Unsightly-Young — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

6,009

Trades

107,568

lifetime

Volume

$2.58M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$1.58K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 283 days

Categories

Other

68% 39% -$11,759

Sports

15% 37% -$9,895

Politics

15% 37% -$801

Crypto

2% 35% +$898

Tech

0% 40% +$501

Pop-Culture

0% 42% -$178

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 453 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes		-300	-$123	97¢	$-291	-$168	05-13 08:37
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No		+303	$209	80¢	$241	+$32	10-29 09:47
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes		+166	$55	78¢	$130	+$75	10-28 19:08
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes		-1,249	-$65	7¢	$-90	-$25	07-29 20:22
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	GamerLegion		+185	$77	48¢	$90	+$13	10-29 11:23
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes		+96	$90	92¢	$88	-$2	10-28 10:35
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	—	+140	$80	56¢	$79	-$1	10-29 05:41
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes		-441	-$126	15¢	$-66	+$60	08-09 20:15
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes		+300	$134	20¢	$61	-$72	10-28 18:22
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+99	$40	56¢	$56	+$16	10-29 12:43
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes		+65	$52	80¢	$52	+$0	10-28 17:41
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes		+299	$88	14¢	$40	-$48	08-24 14:11
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No		+45	$30	80¢	$36	+$6	10-29 11:06
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes		+94	$69	37¢	$35	-$35	10-28 22:08
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes		+273	$93	11¢	$30	-$63	10-18 16:29
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No		+31	-$8	94¢	$29	+$37	06-09 11:37
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	No		+166	$21	12¢	$21	$0	09-18 16:28
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	Yes		+84	$21	24¢	$20	-$1	10-27 19:56
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes		+99	$41	20¢	$20	-$21	10-28 11:43
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		+35	-$27	44¢	$15	+$43	10-29 12:00
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes		+99	$28	14¢	$14	-$14	10-28 14:03
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-272	-$71	5¢	$-13	+$57	06-25 20:22
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes		+18	$6	72¢	$13	+$7	10-07 05:13
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+300	$12	3¢	$10	-$2	10-28 03:46
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes		+58	$11	17¢	$10	-$1	10-25 14:20
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No		-709	-$248	1¢	$-7	+$241	10-27 13:11
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes		+300	$159	2¢	$6	-$153	09-06 17:05
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		+188	$8	3¢	$6	-$2	10-29 11:05
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No		+342	$7	2¢	$5	-$2	10-29 11:48
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No		+81	-$14	5¢	$4	+$18	09-04 13:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1,080	$53.8K	58,681	58,178	+503	Yes	+$394	03-08 21:57
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	994	$27.9K	35,341	35,606	-265	No	-$113	01-13 16:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	375	$27.2K	36,667	36,509	+158	Yes	-$742	02-28 19:46
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	963	$21.8K	29,649	29,720	-72	Yes	+$757	01-13 16:57
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	678	$20.4K	25,686	24,719	+967	No	+$491	05-19 20:07
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	917	$20.2K	24,643	23,820	+823	No	-$44	01-13 16:50
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	615	$18.4K	23,063	24,870	-1,808	Yes	+$858	04-07 07:36
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	490	$15.2K	19,792	19,787	+5	Yes	+$333	03-16 00:21
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	448	$15.0K	22,646	23,194	-549	No	+$335	03-08 20:55
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	355	$15.0K	17,837	17,835	+2	Yes	-$123	05-10 17:13
italy nordio reform referendum passes	289	$14.2K	14,148	13,940	+209	No	+$182	03-23 14:00
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	267	$14.1K	14,675	13,943	+732	No	+$534	02-22 11:40
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	240	$12.8K	14,743	14,742	+2	No	+$162	05-31 19:13
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	255	$12.8K	13,926	13,408	+518	No	+$370	07-16 02:51
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	360	$12.8K	17,593	16,391	+1,202	Yes	+$459	07-17 23:53
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	540	$12.6K	30,601	30,254	+347	No	+$305	01-13 07:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	194	$11.8K	11,403	11,401	+2	No	+$98	09-29 16:51
will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	421	$11.1K	15,395	15,210	+186	No	+$442	03-16 00:21
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	165	$10.7K	12,872	12,662	+210	No	+$33	05-29 15:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	173	$10.5K	10,961	10,742	+219	No	+$193	09-30 07:55
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	340	$10.5K	22,380	22,601	-222	No	+$19	06-03 21:14
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	627	$10.4K	20,896	21,481	-585	No	+$257	04-14 00:38
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	201	$10.2K	9,575	9,274	+301	No	+$234	06-09 22:42
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	264	$10.1K	16,269	16,172	+97	Yes	+$323	03-03 19:47
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	182	$9.5K	17,719	15,630	+2,089	No	+$229	02-21 04:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	200	$9.4K	13,283	13,202	+81	Yes	-$379	09-09 08:48
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	285	$9.2K	11,262	11,259	+3	Yes	+$87	04-10 14:13
will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	264	$9.2K	10,207	10,206	+1	Yes	+$84	02-22 10:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	101	$8.3K	9,636	9,218	+419	Yes	+$29	05-08 18:02
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	221	$8.1K	13,876	12,851	+1,025	Yes	-$246	02-19 23:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 12:43:22	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xb6a1fb…
10-29 12:34:19	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0x247a37…
10-29 12:34:19	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x0d5a2a…
10-29 12:33:23	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x96aea8…
10-29 12:26:44	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x0bb31a…
10-29 12:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xd6a836…
10-29 12:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or higher on October 29?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x9ab020…
10-29 12:16:43	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xf1fc9a…
10-29 12:02:04	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	122	21¢	$26	0x1b6ed0…
10-29 12:00:23	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	180	45¢	$80	0x19a3d2…
10-29 11:51:44	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	285	41¢	$117	0x78a121…
10-29 11:48:50	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x43858f…
10-29 11:48:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	53	41¢	$22	0x600b86…
10-29 11:47:53	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	53	41¢	$22	0x1fe788…
10-29 11:47:49	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	53	41¢	$22	0x9e38cd…
10-29 11:47:41	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	54	41¢	$22	0x323e10…
10-29 11:45:04	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	SELL	18	58¢	$10	0x4cf5ec…
10-29 11:44:20	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x7dc9bb…
10-29 11:43:32	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x67217c…
10-29 11:41:53	Map Handicap: PRIV (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)	PRIVATE	BUY	78	55¢	$43	0xc4fe21…
10-29 11:33:49	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	44	61¢	$27	0x88a0ad…
10-29 11:29:58	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0x114ae8…
10-29 11:28:40	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	116	38¢	$45	0x4a3922…
10-29 11:23:08	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xd6f88e…
10-29 11:18:10	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	109	41¢	$45	0xc4f878…
10-29 11:17:55	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xcdd1f0…
10-29 11:17:52	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	85	41¢	$35	0x3717f2…
10-29 11:17:52	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	66	41¢	$27	0x1a9b0f…
10-29 11:17:37	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x07716a…
10-29 11:17:35	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7230f7…
10-29 11:16:13	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x96ad73…
10-29 11:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x15ecd7…
10-29 11:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1620e1…
10-29 11:10:20	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	98	40¢	$39	0xcc4343…
10-29 11:08:19	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	102	3¢	$3	0xfa4320…
10-29 11:06:35	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	98	58¢	$57	0xa83f5a…
10-29 11:06:28	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	71¢	$32	0xe68505…
10-29 11:06:07	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	118	23¢	$27	0x7a1a59…
10-29 11:05:35	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	105	5¢	$5	0x898d2a…
10-29 11:04:13	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	105	5¢	$5	0xfa6863…
10-29 11:03:32	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	38	41¢	$16	0x3c0b7e…
10-29 11:03:31	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0xf6832f…
10-29 11:02:34	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	187	9¢	$17	0x109954…
10-29 11:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 29?	No	SELL	75	98¢	$73	0xbc4b8d…
10-29 10:52:34	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	142	43¢	$61	0x16753a…
10-29 10:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x7d8a23…
10-29 10:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0xe335fe…
10-29 10:41:47	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	44	18¢	$8	0x231bc3…
10-29 10:41:19	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	121	18¢	$22	0xc28aac…
10-29 10:37:29	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	121	18¢	$22	0xf898a3…
10-29 10:30:16	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	SELL	83	59¢	$49	0xddfed9…
10-29 10:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 29?	No	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0x1e3588…
10-29 10:20:43	Government shutdown by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0x2d6eca…
10-29 10:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x403f1c…
10-29 09:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x37706d…
10-29 09:47:11	Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x81b003…
10-29 09:47:10	Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	BUY	307	81¢	$249	0x0b2b0b…
10-29 09:42:14	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xffeada…
10-29 09:40:22	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x774f5d…
10-29 09:38:16	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0x7008aa…
10-29 09:24:55	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	61	9¢	$5	0xad72d4…
10-29 09:24:55	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	125	9¢	$11	0x60197c…
10-29 09:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x559bf4…
10-29 09:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0xd31916…
10-29 09:17:41	Pacers vs. Heat	Pacers	SELL	299	33¢	$99	0x70c03f…
10-29 09:14:20	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xb861b8…
10-29 09:14:20	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4449e3…
10-29 09:13:22	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	53	45¢	$24	0x549374…
10-29 09:13:10	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x59949b…
10-29 09:13:10	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x343d7e…
10-29 09:13:08	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0xd00fcb…
10-29 09:13:08	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	150	45¢	$68	0xb3eab9…
10-29 09:13:08	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x602c4c…
10-29 09:13:08	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5f4697…
10-29 09:03:16	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0e4333…
10-29 09:02:43	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0xf4e1d2…
10-29 08:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0xc8df4e…
10-29 08:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x652365…
10-29 08:12:59	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd65952…
10-29 08:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x45f3c9…
10-29 07:50:56	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	103	4¢	$4	0x8978fe…
10-29 07:47:35	Will Gemini Carbon debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	208	5¢	$11	0x64fd1b…
10-29 07:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x9a5d40…
10-29 07:36:14	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	166	12¢	$20	0x0f5437…
10-29 07:35:46	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x9a8c7b…
10-29 07:35:46	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	142	30¢	$43	0x8d0e81…
10-29 07:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xda94d0…
10-29 07:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xb74066…
10-29 07:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xb5d0b0…
10-29 07:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x407351…
10-29 07:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 29?	No	SELL	39	81¢	$32	0x388cb6…
10-29 07:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	18	74¢	$13	0x2fc21d…
10-29 07:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 29?	No	SELL	18	81¢	$15	0x25343f…
10-29 06:55:34	Government shutdown by December 31?	Yes	BUY	159	44¢	$70	0x972175…
10-29 06:52:01	Pacers vs. Heat	Pacers	BUY	280	36¢	$101	0x52fceb…
10-29 06:40:07	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	210	8¢	$17	0xf55683…
10-29 06:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xaf8343…
10-29 06:28:14	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	99	98¢	$97	0x6dac28…
10-29 06:20:01	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	212	8¢	$17	0x7afb03…
10-29 06:19:58	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	217	8¢	$17	0x943f0f…