Realized P&L
-$277
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved
405
Trades
1,412
lifetime
Volume
$18.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$438
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 13:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 140 days
Categories
Other
59% 53% +$74
Politics
22% 43% -$113
Crypto
9% 35% -$116
Tech
6% 50% -$111
Sports
3% 57% -$2
Pop-Culture
1% 50% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +100 $83 82¢ $82 $0 10-30 23:19
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +69 $31 98¢ $68 +$37 10-26 03:37
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +100 $62 56¢ $56 -$6 10-25 15:20
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +50 $46 94¢ $47 +$1 10-21 13:48
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +172 $61 26¢ $44 -$17 10-25 19:57
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +50 $38 82¢ $41 +$3 10-27 13:11
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +30 $34 99¢ $30 -$5 10-27 13:12
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +30 $29 96¢ $29 $0 10-27 03:03
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -20 -$19 97¢ $-19 -$1 04-30 01:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? Yes +60 $13 29¢ $17 +$4 10-02 14:13
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +20 $4 16¢ $3 $0 10-05 19:36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +50 $11 3¢ $2 -$10 07-03 03:51
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +60 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-31 01:30
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes -111 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$2 05-23 22:06
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +20 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 09-06 04:33