Solana hit $150 by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x666bcd…