Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
69.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
998
lifetime
Volume
$33.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$807
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 07-19 16:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
57% 0% $-68
Politics
27%
Crypto
10%
Tech
5%
Sports
1% 50% +$52
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +658 $500 82¢ $536 +$36 06-06 14:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +435 $100 18¢ $78 $-22 07-06 14:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +769 $100 10¢ $73 $-27 07-06 14:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +111 $60 30¢ $34 $-26 07-06 14:30
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +161 $10 14¢ $22 +$12 06-06 14:26
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -213 $-21 10¢ $-20 +$1 07-06 14:35
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes +70 $10 21¢ $15 +$5 06-06 14:23
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +41 $10 31¢ $13 +$3 06-06 14:24
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +20 $10 52¢ $10 +$0 06-03 15:28
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-4 $-5 $-1 07-06 14:35