Realized P&L
+$13.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.98K
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved
26
Trades
966
lifetime
Volume
$732.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$758
Open exposure
$11.8K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 11:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Tech
39% 71% -$5,746
Crypto
37% 100% +$12,709
Sports
12% 100% +$3,665
Other
12% 100% +$2,995
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +10,080 $5,318 19¢ $1.9K -$3,402 10-29 11:17
will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928 No +1,000 $940 97¢ $968 +$28 08-17 08:51
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743 No +1,000 $930 96¢ $965 +$35 08-16 11:06
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31 No +1,000 $940 96¢ $964 +$24 08-15 18:08
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31 No +1,000 $882 95¢ $952 +$70 08-17 17:49
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +1,000 $920 92¢ $920 +$0 08-25 22:47
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +1,000 $820 88¢ $885 +$65 08-18 13:09
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922 Yes +1,000 $660 66¢ $660 +$0 08-19 13:56
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes +600 $324 99¢ $595 +$271 08-12 04:29
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +600 $484 99¢ $594 +$109 09-21 15:03
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +600 $120 99¢ $592 +$472 08-09 11:06
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +600 $402 98¢ $588 +$186 08-10 08:10
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $364 77¢ $464 +$100 08-16 13:35
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +470 $400 90¢ $422 +$23 08-15 12:27
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +300 $257 99¢ $298 +$41 09-06 15:28