Realized P&L
-$8.79K
Unrealized P&L
-$261
Hit rate
1.1%
Resolved
1,702
Trades
10,881
lifetime
Volume
$350.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$93
12 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 09-20 04:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Other
77% 2% -$5,847
Politics
13% 2% -$2,335
Tech
5% 3% -$356
Sports
2% 4% -$213
Crypto
2% 0% -$22
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +2,842 $284 2¢ $67 -$217 08-18 23:07
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +6 $9 90¢ $6 -$3 08-20 13:28
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 08-10 00:32
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$0 07-31 01:02
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +5 $14 86¢ $4 -$10 08-07 17:53
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +3 $2 88¢ $3 +$0 07-29 20:58
will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572 Yes +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$1 08-02 23:09
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +6 $3 10¢ $1 -$2 08-29 14:55
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 No +2 $1 15¢ $0 $0 08-07 17:52
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +4 $2 5¢ $0 -$2 07-31 01:01
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +0 $28 96¢ $0 -$28 08-12 11:45
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +3 $0 0¢ $0 $0 08-10 00:30