(anonymous) 0x330eb4…7cbcd1 Create alert
cold 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$7.91K
Unrealized P&L
-$334
Hit rate
36.2%
Resolved (90d)
187
Trades (90d)
1,167
1,167 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$54.6K
$54.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$738
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 11-07 11:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
75% 26% -$8,325
Politics
25% 29% +$488
Tech
1% 0% -$23
Crypto
0% 0% -$46
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31? Yes +649 $126 19¢ $123 -$3 11-06 22:16
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026? No +953 $49 4¢ $39 -$10 11-04 15:35
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +706 $44 5¢ $38 -$5 11-05 15:15
Will Iran target Qatar by December 31, 2026? Yes +88 $21 42¢ $37 +$16 11-06 15:24
US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026? Yes +666 $70 6¢ $37 -$34 11-05 22:06
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +222 $47 16¢ $37 -$10 11-05 01:03
Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? Yes +265 $32 14¢ $36 +$4 11-07 10:57
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $43 35¢ $35 -$8 11-03 21:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November? No +50 $28 61¢ $30 +$3 11-04 20:21
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +309 $43 9¢ $28 -$15 10-26 13:35
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026? Yes +341 $27 8¢ $27 +$0 11-05 00:52
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026? Yes +202 $18 13¢ $26 +$8 11-05 10:55
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? Yes +743 $31 3¢ $24 -$7 11-04 16:18
Will Trump deport 300-400k people? Yes +222 $30 11¢ $23 -$6 11-05 01:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +102 $22 21¢ $21 -$1 11-03 16:34
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? No +60 $8 35¢ $21 +$13 11-07 11:12
Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $14 32¢ $20 +$6 11-05 22:50
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +333 $30 5¢ $17 -$13 10-26 20:04
Will Trump deport 500-600k people? Yes +222 $24 6¢ $14 -$10 11-05 05:12
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? Yes +333 $13 4¢ $14 +$1 11-05 00:50
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30? No +444 $31 3¢ $12 -$20 11-03 21:33
Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026? Yes +104 $11 11¢ $11 +$0 11-05 20:20
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? Yes +40 $9 28¢ $11 +$2 11-03 16:30
Will there be between 0 and 4 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on November 30? Yes +19 $5 50¢ $9 +$5 11-04 10:36
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +322 $12 3¢ $9 -$2 11-05 01:04
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026? Yes +55 $8 17¢ $9 +$1 11-04 12:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November? Yes +20 $10 39¢ $8 -$3 11-04 20:18
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in November 2026? Yes +32 $6 23¢ $7 +$2 11-07 07:05
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 30? No +448 $250 2¢ $7 -$244 11-05 18:03
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +213 $9 3¢ $7 -$2 11-05 01:03