Realized P&L
+$28.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$20.0K
Hit rate
79.4%
Resolved
419
Trades
3,959
lifetime
Volume
$655.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$165
Open exposure
$95.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 10-21 12:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Crypto
48%
83%
+$13,887
Other
36%
78%
+$9,004
Politics
16%
75%
+$4,864
Tech
1%
80%
+$326
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk
• peak 45 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | +23,674 | $17,627 | 97¢ | $23.0K | +$5,349 | 10-06 03:40 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | +14,489 | $9,492 | 96¢ | $14.0K | +$4,489 | 10-04 04:45 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | -5,864 | -$2,228 | 87¢ | $-5101 | -$2,873 | 08-20 08:21 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | No | +5,077 | $4,430 | 97¢ | $4.9K | +$502 | 10-11 13:38 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +4,664 | $1,684 | 96¢ | $4.5K | +$2,816 | 10-06 03:38 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | +15,282 | $966 | 28¢ | $4.2K | +$3,283 | 10-21 12:05 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | No | +4,543 | $3,413 | 92¢ | $4.2K | +$789 | 10-09 20:23 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | No | +4,938 | $2,948 | 76¢ | $3.7K | +$780 | 10-09 03:57 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | Yes | +9,604 | $1,168 | 38¢ | $3.7K | +$2,491 | 10-21 12:06 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | +3,928 | $3,080 | 86¢ | $3.4K | +$279 | 09-28 13:39 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | +3,016 | $2,542 | 98¢ | $3.0K | +$414 | 10-20 13:08 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | No | +2,821 | $2,560 | 99¢ | $2.8K | +$220 | 10-09 04:28 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? | No | +3,008 | $2,638 | 92¢ | $2.8K | +$114 | 10-13 03:00 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | -2,800 | -$2,268 | 82¢ | $-2282 | -$14 | 05-07 12:51 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? | No | +2,561 | $2,004 | 80¢ | $2.0K | +$31 | 10-09 13:43 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | +2,000 | $1,794 | 99¢ | $2.0K | +$192 | 09-24 10:51 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,356 | $950 | 96¢ | $1.3K | +$344 | 06-13 19:59 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | +1,400 | $1,134 | 88¢ | $1.2K | +$105 | 10-15 20:45 | |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | -984 | -$484 | 95¢ | $-935 | -$451 | 05-18 15:33 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | +1,106 | $794 | 82¢ | $901 | +$107 | 10-14 05:50 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | +1,000 | $814 | 90¢ | $895 | +$81 | 09-07 16:04 | |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | +810 | $478 | 93¢ | $754 | +$276 | 09-09 14:47 | |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | No | +670 | $572 | 92¢ | $613 | +$41 | 10-16 06:22 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | No | +634 | $548 | 94¢ | $593 | +$45 | 09-27 21:36 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | +708 | $552 | 84¢ | $591 | +$39 | 09-09 14:38 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | +600 | $206 | 90¢ | $543 | +$337 | 08-10 16:02 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | +600 | $421 | 85¢ | $510 | +$89 | 09-27 11:06 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | +500 | $460 | 99¢ | $493 | +$33 | 09-09 14:38 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | +500 | $395 | 96¢ | $481 | +$86 | 09-11 13:21 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | +536 | $458 | 86¢ | $459 | +$1 | 09-09 15:53 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | 42 | $21.0K | 11,000 | 11,000 | +0 | No | +$936 | 05-05 05:06 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 32 | $19.0K | 10,100 | 10,100 | +0 | No | +$1,051 | 04-28 12:56 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | 58 | $18.5K | 11,225 | 8,857 | +2,368 | No | +$1,406 | 05-29 14:47 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 26 | $17.6K | 23,674 | 0 | +23,674 | open | — | 10-06 03:40 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 116 | $12.1K | 7,746 | 7,800 | -54 | No | +$440 | 06-01 13:44 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | 11 | $11.9K | 7,557 | 7,557 | +0 | $80k | -$21 | 04-29 09:49 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | 47 | $11.5K | 6,118 | 6,399 | -281 | No | +$502 | 06-14 05:21 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | 77 | $9.7K | 7,062 | 4,711 | +2,351 | No | +$632 | 09-11 12:56 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 14 | $9.5K | 14,489 | 0 | +14,489 | open | — | 10-04 04:45 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | 85 | $9.0K | 6,229 | 5,229 | +1,000 | open | — | 09-07 16:04 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 11 | $8.8K | 3,999 | 5,000 | -1,001 | No | -$14 | 05-08 14:20 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 28 | $8.1K | 4,294 | 4,294 | +0 | No | +$156 | 06-15 11:55 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 25 | $7.4K | 4,093 | 4,093 | +0 | No | +$797 | 05-16 03:25 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 9 | $7.2K | 8,000 | 0 | +8,000 | No | +$802 | 05-08 15:53 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | 35 | $7.0K | 4,044 | 4,044 | +0 | No | +$925 | 06-15 11:42 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | 43 | $6.2K | 3,445 | 3,445 | +0 | No | +$552 | 06-14 22:28 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 75 | $6.1K | 4,417 | 10,280 | -5,864 | open | — | 08-20 08:21 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | 39 | $5.7K | 3,418 | 3,418 | +0 | No | +$935 | 06-15 14:28 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | 20 | $5.6K | 7,680 | 0 | +7,680 | No | +$2,100 | 09-11 12:54 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | 6 | $5.5K | 2,746 | 2,809 | -62 | No | +$60 | 04-26 08:59 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 5 | $5.4K | 2,960 | 2,960 | +0 | Yes | +$402 | 06-16 16:53 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | 12 | $5.3K | 2,565 | 3,332 | -766 | No | +$102 | 05-16 03:24 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 6 | $5.1K | 3,000 | 3,000 | +0 | Yes | -$490 | 03-24 17:14 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? | 18 | $5.1K | 1,857 | 3,677 | -1,819 | No | +$64 | 06-11 11:28 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681 | 45 | $4.8K | 3,508 | 3,508 | +0 | Yes | -$495 | 04-30 16:25 |
| cs2 prv wc1 2026 04 08 | 45 | $4.7K | 5,888 | 0 | +5,888 | PARIVISION | +$1,233 | 04-08 14:09 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | 17 | $4.6K | 5,790 | 0 | +5,790 | No | +$1,171 | 09-10 13:17 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | 5 | $4.4K | 5,077 | 0 | +5,077 | open | — | 10-11 13:38 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 66 | $4.4K | 4,729 | 4,729 | +0 | Yes | -$961 | 05-30 09:01 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | 60 | $4.4K | 5,334 | 0 | +5,334 | No | +$923 | 04-29 11:06 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||