Dry-Chromolithograph — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$398

Unrealized P&L

+$411

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

4,025

lifetime

Volume

$224.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$1.04K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

53% 58% +$375

Politics

43% 50% +$23

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+700	$381	99¢	$691	+$310	06-12 17:19
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,000	$70	13¢	$133	+$63	07-11 06:03
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	+550	$96	18¢	$96	+$1	07-13 14:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	-100	$-59	46¢	$-45	+$14	06-25 07:04
Will MrBeast get married by December 31?	No	+561	$25	7¢	$39	+$14	07-11 19:43
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	+426	$25	8¢	$35	+$10	06-30 07:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	53	$5.4K	11,866	11,866	+0	open	—	03-30 15:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	38	$3.2K	5,480	5,200	+279	open	—	04-29 20:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	21	$2.8K	3,627	3,627	+0	open	—	05-29 16:44
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	24	$2.7K	2,461	2,258	+203	open	—	03-31 18:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	15	$2.5K	1,428	1,421	+7	open	—	04-29 20:16
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	28	$2.5K	2,258	2,358	-100	open	—	05-28 17:17
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	25	$2.4K	1,386	1,386	+0	open	—	06-01 18:11
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	28	$2.2K	11,068	10,867	+201	open	—	04-30 20:08
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	46	$1.8K	10,290	5,568	+4,722	open	—	05-28 18:11
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	30	$1.8K	9,128	7,115	+2,012	open	—	06-26 20:30
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	24	$1.6K	3,019	3,019	+0	open	—	03-12 10:07
iran closes its airspace by june 8	33	$1.5K	3,138	3,138	+0	open	—	06-08 06:04
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	19	$1.5K	2,327	2,131	+196	open	—	05-27 11:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	22	$1.4K	4,056	4,056	+0	open	—	04-08 20:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	19	$1.4K	5,033	4,033	+1,000	open	—	05-29 19:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	9	$1.4K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	05-24 07:59
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	7	$1.3K	775	775	+0	open	—	03-31 16:52
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	29	$1.3K	2,019	1,619	+400	open	—	04-20 07:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	16	$1.3K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	05-02 05:38
will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	17	$1.3K	2,805	2,299	+506	open	—	07-09 17:24
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$1.3K	650	650	+0	open	—	05-19 19:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$1.2K	1,338	1,104	+234	open	—	05-28 10:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	17	$1.2K	5,200	5,200	+0	open	—	04-22 16:14
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.2K	2,393	2,393	+0	open	—	05-16 21:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	9	$1.2K	1,778	1,478	+300	open	—	05-25 07:31
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	20	$1.2K	1,723	1,897	-174	open	—	04-29 21:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	14	$1.2K	3,219	901	+2,318	open	—	04-02 11:44
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	23	$1.1K	1,102	1,502	-400	open	—	04-10 17:05
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	7	$1.1K	978	978	+0	open	—	05-26 15:10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	5	$1.1K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-29 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 19:13:25	will databricks valuation hit high 180b by december 31	No	BUY	247	14¢	$35	0x3d3a6b…
07-20 19:00:34	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x1905e4…
07-20 15:56:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x7c2275…
07-20 13:50:06	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	190	5¢	$10	0x3febf7…
07-20 13:50:04	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x436483…
07-20 13:35:39	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	SELL	426	27¢	$115	0x8900f1…
07-20 12:28:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x92cb2f…
07-20 08:35:54	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	SELL	170	19¢	$32	0x162109…
07-20 08:25:15	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	SELL	272	19¢	$51	0xe6ce44…
07-20 07:02:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	420	36¢	$150	0x6dd5d9…
07-19 21:36:00	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x12dc00…
07-19 21:06:01	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x5a0646…
07-19 16:15:15	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0x742327…
07-19 14:14:04	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19 game1	PARIVISION	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0x55159c…
07-19 14:10:57	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19 game1	PARIVISION	BUY	107	41¢	$44	0x70475d…
07-19 14:10:34	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19	PARIVISION	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x17d95e…
07-19 14:10:07	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19	PARIVISION	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x599190…
07-19 13:18:00	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xde98f9…
07-19 13:17:49	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x04ee74…
07-19 07:18:24	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	300	14¢	$42	0x3858c2…
07-19 07:17:54	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	609	8¢	$50	0x351343…
07-19 07:17:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xec0728…
07-19 07:15:13	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	323	14¢	$46	0x8bdb5b…
07-18 21:47:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	104	17¢	$18	0xd44c24…
07-18 21:38:10	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	520	16¢	$81	0x1e2427…
07-18 21:12:06	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xe06980…
07-18 21:07:24	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	41	18¢	$7	0x98f76a…
07-18 20:23:45	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	110	18¢	$19	0xcd7cb0…
07-18 06:34:58	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xae4311…
07-18 06:25:36	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x3740e0…
07-17 20:01:40	will neuralinks valuation hit high 50b by december 31	No	SELL	123	59¢	$73	0x537ccf…
07-17 13:17:49	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x4622c5…
07-17 06:09:33	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	No	BUY	169	18¢	$30	0x57eb9a…
07-17 06:09:16	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	No	BUY	414	17¢	$70	0xe271a3…
07-17 06:03:49	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	No	BUY	1,008	17¢	$168	0xbf9097…
07-17 05:40:51	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	420	1¢	$5	0x42c4de…
07-16 20:45:08	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x1fafc0…
07-16 20:43:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	No	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0x28bcd5…
07-16 20:38:56	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	No	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0xfcb7ff…
07-16 11:38:17	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	400	23¢	$92	0x426470…
07-16 10:46:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	SELL	114	4¢	$4	0x068d4f…
07-16 08:53:50	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$12	0xa34c54…
07-16 07:29:17	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0xdc71fc…
07-16 07:29:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	SELL	338	4¢	$13	0x2c4147…
07-16 06:47:46	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8b35bb…
07-16 06:30:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$11	0xc8acb4…
07-16 06:20:44	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	Yes	BUY	123	16¢	$20	0x8871db…
07-16 06:20:08	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	Yes	BUY	210	15¢	$32	0x04ce4d…
07-16 06:17:31	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	900	4¢	$32	0x241115…
07-16 06:16:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x08a09d…
07-15 14:48:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$12	0x4c405b…
07-15 14:42:16	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	Yes	SELL	440	14¢	$63	0x20c99b…
07-15 13:07:47	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 07 15 game2	Team Liquid	SELL	96	46¢	$44	0x1dfa8a…
07-15 13:02:04	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 07 15 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x87363f…
07-15 12:32:05	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	No	BUY	113	89¢	$101	0xa013e5…
07-15 09:53:29	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xadc60d…
07-15 08:55:11	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	400	6¢	$25	0x2853fe…
07-15 08:32:49	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	1,000	8¢	$83	0xf4d780…
07-15 08:08:53	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0xf493af…
07-15 06:28:43	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	320	6¢	$18	0x0b8f8b…
07-15 06:15:46	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	400	54¢	$216	0x2ae769…
07-14 21:50:41	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x1f626e…
07-14 20:25:20	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xcb4aca…
07-14 20:25:13	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	91	70¢	$64	0xd4229e…
07-14 20:25:10	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x767031…
07-14 20:25:02	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	44	70¢	$31	0x06c74c…
07-14 20:24:26	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0xbe2a44…
07-14 20:13:26	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xaba241…
07-14 19:55:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$15	0xcc354c…
07-14 19:52:17	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf60848…
07-14 19:41:14	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x82c298…
07-14 19:40:47	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	BUY	500	10¢	$48	0xc517c6…
07-14 19:28:26	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x3ab702…
07-14 19:18:28	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	BUY	490	9¢	$44	0x675dc2…
07-14 18:36:37	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	141	22¢	$31	0xfbf45b…
07-14 17:44:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x6ca5ec…
07-14 14:10:10	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	295	33¢	$97	0x5ab040…
07-14 14:07:52	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	200	35¢	$69	0xa8099b…
07-14 14:06:44	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x1b5836…
07-14 14:06:35	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x3dad9d…
07-14 12:06:53	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xdb59a7…
07-14 07:46:26	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	295	34¢	$100	0x79343e…
07-14 07:34:17	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	400	58¢	$232	0x04372f…
07-13 19:05:52	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x6378ad…
07-13 18:57:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0x825445…
07-13 17:40:17	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	107	65¢	$70	0xbe92f7…
07-13 17:12:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xc0a5c6…
07-13 17:03:34	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	89	8¢	$7	0xc4a98c…
07-13 17:00:35	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x4c4e0e…
07-13 14:27:31	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xdb4447…
07-13 14:04:40	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x4bfbfc…
07-13 14:04:13	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	350	17¢	$60	0x1a7e2b…
07-13 12:11:28	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	Yes	BUY	91	25¢	$23	0x9f7986…
07-13 11:09:53	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x4ba2d3…
07-13 11:04:25	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x323a79…
07-13 10:15:50	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x21de03…
07-13 10:15:41	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x153d48…
07-13 10:15:32	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0xd6d8ad…
07-13 09:53:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$27	0x142a20…
07-13 09:46:55	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$40	0x2403ec…