Suburban-Fiber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$299

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

401

Trades

1,396

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$349

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 00:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

60% 53% +$52

Politics

22% 43% -$113

Crypto

9% 35% -$116

Tech

5% 50% -$111

Sports

3% 57% -$2

Pop-Culture

1% 50% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+69	$31	98¢	$68	+$38	10-26 03:37
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+100	$62	52¢	$52	-$10	10-25 15:20
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+50	$46	96¢	$48	+$2	10-21 13:48
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+172	$61	24¢	$40	-$20	10-25 19:57
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	+50	$38	76¢	$38	+$0	10-27 13:11
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	+30	$34	99¢	$30	-$5	10-27 13:12
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+30	$29	96¢	$29	$0	10-27 03:03
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	-20	-$19	97¢	$-19	-$1	04-30 01:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?	Yes	+60	$13	32¢	$19	+$6	10-02 14:13
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	+20	$4	16¢	$3	$0	10-05 19:36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+50	$11	3¢	$1	-$10	07-03 03:51
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	Yes	-111	-$2	0¢	$-0	+$2	05-23 22:06
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	+20	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	09-06 04:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	7	$592	385	385	+0	No	+$5	04-11 16:04
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	8	$550	337	268	+69	open	—	10-26 03:37
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	17	$456	601	430	+172	open	—	10-25 19:57
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	6	$421	255	255	+0	open	—	10-28 20:12
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	13	$392	400	400	+0	Yes	+$16	04-07 20:57
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	12	$372	300	300	+0	Yes	+$2	04-10 22:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$344	200	200	+0	No	+$0	04-28 01:43
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	2	$316	200	200	+0	No	+$0	04-08 20:35
lol ff1 big1 2026 04 07	3	$300	250	250	+0	BIG	+$5	04-07 16:06
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	4	$293	200	200	+0	open	—	10-11 16:25
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	18	$265	300	293	+6	No	-$24	04-12 01:49
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	4	$255	200	200	+0	open	—	10-05 16:46
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?	11	$253	390	365	+25	Yes	+$34	05-31 12:19
Will the Republican Party win the NE-03 House seat?	6	$245	130	130	+0	open	—	09-04 21:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	7	$223	250	250	+0	Yes	+$3	05-26 19:46
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	8	$198	200	200	+0	No	+$1	05-14 20:40
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	4	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	10-28 11:49
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$182	130	100	+30	open	—	10-27 13:12
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	20	$182	200	197	+3	Yes	-$8	06-23 23:41
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	3	$176	90	90	+0	open	—	10-25 02:58
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	20	$165	400	400	+0	No	+$77	05-30 23:46
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	9	$165	146	186	-40	Yes	-$120	05-27 22:01
will mrbeasts latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4	14	$162	134	134	+0	Yes	-$2	04-08 01:10
Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	8	$154	126	48	+78	open	—	10-24 16:03
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$144	200	0	+200	Yes	-$144	05-14 20:01
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	5	$144	101	101	+0	open	—	10-23 20:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	6	$134	300	300	+0	No	-$4	05-28 20:17
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $12.75B by June 30?	2	$132	50	350	-300	Yes	+$100	05-21 10:41
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	8	$127	300	300	+0	open	—	10-11 22:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$124	200	200	+0	No	-$28	05-07 17:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 00:36:07	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0x5826e0…
10-28 23:52:13	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x432e42…
10-28 20:12:32	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	255	99¢	$253	0x34928e…
10-28 18:43:59	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	74¢	$44	0x7e3f5f…
10-28 11:49:38	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0xbccfb5…
10-28 11:22:49	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe33798…
10-28 10:07:58	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xebb5b2…
10-28 09:02:19	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xa8b061…
10-28 08:56:23	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xc68e26…
10-28 03:39:28	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x118559…
10-27 23:34:00	exponential time hypothesis disproof confirmed by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x974e4b…
10-27 23:33:59	exponential time hypothesis disproof confirmed by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x95980e…
10-27 21:30:00	exponential time hypothesis disproof confirmed by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x3bd7b9…
10-27 21:19:26	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xceb633…
10-27 21:19:24	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xdcd8c2…
10-27 21:19:24	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x2a7fc8…
10-27 21:10:44	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xcd2780…
10-27 21:10:44	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x9cadbf…
10-27 20:12:33	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x0a6522…
10-27 13:12:44	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xbc1437…
10-27 13:11:00	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x977359…
10-27 13:00:54	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xa36007…
10-27 12:42:06	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xb3f043…
10-27 11:39:30	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xeb5c6f…
10-27 03:03:02	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xba5646…
10-26 11:18:38	All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x91feff…
10-26 05:54:42	Will PSOE win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xd79703…
10-26 03:37:23	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0x5a4b35…
10-25 21:31:17	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	95¢	$66	0xb738e8…
10-25 19:57:06	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xdd6530…
10-25 19:24:02	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	97¢	$207	0xfe7362…
10-25 15:20:59	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x049095…
10-25 13:53:24	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x3013ef…
10-25 03:43:02	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xa21c03…
10-25 03:43:02	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x7316e0…
10-25 03:43:02	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1989a9…
10-25 02:58:32	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x29e9b1…
10-24 16:03:48	Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xff77dc…
10-24 15:53:27	Will PSOE win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xfcd818…
10-24 15:53:27	Will PSOE win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x538486…
10-24 10:21:53	Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x717e09…
10-24 10:19:38	Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	46	93¢	$42	0x489852…
10-24 07:53:23	Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0xe0c966…
10-23 22:10:23	Will PSOE win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x4533a4…
10-23 20:50:11	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	51	75¢	$38	0x2af212…
10-23 17:11:27	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3cb02d…
10-23 16:55:42	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x4a402b…
10-23 16:55:30	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x0ab581…
10-23 16:49:32	Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x5f0fa1…
10-23 16:23:32	Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xd55c81…
10-23 16:21:39	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xa1b9ea…
10-23 16:21:09	Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x71136e…
10-23 16:21:08	Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	39	87¢	$34	0x0eb60a…
10-22 01:29:15	Will Dems win 12-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0xd65903…
10-21 18:58:15	Will Dems win 12-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x969e9e…
10-21 13:48:27	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0x198d5c…
10-21 08:48:21	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcef17d…
10-19 14:28:02	Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x023d29…
10-19 11:03:50	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x7bb1cb…
10-19 10:11:48	Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x18dafe…
10-18 21:15:38	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in October?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x0aa1a9…
10-18 19:36:39	Paris curfew by October 31?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x5a6d04…
10-18 17:56:24	Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?	Montana	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x6eab58…
10-18 13:49:03	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xc30e35…
10-18 13:49:02	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x1e5ef5…
10-18 04:39:32	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in October?	No	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0x74e4b5…
10-17 10:08:20	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x7a2f2b…
10-17 06:48:36	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xb89850…
10-15 13:17:35	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in October?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xfec06a…
10-14 21:47:04	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x7b6824…
10-14 21:43:33	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x99bff8…
10-14 21:43:01	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x815bf5…
10-14 13:56:56	Will OpenRouter process less than 575T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5d4290…
10-14 06:17:56	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0xe1a9ee…
10-14 05:08:26	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x85f8e1…
10-13 21:38:43	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0xcd082d…
10-13 14:17:29	Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	Yes	SELL	116	48¢	$56	0xf8b6f7…
10-12 17:49:35	Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x3c9bf9…
10-12 12:56:41	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xa39e5d…
10-12 08:13:58	Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4fb64c…
10-12 01:19:38	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xb745df…
10-11 23:06:38	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x5c931b…
10-11 23:02:47	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x22cdc7…
10-11 23:02:15	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x77b546…
10-11 22:32:56	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	67¢	$23	0x9cd382…
10-11 22:28:56	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x018c02…
10-11 22:00:47	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	150	24¢	$36	0x8d3b42…
10-11 21:37:02	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x3e3a69…
10-11 21:16:01	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xaa5b46…
10-11 21:15:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x4c1063…
10-11 21:09:07	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x7f8da5…
10-11 21:02:23	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x8457ea…
10-11 20:52:59	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x2d42c8…
10-11 20:48:35	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbf1589…
10-11 20:32:34	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xba913c…
10-11 19:57:40	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x055eb5…
10-11 19:56:52	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 31?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x6fbcd6…
10-11 19:42:12	Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	Yes	SELL	60	32¢	$19	0x2c0c07…
10-11 16:25:01	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0x73b609…
10-10 15:23:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x2c405e…