Realized P&L
+$570
Unrealized P&L
+$974
Hit rate
94.6%
Resolved
22
Trades
8,439
lifetime
Volume
$694.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$82
Open exposure
$26.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 17:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
55% 67% +$476
Politics
35% 94% +$94
Crypto
5%
Sports
3%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,371 $2,825 86¢ $2.9K +$57 06-21 16:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,112 $2,801 90¢ $2.8K +$16 06-20 22:34
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +2,837 $2,502 90¢ $2.5K +$37 06-20 15:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2,320 $2,028 88¢ $2.1K +$25 06-15 09:31
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +2,210 $1,964 90¢ $2.0K +$22 06-23 15:05
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,950 $1,755 92¢ $1.8K +$29 06-17 04:17
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No -1,840 $-1,663 92¢ $-1702 $-39 06-25 18:49
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2,403 $1,647 66¢ $1.6K $-49 06-26 00:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1,409 $-1,413 100¢ $-1408 +$5 06-15 11:23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,464 $-1,403 96¢ $-1404 $-1 06-10 20:59
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -1,340 $-1,113 88¢ $-1172 $-59 06-20 08:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +974 $870 92¢ $891 +$21 06-28 08:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +906 $346 68¢ $612 +$266 06-28 05:04
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $500 50¢ $495 $-5 06-29 22:55
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +999 $263 46¢ $454 +$192 06-30 17:22
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No -405 $-407 100¢ $-403 +$4 06-26 13:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -287 $-266 100¢ $-287 $-21 06-13 21:46
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -280 $-310 99¢ $-277 +$33 06-15 11:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +200 $106 100¢ $199 +$93 06-28 06:19
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes -1,085 $-612 18¢ $-195 +$416 06-12 09:15
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -187 $-168 93¢ $-174 $-6 06-15 07:34
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -178 $-172 96¢ $-170 +$2 06-26 15:09
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +200 $156 80¢ $159 +$3 06-27 04:35
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -180 $-204 85¢ $-153 +$51 06-11 07:05
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -163 $-149 86¢ $-139 +$10 06-14 17:50
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +129 $116 100¢ $129 +$13 06-23 08:36
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +220 $122 56¢ $124 +$2 06-29 04:24
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +160 $76 45¢ $72 $-4 06-30 10:59
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No +280 $203 12¢ $32 $-171 06-08 05:25
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -44 $-59 64¢ $-28 +$32 06-12 08:33