Dry-Chromolithograph 0xb1fea3…b7423a
whale hot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.41K
Unrealized P&L
-$848
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved
1,084
Trades
6,483
lifetime
Volume
$324.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$3.58K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 21:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 260 days
Categories
Other
56% 44% +$1,905
Politics
36% 45% -$838
Tech
6% 43% +$2,829
Crypto
1% 40% -$65
Sports
1% 25% -$421
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,499 -$949 82¢ $-1225 -$276 05-13 08:00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -635 -$260 92¢ $-584 -$324 08-10 20:34
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No — +474 $307 60¢ $282 -$25 10-26 19:18
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,210 $228 20¢ $248 +$20 10-26 20:53
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +552 $37 37¢ $204 +$167 10-23 07:31
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +300 $185 64¢ $192 +$7 10-25 08:27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +171 $145 88¢ $150 +$5 10-26 21:08
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +889 $187 12¢ $111 -$76 10-23 19:53
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +739 $120 13¢ $96 -$24 10-26 19:07
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +200 $90 43¢ $86 -$4 10-26 18:43
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +100 $64 64¢ $64 +$0 10-20 20:45
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? Yes +640 $5 9¢ $57 +$52 10-24 19:24
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +50 $32 77¢ $38 +$6 10-24 21:41
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +776 $55 4¢ $29 -$26 09-28 12:56
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? No +981 $166 2¢ $25 -$141 10-25 15:07
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4,700 $27 0¢ $21 -$6 10-04 19:48
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +100 $14 21¢ $21 +$7 09-24 07:30
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $25 20¢ $20 -$5 09-02 19:13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +500 $175 4¢ $17 -$157 09-24 08:23
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +500 $2 3¢ $16 +$14 06-16 07:32
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +340 $39 4¢ $15 -$24 10-25 19:48
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +2,717 $102 0¢ $14 -$89 10-09 07:34
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,000 $15 1¢ $14 -$1 10-25 17:59
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +700 $71 2¢ $12 -$59 10-23 07:13
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +50 $33 24¢ $12 -$21 10-23 08:47
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +450 $31 2¢ $8 -$23 10-15 18:37
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +905 $31 1¢ $8 -$23 10-12 11:06
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? Yes +500 $8 1¢ $4 -$4 10-22 10:13
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $7 3¢ $1 -$6 07-11 20:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1 -$184 54¢ $1 +$185 06-08 12:00