Unsightly-Young 0x2c1a7a…8d42d8 Create alert
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$8.49K
Unrealized P&L
+$154
Hit rate
55.8%
Resolved (90d)
1,344
Trades (90d)
16,019
108,718 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$342.7K
$2.61M lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 21:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 293 days
Categories
Other
68% 39% -$14,475
Politics
15% 38% -$1,032
Sports
15% 37% -$10,807
Crypto
3% 35% +$898
Tech
0% 40% +$501
Pop-Culture
0% 42% -$178
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 463 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -300 -$123 94¢ $-281 -$158 11-01 22:09
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +280 $187 74¢ $206 +$19 11-03 11:41
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat? No +188 $165 99¢ $187 +$21 11-04 06:55
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +156 $85 93¢ $145 +$60 11-02 21:02
Government shutdown by December 31? Yes +297 $128 40¢ $119 -$9 10-29 10:20
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +245 $111 46¢ $114 +$3 10-30 16:24
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -1,249 -$65 6¢ $-73 -$8 07-29 20:22
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? No +227 $122 29¢ $66 -$56 10-31 02:47
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +199 $107 24¢ $47 -$61 11-04 21:00
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -762 -$273 5¢ $-41 +$232 11-07 10:16
will xiaomi be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129417 Yes +300 $45 12¢ $38 -$8 08-18 08:25
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +273 $93 11¢ $30 -$63 10-18 16:29
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +31 -$8 94¢ $30 +$38 06-09 11:37
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +166 $21 12¢ $21 $0 09-18 16:28
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +245 $44 7¢ $18 -$26 11-04 17:06
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -709 -$248 2¢ $-17 +$231 10-27 13:11
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +18 $6 68¢ $13 +$7 10-07 05:13
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +34 $19 33¢ $11 -$8 11-07 14:44
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? Yes +300 $60 4¢ $11 -$49 06-24 21:25
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -272 -$71 3¢ $-9 +$62 06-25 20:22
Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? Yes +76 $6 8¢ $6 +$0 10-29 16:17
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +300 $159 2¢ $5 -$154 09-06 17:05
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the June meeting? No +5 -$2 86¢ $4 +$6 11-03 15:51
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? No +4 -$47 70¢ $3 +$50 06-15 19:52
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? Yes -119 -$4 2¢ $-3 +$1 09-16 10:19
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +142 $6 2¢ $3 -$3 10-29 16:22
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes +41 $11 7¢ $3 -$8 05-23 15:17
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -3 -$1 90¢ $-3 -$2 10-31 00:04
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +2 -$3 99¢ $2 +$5 08-01 01:39
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -96 -$34 2¢ $-2 +$32 07-18 14:17