Suburban-Fiber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

Trades

586

lifetime

Volume

$8.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$326

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-12 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$0

Politics

30% 100% +$4

Crypto

10% 0% $-2

Sports

6% — —

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+291	$133	46¢	$133	$-1	07-03 05:53
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	+100	$79	82¢	$82	+$4	05-31 11:05
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+100	$52	38¢	$38	$-14	07-04 19:32
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	+50	$34	77¢	$38	+$5	05-31 20:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+50	$24	68¢	$34	+$10	05-31 12:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	7	$592	385	385	+0	open	—	04-11 16:04
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	13	$392	400	400	+0	open	—	04-07 20:57
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	12	$372	300	300	+0	open	—	04-10 22:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$344	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 01:43
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	2	$316	200	200	+0	open	—	04-08 20:35
lol ff1 big1 2026 04 07	3	$300	250	250	+0	open	—	04-07 16:06
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	18	$265	300	293	+6	open	—	04-12 01:49
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	20	$182	200	197	+3	open	—	06-23 23:41
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$181	391	0	+391	open	—	07-03 05:53
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	9	$165	146	186	-40	open	—	05-27 22:01
will mrbeasts latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4	14	$162	134	134	+0	open	—	04-08 01:10
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$144	200	0	+200	open	—	05-14 20:01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?	8	$134	0	325	-325	open	—	05-31 12:19
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $12.75B by June 30?	2	$132	50	350	-300	open	—	05-21 10:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 17:34
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	7	$124	60	160	-100	open	—	05-21 06:22
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	3	$122	100	100	+0	open	—	04-06 08:14
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	01-14 22:02
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	10	$108	102	82	+20	open	—	04-14 22:47
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	7	$98	100	100	+0	Yes	+$4	04-26 22:11
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	5	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	04-10 22:01
si settle below 70 jan 2026	8	$96	0	100	-100	open	—	01-19 11:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	05-01 10:12
ethereum above 2000 on march 14	1	$85	86	0	+86	open	—	03-14 09:06
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	4	$85	0	176	-176	open	—	05-30 23:46
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	5	$83	50	50	+0	open	—	04-27 07:01
will astralis win pgl bucharest 2026	7	$83	60	60	+0	open	—	04-09 10:10
will the first eaglet hatch on april 10 2026 369 995	2	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	04-10 06:11
will mrbeasts latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4	9	$80	100	50	+50	open	—	04-08 04:50
wti up or down on april 8 2026	15	$80	200	199	+1	open	—	04-08 19:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:46:58	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt0b	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x65c80e…
07-08 19:40:11	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb91d32…
07-08 19:32:58	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x8f62f2…
07-08 19:28:14	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x1b171e…
07-07 22:06:04	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xe69e05…
07-07 22:02:17	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x810dfc…
07-07 21:53:32	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x82e361…
07-07 21:51:47	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xfea194…
07-07 21:50:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x220c27…
07-04 19:32:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xfc6661…
07-04 16:51:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xd23bd2…
07-03 19:17:35	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt0b	No	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xd3dc8e…
07-03 05:53:49	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x2dfcdf…
07-03 04:57:56	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x9bb08e…
07-02 21:22:23	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt0b	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x6862a0…
06-24 18:31:50	wta wan ribera 2026 06 24	Xiyu Wang	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x935ac0…
06-23 23:41:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	79	37¢	$29	0x24405d…
06-23 23:41:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0x12f999…
06-22 05:47:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xed07ae…
06-22 02:30:59	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt0b	No	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0x343dd8…
06-22 01:01:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	26	51¢	$13	0xe11045…
06-21 21:25:46	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2d4a5e…
06-21 21:20:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x2ae894…
06-21 21:06:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x3291a2…
06-21 21:02:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	39	51¢	$20	0x866576…
06-21 21:01:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xf7352d…
06-21 20:59:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xf21536…
06-21 20:52:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	25	50¢	$13	0x3f5bbd…
06-21 20:45:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xb9b886…
06-21 20:36:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x73f473…
06-21 20:34:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x727321…
06-21 20:32:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xee252a…
06-21 20:31:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xeb5a22…
06-21 20:16:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x03349b…
06-21 20:16:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xe533c1…
06-21 20:12:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x3d40f2…
06-21 20:12:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0xb82c1c…
06-21 20:10:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x9decf9…
06-13 21:44:22	Will Astralis make a roster change before July?	Yes	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0xe2ca9f…
06-11 21:32:51	will marco rubio have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	Yes	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0x9f4a2a…
06-11 21:32:37	will marco rubio have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xa7d527…
06-11 21:32:36	will marco rubio have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	Yes	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0xdf0b56…
06-11 21:32:36	will marco rubio have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	Yes	SELL	67	12¢	$8	0x22d0ca…
06-11 17:41:22	will trump speak to masoud pezeshkian in june	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0xce8b04…
06-11 14:24:58	will denzel dumfries score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	52	42¢	$22	0xb65534…
06-11 09:09:31	will denzel dumfries score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x1ced49…
06-09 21:31:12	will denzel dumfries score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xfc583a…
06-09 12:48:06	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0xbebc2a…
06-08 22:13:48	will denzel dumfries score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	25	42¢	$10	0x2dd7a8…
06-08 10:45:25	will denzel dumfries score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xb66983…
06-08 10:43:52	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x08dae7…
06-08 08:18:03	will denzel dumfries score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0x08a49c…
06-07 19:48:18	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xafc233…
06-06 22:00:52	will denzel dumfries score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x2cd685…
06-02 18:15:21	Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x79fd4e…
06-02 00:34:35	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	SELL	70	22¢	$15	0x76d73c…
06-01 22:06:17	Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0x6ae88e…
06-01 19:27:51	Will Denzel Dumfries score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x74854b…
05-31 20:05:03	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xd70dc4…
05-31 13:38:00	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x6389fa…
05-31 12:36:57	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x6e0bd2…
05-31 12:19:31	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?	No	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xaab323…
05-31 11:05:42	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x54db52…
05-31 06:38:19	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?	No	SELL	57	55¢	$31	0x010f43…
05-31 00:42:07	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	86	45¢	$39	0xbbdb4f…
05-31 00:16:06	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa48950…
05-31 00:01:52	Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	13¢	$7	0xbf848d…
05-30 23:46:03	Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	No	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x132a70…
05-30 20:55:36	Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x350a78…
05-30 18:47:37	Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x08995c…
05-30 12:38:05	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xe074ad…
05-30 12:32:37	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?	No	SELL	23	55¢	$13	0x6ccbab…
05-30 12:27:59	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?	No	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x09ba11…
05-30 10:13:25	Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	No	SELL	169	48¢	$81	0xa755fd…
05-30 07:17:01	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?	No	SELL	28	55¢	$15	0x797cd8…
05-30 05:58:38	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x0a7b30…
05-30 05:12:39	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x640e91…
05-30 04:45:42	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xdec7e0…
05-30 04:44:58	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0xb42282…
05-30 04:22:46	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?	No	SELL	92	31¢	$28	0x94d34e…
05-30 03:22:17	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by June 30?	No	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xcaa252…
05-30 03:09:44	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?	No	SELL	84	28¢	$23	0x0f25b3…
05-30 01:14:40	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6e9f02…
05-30 00:51:24	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x7ff417…
05-29 23:55:24	Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4900+ by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x61ae48…
05-28 20:38:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd3d4b3…
05-28 20:17:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	21¢	$5	0xbe7dcd…
05-28 19:38:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	21¢	$16	0xd14055…
05-28 19:35:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x1f138d…
05-28 18:17:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x35cc46…
05-28 18:16:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x5f8ed1…
05-28 18:16:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xa4572a…
05-28 18:13:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xc6ac09…
05-28 17:03:10	Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x0e1f4b…
05-28 10:54:42	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	80	14¢	$11	0x1c6113…
05-28 06:05:52	Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0x8ec89a…
05-28 02:46:43	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x6a10ea…
05-27 22:01:21	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xf6592b…
05-27 22:01:00	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xcb8a4d…
05-27 22:00:22	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0xd09508…