Realized P&L
-$7.68K
Unrealized P&L
-$476
Hit rate
23.5%
Resolved
72
Trades
653
lifetime
Volume
$42.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$659
16 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-28 00:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
79% 37% -$7,565
Politics
20% 0% -$113
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +750 $198 28¢ $210 +$12 10-26 16:01
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +1,000 $119 12¢ $115 -$4 10-25 16:33
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? Yes +602 $240 14¢ $84 -$157 10-26 19:34
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +309 $43 12¢ $39 -$5 10-26 13:35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +120 $46 30¢ $35 -$10 10-26 13:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +555 $62 6¢ $31 -$31 10-27 15:09
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +333 $30 8¢ $28 -$2 10-26 20:04
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +725 $49 4¢ $25 -$24 10-25 22:20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +500 $35 4¢ $22 -$12 10-26 13:10
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +150 $32 12¢ $17 -$15 10-27 22:08
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes +444 $22 4¢ $17 -$5 10-26 13:34
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +300 $19 5¢ $14 -$6 10-27 20:17
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? Yes +285 -$15 4¢ $10 +$25 10-25 19:34
us imports russian diesel by october 31 Yes +200 $212 2¢ $4 -$208 10-26 20:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +200 $36 2¢ $4 -$32 10-25 23:46
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +500 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 10-27 12:24