Realized P&L (30d)
-$4.49K
Unrealized P&L
+$229
Hit rate
55.1%
Resolved (30d)
311
Trades (30d)
3,401
108,771 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$80.9K
$2.61M lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.46K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 22:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 290 days
Categories
Other
68% 39% -$14,113
Politics
15% 38% -$1,079
Sports
15% 37% -$10,807
Crypto
3% 35% +$898
Tech
0% 40% +$501
Pop-Culture
0% 42% -$178
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 463 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -300 -$123 95¢ $-284 -$161 11-01 22:09
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +280 $187 79¢ $222 +$34 11-03 11:41
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat? No +188 $165 98¢ $185 +$20 11-04 06:55
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +156 $85 93¢ $145 +$60 11-02 21:02
Government shutdown by December 31? Yes +297 $128 32¢ $93 -$34 10-29 10:20
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? No +227 $122 34¢ $77 -$45 10-31 02:47
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +361 $24 21¢ $76 +$52 10-31 00:07
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +199 $107 34¢ $67 -$41 11-04 21:00
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -1,249 -$65 5¢ $-65 +$0 07-29 20:22
will xiaomi be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129417 Yes +300 $45 12¢ $38 -$8 08-18 08:25
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -759 -$273 5¢ $-36 +$237 10-29 17:46
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +273 $93 11¢ $30 -$63 10-18 16:29
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +31 -$8 94¢ $30 +$38 06-09 11:37
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +166 $21 12¢ $21 $0 09-18 16:28
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +18 $6 71¢ $13 +$7 10-07 05:13
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +13 $22 99¢ $13 -$9 10-29 19:15
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +67 $57 17¢ $12 -$45 10-31 00:14
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -272 -$71 4¢ $-10 +$61 06-25 20:22
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -709 -$248 1¢ $-10 +$239 10-27 13:11
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +245 $44 3¢ $7 -$37 11-04 17:06
Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? Yes +76 $6 9¢ $7 +$1 10-29 16:17
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +300 $159 2¢ $5 -$154 09-06 17:05
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +142 $6 2¢ $3 -$3 10-29 16:22
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? No +4 -$47 70¢ $3 +$50 06-15 19:52
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? Yes -119 -$4 3¢ $-3 +$1 09-16 10:19
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes +41 $11 7¢ $3 -$8 05-23 15:17
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -3 -$1 92¢ $-3 -$2 10-31 00:04
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -96 -$34 3¢ $-2 +$32 07-18 14:17
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +2 -$3 99¢ $2 +$5 08-01 01:39
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? Yes +44 $1 5¢ $2 +$1 10-08 05:14