Realized P&L (7d)
-$57
Unrealized P&L
+$63
Hit rate
47.8%
Resolved (7d)
20
Trades (7d)
2
131,159 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$26
$1.61M lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$922
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 11-08 23:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 227 days
Categories
Crypto
96% 49% +$41,502
Other
3% 39% -$1,416
Politics
0% 32% -$431
Tech
0% 34% -$155
Sports
0% 6% +$972
Pop-Culture
0% 62% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? No +150 $83 100¢ $149 +$66 08-31 15:10
skin cancer vaccine bla submitted by march 31 2027 Yes +100 $53 78¢ $78 +$26 09-01 02:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +102 $71 68¢ $70 -$2 10-12 20:33
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $39 97¢ $48 +$10 08-24 15:17
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +50 $26 90¢ $45 +$19 09-04 04:59
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +37 $30 94¢ $34 +$4 09-26 17:15
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +38 $36 88¢ $33 -$3 11-02 03:04
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $32 83¢ $33 +$1 10-16 08:02
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +86 $40 30¢ $26 -$14 10-19 07:18
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +26 $20 99¢ $26 +$6 09-27 11:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +28 $20 90¢ $25 +$5 09-27 11:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +27 $20 94¢ $25 +$5 09-28 17:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +26 $17 86¢ $23 +$6 10-18 09:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +22 $20 96¢ $22 +$2 09-27 20:49
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +40 $24 53¢ $21 -$3 10-16 02:26
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 No +22 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 10-14 16:13
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $9 99¢ $20 +$11 09-03 02:57
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +66 $40 30¢ $19 -$21 10-14 13:33
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +36 $14 54¢ $19 +$6 10-01 13:53
will oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 Yes +100 $36 18¢ $18 -$18 09-30 11:48
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be less than $0.55 on November 30, 2026? No +20 $14 92¢ $18 +$5 10-22 15:14
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +20 $11 86¢ $17 +$6 09-24 14:50
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on November 30, 2026? No +20 $17 85¢ $17 +$0 10-04 02:00
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No +20 $6 84¢ $17 +$11 08-22 22:09
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? Yes +30 $12 56¢ $17 +$5 09-29 16:25
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +152 $67 11¢ $17 -$51 10-14 10:16
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +54 $30 30¢ $16 -$14 10-16 08:31
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting? No +19 $14 84¢ $16 +$2 10-12 01:28
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028 Yes +50 $20 30¢ $15 -$5 10-01 16:33
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? No +20 $17 75¢ $15 -$2 10-14 02:08