Realized P&L
-$25.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
6,158
Trades
109,207
lifetime
Volume
$2.62M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$3.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 00:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 297 days
Categories
Other
68% 39% -$14,503
Politics
15% 38% -$1,032
Sports
14% 37% -$10,813
Crypto
3% 35% +$898
Tech
1% 41% +$524
Pop-Culture
0% 42% -$178
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 463 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $144 in November? No +378 $249 72¢ $270 +$21 11-12 11:31
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +254 $226 97¢ $246 +$19 11-13 17:37
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on November 14? No +780 $261 30¢ $234 -$27 11-14 00:22
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026? No +423 $220 54¢ $226 +$6 11-13 06:21
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -201 -$34 90¢ $-181 -$146 11-13 18:39
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +762 $168 24¢ $179 +$11 11-14 00:42
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be above $4T at the end of 2026? Yes +300 $160 52¢ $157 -$2 11-13 17:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 14? No +280 $152 54¢ $151 -$1 11-13 23:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? No +200 $112 67¢ $134 +$22 10-31 22:00
Government shutdown by December 31? Yes +297 $128 43¢ $128 $0 10-29 10:20
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +300 $109 41¢ $123 +$14 11-12 18:53
Government shutdown by December 12? Yes +300 $110 40¢ $120 +$10 11-13 18:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 14? Yes +212 $90 46¢ $97 +$8 11-13 19:02
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $136 in November? Yes +300 $68 30¢ $88 +$20 11-13 17:04
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026? Yes +188 $76 46¢ $87 +$11 11-12 15:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 14? No +102 $83 76¢ $77 -$6 11-13 21:37
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -1,249 -$65 5¢ $-60 +$5 07-29 20:22
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 14? Yes +130 $61 43¢ $55 -$6 11-14 01:02
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in October? Yes +146 $44 34¢ $50 +$7 11-13 16:17
will deepseek be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129415 Yes +175 $46 26¢ $46 +$1 08-18 13:22
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $184 in November? No +66 $26 69¢ $46 +$20 11-13 06:08
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +100 $28 43¢ $43 +$15 11-13 16:18
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +94 $44 42¢ $39 -$5 11-11 00:36
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in October? No +97 $35 40¢ $38 +$3 11-13 20:53
will xiaomi be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129417 Yes +300 $45 12¢ $38 -$8 08-18 08:25
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +229 $27 15¢ $35 +$7 11-13 18:09
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C on November 14? Yes +128 $61 26¢ $34 -$27 11-13 23:52
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +49 $38 64¢ $32 -$6 11-14 00:26
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 14? Yes +83 $22 36¢ $30 +$9 11-14 00:21
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +31 -$8 94¢ $30 +$38 06-09 11:37