Realized P&L (7d)
-$2.19K
Unrealized P&L
-$198
Hit rate
52.4%
Resolved (7d)
131
Trades (7d)
1,819
108,565 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$44.2K
$2.60M lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.74K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 18:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 287 days
Categories
Other
68% 39% -$13,542
Sports
15% 37% -$10,824
Politics
15% 37% -$791
Crypto
3% 35% +$898
Tech
0% 40% +$501
Pop-Culture
0% 42% -$178
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 463 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -300 -$123 95¢ $-285 -$162 11-01 22:09
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +924 $367 28¢ $254 -$113 10-30 04:19
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +307 $239 82¢ $251 +$11 10-31 02:40
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +289 $280 86¢ $250 -$29 10-30 21:15
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +115 $111 98¢ $112 +$1 10-31 22:02
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +300 $131 28¢ $82 -$48 10-30 01:06
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -1,249 -$65 6¢ $-80 -$15 07-29 20:22
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +361 $24 18¢ $67 +$43 10-31 00:07
will xiaomi be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129417 Yes +300 $45 12¢ $38 -$8 08-18 08:25
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +70 $24 53¢ $37 +$13 11-01 14:05
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? No +142 $105 22¢ $32 -$73 10-31 19:28
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +273 $93 12¢ $31 -$61 10-18 16:29
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +31 -$8 94¢ $29 +$37 06-09 11:37
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +300 $30 8¢ $25 -$4 11-01 17:05
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +67 $57 34¢ $23 -$34 10-31 00:14
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +166 $21 14¢ $22 +$1 09-18 16:28
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -759 -$273 2¢ $-17 +$255 10-29 17:46
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -709 -$248 2¢ $-17 +$231 10-27 13:11
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +82 $25 18¢ $14 -$11 10-29 21:00
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -272 -$71 5¢ $-14 +$57 06-25 20:22
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +18 $6 72¢ $13 +$7 10-07 05:13
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +13 $22 99¢ $13 -$9 10-29 19:15
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +130 $7 4¢ $5 -$3 10-23 14:58
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? No +81 -$14 6¢ $5 +$18 09-04 13:57
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -96 -$34 4¢ $-4 +$30 07-18 14:17
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +300 $159 1¢ $4 -$155 09-06 17:05
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? Yes -119 -$4 3¢ $-3 +$1 09-16 10:19
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -3 -$1 92¢ $-3 -$2 10-31 00:04
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +2 -$3 99¢ $2 +$5 08-01 01:39
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026 Yes +31 $184 6¢ $2 -$182 10-20 15:12