Realized P&L
+$398
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
3,531
lifetime
Volume
$201.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$1.29K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 19:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
55% 58% +$375
Politics
43% 50% +$23
Tech
2%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +697 $428 74¢ $519 +$92 06-09 19:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -655 $-321 64¢ $-422 $-102 06-02 07:59
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +500 $100 20¢ $98 $-2 06-09 06:25
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +233 $83 37¢ $86 +$3 06-09 18:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-42 32¢ $-65 $-23 05-28 14:47
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No -403 $-59 10¢ $-38 +$21 05-31 15:15
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +1,500 $31 $37 +$5 06-08 11:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -100 $-19 24¢ $-23 $-4 05-30 14:15
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026? No +93 $1 $2 +$1 06-05 08:19