Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
open
Total volume
$21,734
$501 in 24h
Trades
657
Unique wallets
150
Liquidity
$34,508
End date
2026-11-01
First seen
2026-10-01
last 10-26 16:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-14.9¢
(top1%: 6% YES on $7.2K
vs crowd: 21% YES on $17.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 47 | $996 | $8.7K | $7.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 34 | $630 | $4.1K | $3.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 52 | $1.6K | $560 | +$1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $409 | $69 | +$340 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 27 | $456 | $6.8K | $6.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $180 | $225 | $45 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $14 | $66 | $53 |
| Median | 6 | $13 | $321 | $308 |
| Below median | 41 | $1.5K | $282 | +$1.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $100 | $482 | $382 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $346 | $1.9K | $1.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 27 | $1.0K | $3.4K | $2.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Webbed-Edible 0x5be9…9106 | Yes | +2,856 | $377 | $377 | 2 | 10-10 12:22 |
| Steep-Visa 0xd3ec…6603 | No | +2,507 | $1,827 | $2,703 | 2 | 10-22 23:35 |
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | No | +2,141 | $1,963 | $4,107 | 35 | 10-22 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +1,011 | $226 | $226 | 5 | 10-23 21:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +1,011 | $795 | $795 | 4 | 10-23 21:30 |
| Shy-Note 0xe432…934a | Yes | +898 | $135 | $135 | 2 | 10-16 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +637 | $533 | $609 | 10 | 10-26 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +637 | $112 | $112 | 10 | 10-23 12:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +616 | $94 | $94 | 7 | 10-26 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | Yes | +575 | $53 | $53 | 4 | 10-22 19:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +473 | $87 | $87 | 10 | 10-26 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +473 | $388 | $388 | 10 | 10-26 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +413 | $75 | $78 | 5 | 10-26 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +413 | $342 | $342 | 3 | 10-23 21:30 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +361 | $314 | $329 | 9 | 10-23 19:37 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | +361 | $51 | $51 | 5 | 10-23 19:37 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +355 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-22 19:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x330e…bcd1 | Yes | +333 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 10-23 12:12 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +300 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 10-26 00:18 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +299 | $257 | $257 | 8 | 10-22 11:21 |
| Unsightly-Young 0x2c1a…42d8 | No | +277 | $248 | $248 | 2 | 10-23 21:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…f138 | Yes | +257 | $43 | $43 | 7 | 10-26 16:23 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +252 | $36 | $43 | 9 | 10-26 02:27 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +252 | $218 | $218 | 7 | 10-26 02:27 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +251 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 10-22 19:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c3f…ff8d | No | +195 | $156 | $172 | 9 | 10-16 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c3f…ff8d | Yes | +195 | $41 | $85 | 7 | 10-22 19:20 |
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | +194 | $143 | $143 | 1 | 10-17 21:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa45f…d6cb | No | +193 | $176 | $176 | 1 | 10-23 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | +160 | $122 | $122 | 1 | 10-18 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +153 | $130 | $130 | 5 | 10-25 23:40 |
| Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | Yes | +149 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 10-12 04:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xe83d…238e | No | +148 | $132 | $136 | 4 | 10-23 21:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xe83d…238e | Yes | +148 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 10-23 21:30 |
| Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | +145 | $110 | $110 | 11 | 10-18 17:20 |
| Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | +143 | $125 | $125 | 5 | 10-26 16:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +138 | $112 | $112 | 4 | 10-16 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | +135 | $116 | $116 | 2 | 10-25 23:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | Yes | +120 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-22 19:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a9d…f332 | Yes | +111 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 10-08 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | +106 | $93 | $93 | 3 | 10-23 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +106 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 10-23 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | Yes | +105 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-22 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | +105 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 10-22 19:19 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +103 | $15 | $86 | 27 | 10-25 23:40 |
| Whirlwind-Maggot 0xbf96…9942 | No | +102 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 10-01 10:27 |
| Feisty-Type 0x593b…a941 | Yes | +100 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-22 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x13de…fd91 | Yes | +100 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 10-25 23:40 |
| Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | +100 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-23 19:37 |
| Feisty-Type 0x593b…a941 | No | +100 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 10-22 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +92 | $73 | $73 | 2 | 10-22 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +92 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-22 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x1990…ab66 | Yes | +83 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-23 14:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x5993…a32d | No | +82 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 10-11 22:31 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +80 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-23 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | No | +76 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 10-25 23:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +72 | $62 | $62 | 3 | 10-23 13:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x242c…fbe8 | No | +69 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 10-11 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | +66 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-22 19:20 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +65 | $49 | $49 | 3 | 10-18 17:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 16:23:57 | (anonymous) 0xfad9…f138 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x127531… |
| 10-26 16:23:57 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | BUY | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0x127531… |
| 10-26 04:31:57 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | BUY | 23 | 87¢ | $20 | 0xdc65e4… |
| 10-26 04:31:57 | (anonymous) 0xfad9…f138 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xdc65e4… |
| 10-26 02:27:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x3f6633… |
| 10-26 02:27:27 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x2ecacb… |
| 10-26 02:27:27 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x3f6633… |
| 10-26 02:27:27 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2ecacb… |
| 10-26 02:27:24 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x16ca67… |
| 10-26 02:27:24 | (anonymous) 0x4c19…8202 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x16ca67… |
| 10-26 00:46:18 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xc650b7… |
| 10-26 00:46:18 | (anonymous) 0xfad9…f138 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xc650b7… |
| 10-26 00:46:18 | Homely-Saint 0x3d17…8d0a | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xc650b7… |
| 10-26 00:46:18 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc650b7… |
| 10-26 00:18:23 | (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | No | BUY | 43 | 89¢ | $38 | 0xfe91c0… |
| 10-26 00:18:23 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 43 | 90¢ | $38 | 0x974f96… |
| 10-26 00:18:23 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | SELL | 43 | 90¢ | $38 | 0x974f96… |
| 10-26 00:18:23 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | BUY | 43 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x8bc1de… |
| 10-26 00:18:23 | (anonymous) 0xf28d…b24b | No | BUY | 43 | 90¢ | $38 | 0x8bc1de… |
| 10-26 00:18:23 | (anonymous) 0xf28d…b24b | Yes | BUY | 43 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xfe91c0… |
| 10-26 00:18:18 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xd1c4fa… |
| 10-26 00:18:18 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xd1c4fa… |
| 10-26 00:18:18 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 43 | 90¢ | $38 | 0xd1c4fa… |
| 10-25 23:40:44 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa6dab7… |
| 10-25 23:40:44 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa6dab7… |
| 10-25 23:40:38 | (anonymous) 0x0bef…3b06 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x1e3f03… |
| 10-25 23:40:38 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x1e3f03… |
| 10-25 23:40:36 | (anonymous) 0x0cfc…7f6b | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0xb5618d… |
| 10-25 23:40:36 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0xf9d127… |
| 10-25 23:40:36 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf9d127… |
| 10-25 23:40:36 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0xf7792a… |
| 10-25 23:40:36 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb5618d… |
| 10-25 23:40:36 | (anonymous) 0x0cfc…7f6b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf7792a… |
| 10-25 23:40:35 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x2e675e… |
| 10-25 23:40:35 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 125 | 86¢ | $107 | 0x05c303… |
| 10-25 23:40:35 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 47 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x555c9e… |
| 10-25 23:40:35 | (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | No | BUY | 56 | 86¢ | $48 | 0x555c9e… |
| 10-25 23:40:35 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x555c9e… |
| 10-25 23:40:35 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x2e675e… |
| 10-25 23:40:35 | (anonymous) 0x13de…fd91 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 14¢ | $12 | 0x05c303… |
| 10-25 23:40:35 | (anonymous) 0x13de…fd91 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x2e675e… |
| 10-25 23:40:35 | (anonymous) 0x54c2…500d | No | SELL | 41 | 85¢ | $35 | 0x05c303… |
| 10-25 02:30:29 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xc94120… |
| 10-25 02:30:29 | (anonymous) 0x377f…e8f9 | No | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xc94120… |
| 10-24 10:34:15 | (anonymous) 0x54c2…500d | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xfd00ab… |
| 10-24 10:34:15 | Immaterial-Chapter 0xa325…4201 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xfd00ab… |
| 10-23 21:40:44 | (anonymous) 0x54c2…500d | No | SELL | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x155560… |
| 10-23 21:40:44 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x155560… |
| 10-23 21:30:12 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x591692… |
| 10-23 21:30:12 | (anonymous) 0xe83d…238e | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x591692… |
| 10-23 21:30:11 | (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | No | SELL | 514 | 90¢ | $463 | 0x6e288b… |
| 10-23 21:30:11 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x647c69… |
| 10-23 21:30:11 | Unsightly-Young 0x2c1a…42d8 | No | BUY | 194 | 90¢ | $175 | 0x6e288b… |
| 10-23 21:30:11 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x55b575… |
| 10-23 21:30:11 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 45 | 85¢ | $38 | 0x647c69… |
| 10-23 21:30:11 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x6e288b… |
| 10-23 21:30:11 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x647c69… |
| 10-23 21:30:11 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x6e288b… |
| 10-23 21:30:11 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x6e288b… |
| 10-23 21:30:11 | (anonymous) 0xe83d…238e | Yes | BUY | 98 | 14¢ | $14 | 0x647c69… |
| 10-23 21:30:11 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x55b575… |
| 10-23 21:30:11 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 170 | 90¢ | $153 | 0x6e288b… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | (anonymous) 0x54c2…500d | No | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0xb38dd3… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 48 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7df489… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x5542cd… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 17 | 87¢ | $15 | 0x29d479… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 90 | 89¢ | $80 | 0xb38dd3… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | (anonymous) 0xe83d…238e | No | BUY | 98 | 89¢ | $87 | 0x5542cd… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | BUY | 190 | 11¢ | $20 | 0xb38dd3… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x29d479… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0xc876bc… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x29d479… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | (anonymous) 0xe83d…238e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x29d479… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | (anonymous) 0xe83d…238e | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x7df489… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xc876bc… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | (anonymous) 0xe83d…238e | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xb38dd3… |
| 10-23 21:30:09 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7df489… |
| 10-23 19:58:41 | (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0xd564c3… |
| 10-23 19:58:41 | (anonymous) 0x54c2…500d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xd564c3… |
| 10-23 19:37:24 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xf2c3c6… |
| 10-23 19:37:24 | (anonymous) 0x54c2…500d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xf2c3c6… |
| 10-23 19:37:24 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 42 | 92¢ | $38 | 0xe8191a… |
| 10-23 19:37:24 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x8fb74e… |
| 10-23 19:37:24 | Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xe8191a… |
| 10-23 19:37:24 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x8fb74e… |
| 10-23 19:37:24 | (anonymous) 0xa45f…d6cb | No | BUY | 193 | 91¢ | $176 | 0x8fb74e… |
| 10-23 19:37:24 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x8fb74e… |
| 10-23 19:37:24 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x8fb74e… |
| 10-23 14:27:48 | (anonymous) 0x1990…ab66 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 12¢ | $10 | 0x99bbd2… |
| 10-23 14:27:48 | Unsightly-Young 0x2c1a…42d8 | No | BUY | 83 | 88¢ | $73 | 0x99bbd2… |
| 10-23 13:11:03 | Unsightly-Young 0x2c1a…42d8 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xddf041… |
| 10-23 13:11:03 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xddf041… |
| 10-23 13:11:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xddf041… |
| 10-23 13:11:02 | Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x3e1d28… |
| 10-23 13:11:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x3e1d28… |
| 10-23 13:07:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x235f1b… |
| 10-23 13:07:18 | Homely-Saint 0x3d17…8d0a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x235f1b… |
| 10-23 13:07:18 | Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x235f1b… |
| 10-23 13:05:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x0b342f… |
| 10-23 13:05:54 | (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x0b342f… |