Realized P&L
-$25.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$561
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
6,171
Trades
109,288
lifetime
Volume
$2.62M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$3.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 04:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 299 days
Categories
Other
68% 39% -$15,000
Politics
15% 38% -$1,032
Sports
14% 37% -$10,813
Crypto
3% 35% +$898
Tech
1% 41% +$524
Pop-Culture
0% 42% -$178
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 463 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -300 -$124 89¢ $-268 -$144 11-14 17:38
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $144 in November? No +378 $249 66¢ $251 +$2 11-12 11:31
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +254 $226 96¢ $244 +$18 11-13 17:37
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026? No +423 $220 52¢ $222 +$2 11-13 06:21
Will The Weeknd be featured on GTA VI: The Album? No +224 $213 96¢ $215 +$2 11-14 16:56
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? Yes +201 $200 100¢ $200 +$0 11-14 09:22
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +763 $168 24¢ $187 +$19 11-14 05:48
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be above $4T at the end of 2026? Yes +300 $160 50¢ $151 -$8 11-13 17:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? No +200 $112 67¢ $134 +$22 10-31 22:00
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +300 $109 41¢ $123 +$14 11-12 18:53
Government shutdown by December 12? Yes +300 $110 40¢ $121 +$11 11-13 18:41
Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album? No +111 $86 95¢ $105 +$19 11-14 17:47
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +179 $33 52¢ $93 +$60 11-14 17:48
Government shutdown by December 31? Yes +198 $85 42¢ $83 -$2 11-15 02:22
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +99 $68 68¢ $67 -$1 11-14 20:27
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026? Yes +135 $50 48¢ $64 +$14 11-15 04:14
Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? Yes +64 $62 98¢ $63 +$1 11-14 22:00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $136 in November? Yes +300 $68 20¢ $60 -$8 11-13 17:04
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -1,249 -$65 5¢ $-59 +$6 07-29 20:22
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +100 $28 48¢ $48 +$20 11-13 16:18
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in October? Yes +146 $44 32¢ $47 +$4 11-13 16:17
will deepseek be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129415 Yes +175 $46 26¢ $46 +$1 08-18 13:22
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +333 $42 14¢ $45 +$3 11-14 09:07
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +94 $44 42¢ $39 -$6 11-11 00:36
will xiaomi be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129417 Yes +300 $45 12¢ $38 -$8 08-18 08:25
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in October? No +97 $35 34¢ $33 -$2 11-13 20:53
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +31 -$8 94¢ $30 +$38 06-09 11:37
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +36 $19 79¢ $28 +$9 11-14 18:20
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -709 -$248 4¢ $-26 +$222 10-27 13:11
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -781 -$274 3¢ $-22 +$252 11-11 04:57