Realized P&L
-$7.67K
Unrealized P&L
-$428
Hit rate
23.6%
Resolved
71
Trades
606
lifetime
Volume
$42.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$732
16 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-27 01:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
80% 37% -$7,565
Politics
20% 0% -$104
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +750 $198 28¢ $206 +$8 10-26 16:01
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +1,000 $119 14¢ $140 +$21 10-25 16:33
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +444 $115 26¢ $113 -$2 10-26 13:35
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? Yes +602 $240 7¢ $45 -$196 10-26 19:34
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +309 $43 13¢ $40 -$3 10-26 13:35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +120 $46 30¢ $36 -$10 10-26 13:10
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +725 $49 4¢ $33 -$16 10-25 22:20
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +333 $30 8¢ $28 -$2 10-26 20:04
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +500 $35 4¢ $20 -$15 10-26 13:10
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes +444 $22 4¢ $18 -$4 10-26 13:34
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $17 16¢ $16 -$1 10-27 12:22
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? Yes +285 -$15 4¢ $10 +$25 10-25 19:34
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +200 $212 4¢ $9 -$203 10-26 20:20
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $7 7¢ $7 +$0 10-27 12:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +200 $36 3¢ $6 -$30 10-25 23:46
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +500 $5 1¢ $5 $0 10-27 12:24