Realized P&L
-$25.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$408
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
6,152
Trades
109,118
lifetime
Volume
$2.62M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$2.35K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 13:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 297 days
Categories
Other
68% 39% -$14,490
Politics
15% 38% -$1,032
Sports
15% 37% -$10,813
Crypto
3% 35% +$898
Tech
1% 41% +$524
Pop-Culture
0% 42% -$178
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 463 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $144 in November? No +378 $249 73¢ $276 +$27 11-12 11:31
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026? No +423 $220 58¢ $247 +$27 11-13 06:21
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -201 -$33 91¢ $-182 -$149 11-13 04:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? No +200 $112 67¢ $134 +$22 10-31 22:00
Government shutdown by December 31? Yes +297 $128 43¢ $128 $0 10-29 10:20
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +300 $109 41¢ $123 +$14 11-12 18:53
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +459 $98 25¢ $115 +$17 11-13 10:29
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be above $4T at the end of 2026? No +258 $158 42¢ $109 -$48 11-13 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on November 14? No +303 $114 34¢ $103 -$11 11-13 13:17
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +192 $40 53¢ $101 +$61 11-13 12:50
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be above $4T at the end of 2026? Yes +164 $92 57¢ $94 +$2 11-13 11:53
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026? Yes +188 $76 42¢ $78 +$2 11-12 15:22
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -1,249 -$65 5¢ $-59 +$6 07-29 20:22
Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs RED Canids Academy (+1.5) Galorys — +79 $47 60¢ $48 +$1 11-13 14:17
will deepseek be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129415 Yes +175 $46 26¢ $46 +$1 08-18 13:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 13? No +43 $24 100¢ $43 +$20 11-13 11:24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $184 in November? No +66 $26 64¢ $42 +$16 11-13 06:08
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs RED Canids Academy +267 $37 16¢ $41 +$5 11-13 13:07
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +343 $42 12¢ $41 -$1 11-13 05:09
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +94 $44 42¢ $39 -$5 11-11 00:36
Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs RED Canids Academy (+1.5) RED Canids Academy — +99 $39 40¢ $39 +$0 11-13 14:22
will xiaomi be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129417 Yes +300 $45 12¢ $38 -$8 08-18 08:25
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $136 in November? Yes +159 $32 22¢ $34 +$2 11-12 22:42
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -709 -$248 4¢ $-30 +$219 10-27 13:11
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +31 -$8 94¢ $30 +$38 06-09 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C on November 14? Yes +122 $60 23¢ $28 -$32 11-13 13:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 14? No +50 $28 55¢ $27 $0 11-13 14:23
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -781 -$274 3¢ $-25 +$249 11-11 04:57
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +256 $91 9¢ $23 -$68 11-11 19:22
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +166 $21 12¢ $21 $0 09-18 16:28