Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.36K
Unrealized P&L
-$331
Hit rate
6.2%
Resolved (7d)
65
Trades (7d)
0
10,881 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$350.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$106
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 09-20 04:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Other
77% 2% -$8,940
Politics
13% 2% -$2,482
Tech
5% 3% -$401
Sports
2% 4% -$215
Crypto
2% 0% -$27
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +2,842 $284 2¢ $50 -$234 08-18 23:07
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +6 $9 90¢ $6 -$3 08-20 13:28
Will Nqabayomzi Kwankwa be the next mayor of Buffalo City? Yes +20 $7 25¢ $5 -$2 08-20 07:47
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 08-10 00:32
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +5 $14 98¢ $5 -$9 08-07 17:53
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 09-03 09:52
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$0 07-31 01:02
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 09-09 05:16
Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +30 $13 15¢ $4 -$8 09-09 08:38
will hawaii reach coral bleaching alert level 1 by december 31 2026 20260807170348514 No +5 $3 87¢ $4 +$1 08-08 19:05
Will Ousmane Dembélé (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season? Yes +88 $16 4¢ $3 -$12 08-31 21:40
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +3 $2 90¢ $3 +$1 07-29 20:58
gpt 7 released by june 30 2027 No +5 $4 51¢ $2 -$1 09-04 18:48
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$0 08-10 04:26
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +6 $3 11¢ $1 -$2 08-29 14:55
will hawaii reach coral bleaching alert level 1 by december 31 2026 20260807170348514 Yes +5 $4 13¢ $1 -$3 08-21 03:30
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? No +3 -$1 6¢ $0 +$2 09-08 09:22
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +4 $2 5¢ $0 -$2 07-31 01:01
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? Yes +2 $11 5¢ $0 -$11 09-03 09:52
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes +1 $0 7¢ $0 $0 08-19 22:50
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 No +2 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 08-07 17:52
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +3 $0 1¢ $0 $0 08-10 00:30
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +2 $0 2¢ $0 $0 08-10 13:59
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 $0 08-19 21:49
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +0 $28 97¢ $0 -$28 08-12 11:45
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +0 $2 93¢ $0 -$2 07-28 23:34
Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec? No +0 $6 8¢ $0 -$6 09-02 23:43
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +0 $5 27¢ $0 -$5 08-12 15:46
Will Zcash dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $4 14¢ $0 -$4 09-01 09:29
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 $0 08-06 16:36