Indelible-Vitamin 0x2bc7e9…eee411 Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$3.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.16K
Hit rate
84.4%
Resolved (7d)
28
Trades (7d)
314
14,624 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$37.3K
$1.29M lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$17.2K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 19:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 216 days
Categories
Other
52% 81% +$9,526
Politics
39% 74% -$779
Crypto
4% 85% +$1,225
Sports
3% 89% -$3,024
Tech
2% 77% +$339
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,670 $2,380 95¢ $2.5K +$156 10-13 00:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,169 $2,997 38¢ $2.0K -$1,026 10-22 01:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,953 $1,457 93¢ $1.8K +$365 11-04 09:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,970 $1,275 90¢ $1.8K +$508 11-06 04:46
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +2,418 $1,625 68¢ $1.6K +$19 11-09 15:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,475 $1,101 90¢ $1.3K +$234 11-05 21:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,400 $1,138 74¢ $1.0K -$104 11-05 12:12
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,100 $715 68¢ $742 +$28 11-03 10:15
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +800 $546 90¢ $716 +$170 11-03 19:08
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $521 98¢ $687 +$166 11-04 14:51
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,142 $714 58¢ $668 -$46 11-09 19:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -600 -$621 99¢ $-593 +$28 06-10 20:59
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -570 -$470 97¢ $-554 -$84 06-16 21:16
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +657 $480 84¢ $549 +$69 10-28 19:58
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +618 $377 64¢ $393 +$16 11-07 18:40
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? No +144 $96 94¢ $135 +$39 11-05 09:02
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -44 -$59 4¢ $-2 +$57 06-12 08:33
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1 -$1,154 99¢ $1 +$1,155 11-07 01:56
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +0 -$61 94¢ $0 +$61 08-31 00:07
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +0 -$9 96¢ $0 +$9 09-14 22:33
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +0 $607 94¢ $0 -$607 09-22 22:37
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +0 -$55 96¢ $0 +$55 09-07 08:26
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +0 -$349 98¢ $0 +$349 06-24 19:50
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No +0 $14 98¢ $0 -$14 09-10 17:44
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +0 -$25 97¢ $0 +$25 06-14 17:50
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1,327 94¢ $0 +$1,327 11-09 13:18
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +0 -$38 95¢ $0 +$38 08-11 02:38
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +0 -$165 98¢ $0 +$165 10-27 05:23