Realized P&L
+$398
Unrealized P&L
+$262
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
3,772
lifetime
Volume
$211.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.30K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
53% 58% +$375
Politics
44% 50% +$23
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +700 $381 66¢ $458 +$77 06-12 17:19
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +415 $-171 99¢ $412 +$583 06-20 16:42
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No -403 $-59 95¢ $-383 $-324 05-31 15:15
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +426 $25 $26 +$1 06-30 07:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -100 $-59 18¢ $-17 +$42 06-25 07:04
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,000 $104 $4 $-100 06-19 13:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +225 $18 $0 $-18 06-10 16:37