(anonymous) 0x59930f…e3a32d
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
79.9%
Resolved
268
Trades
665
lifetime
Volume
$18.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$5.85K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-10
last 10-26 03:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
73% 87% +$10
Politics
24% 72% +$2
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,449 $1,184 94¢ $1.4K +$178 10-12 17:10
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,391 $933 65¢ $909 -$24 10-12 09:58
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,391 $445 36¢ $494 +$49 10-12 09:58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +274 $202 91¢ $250 +$49 10-11 04:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +254 $247 97¢ $248 +$1 10-12 12:19
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +329 $274 68¢ $225 -$49 10-11 21:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +215 $211 99¢ $212 +$2 10-12 13:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +254 $198 78¢ $200 +$1 10-12 12:19
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +241 $209 72¢ $172 -$37 10-11 17:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +215 $146 72¢ $153 +$8 10-12 13:22
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +172 $126 88¢ $151 +$25 10-10 21:05
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +138 $136 98¢ $135 -$1 10-12 11:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +199 $161 64¢ $126 -$35 10-12 13:35
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +188 $107 58¢ $109 +$2 10-10 16:58
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? No +106 $102 96¢ $102 +$1 10-10 18:19
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +139 $95 68¢ $95 +$1 10-10 22:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,449 $280 6¢ $87 -$193 10-12 17:10
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +188 $79 42¢ $78 -$1 10-10 16:58
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +241 $31 30¢ $73 +$42 10-11 17:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +199 $42 36¢ $73 +$31 10-12 13:35
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +230 $39 32¢ $72 +$33 10-11 21:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +215 $75 32¢ $70 -$5 10-12 13:22
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes -99 -$43 68¢ $-68 -$26 10-11 02:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +254 $64 25¢ $64 +$0 10-12 12:19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +446 $122 12¢ $55 -$67 10-11 04:39
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes -80 -$54 68¢ $-55 $0 10-10 23:50
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +55 $53 98¢ $54 +$0 10-12 14:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +55 $53 98¢ $53 $0 10-12 14:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +55 $49 96¢ $53 +$4 10-12 14:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +55 $53 90¢ $49 -$4 10-12 14:58