Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$8.56K

Unrealized P&L

-$198

Hit rate

30.0%

Resolved (30d)

151

Trades (30d)

949

949 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$48.4K

$48.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$324

15 positions

First seen

2026-10-05

last 11-03 05:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

77% 30% -$8,219

Politics

23% 26% -$276

Tech

0% 0% -$23

Crypto

0% 0% -$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	+204	$62	38¢	$77	+$15	11-01 23:27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	+120	$46	36¢	$43	-$2	10-26 13:10
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$56	40¢	$40	-$17	10-29 01:23
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	+309	$43	12¢	$37	-$6	10-26 13:35
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	+856	$52	4¢	$34	-$18	10-30 00:57
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+333	$30	7¢	$23	-$7	10-26 20:04
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+349	$24	6¢	$19	-$5	10-30 02:26
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+33	$11	32¢	$10	$0	11-02 13:24
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	+270	-$7	4¢	$10	+$17	10-29 11:09
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+55	$8	15¢	$8	+$0	11-02 13:26
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+55	$7	14¢	$7	+$0	11-02 13:25
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+168	$161	4¢	$7	-$154	10-28 18:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+5	$1	75¢	$4	+$3	11-03 01:27
Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	+11	$4	32¢	$3	$0	11-02 13:25
Will Trump say "Burger" in October?	Yes	+115	$25	0¢	$0	-$25	11-01 23:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wti closes above 97 on october 16 2026	18	$3.6K	6,128	0	+6,128	Yes	-$3,618	10-16 16:19
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	9	$3.4K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	10-09 15:14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 15?	27	$3.0K	6,341	0	+6,341	Yes	-$2,989	10-15 17:43
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?	10	$1.7K	1,467	1,131	+336	open	—	11-01 00:54
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	22	$1.7K	3,338	3,068	+270	open	—	10-29 11:09
will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	7	$1.4K	5,430	300	+5,129	No	-$1,043	10-16 15:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	19	$1.2K	2,717	2,712	+5	open	—	11-03 01:27
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	24	$1.1K	4,674	1,674	+3,000	No	-$85	10-26 18:17
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	6	$1.1K	943	943	+0	open	—	10-08 13:59
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	7	$1.1K	2,286	2,286	+0	open	—	10-24 18:43
wti closes above 98 on october 16 2026	2	$1.1K	587	587	+0	Yes	+$0	10-16 12:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	13	$999	4,307	4,307	+0	Yes	-$57	10-22 14:45
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	8	$917	1,555	1,555	+0	open	—	10-27 19:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	30	$912	3,418	3,418	+0	open	—	11-03 00:48
Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 26-November 1?	18	$793	914	585	+329	Yes	+$107	11-01 18:29
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	4	$786	1,611	1,611	+0	open	—	10-26 13:40
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	12	$784	3,022	2,822	+200	No	-$212	10-26 20:20
military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 15	11	$696	1,833	1,833	+0	No	-$596	10-15 20:38
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	4	$594	2,777	2,777	+0	No	-$150	10-15 22:17
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	3	$581	480	480	+0	No	+$283	10-15 20:50
wti closes above 94 on october 14 2026	16	$545	2,630	929	+1,701	Yes	-$178	10-14 19:25
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	6	$544	1,027	1,027	+0	open	—	10-29 12:11
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	2	$544	500	500	+0	Yes	-$24	10-16 16:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	6	$535	641	611	+30	Yes	-$27	10-28 15:39
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?	24	$535	1,629	547	+1,081	open	—	11-02 11:58
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	19	$535	1,894	1,726	+168	open	—	10-28 18:22
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	6	$509	3,017	3,017	+0	Yes	-$106	10-23 12:11
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?	3	$500	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$100	10-08 16:27
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	11	$486	681	477	+204	open	—	11-01 23:27
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	8	$452	644	644	+0	Yes	-$23	10-15 22:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 07:03:07	Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x046ba6…
11-03 05:21:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2226d6…
11-03 05:21:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xb3d49e…
11-03 05:00:51	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be 1,400,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xe4f107…
11-03 05:00:51	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be 1,400,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x348e94…
11-03 03:26:24	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x0393e2…
11-03 01:27:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf937bb…
11-03 01:20:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0xd4c195…
11-03 01:09:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xcc3e18…
11-03 01:06:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0xb4c993…
11-03 01:04:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x2f8754…
11-03 00:48:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	746	50¢	$373	0x6214ff…
11-03 00:48:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	399	50¢	$199	0x1c3cdb…
11-02 23:04:15	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 6 to 9 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	Yes	BUY	281	3¢	$8	0x84ec4b…
11-02 21:56:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 25%-35%?	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x1f4662…
11-02 21:47:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x730653…
11-02 21:43:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x6a6370…
11-02 21:39:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	555	6¢	$32	0x135698…
11-02 21:26:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	275	7¢	$19	0x8f6cb4…
11-02 21:25:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	750	7¢	$51	0xe59ced…
11-02 21:03:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	1,104	7¢	$77	0x76458f…
11-02 21:02:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xdca85a…
11-02 21:00:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	98	6¢	$6	0x2fdb92…
11-02 21:00:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xdcae3b…
11-02 21:00:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3ed1d4…
11-02 21:00:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x74f72b…
11-02 21:00:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0xd621b1…
11-02 20:59:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0x41f5b7…
11-02 20:59:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0xc77feb…
11-02 20:59:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x931808…
11-02 20:57:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	69	1¢	$0	0x262605…
11-02 20:56:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xd49707…
11-02 20:56:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0x710941…
11-02 20:56:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	466	1¢	$3	0xac159c…
11-02 20:54:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xad962a…
11-02 20:54:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x2355a6…
11-02 20:53:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	300	5¢	$16	0x1c1b68…
11-02 20:53:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	222	4¢	$9	0x344493…
11-02 20:52:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	167	3¢	$5	0x4650c8…
11-02 20:52:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x8ecc00…
11-02 20:51:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	162	4¢	$6	0x6b4bc1…
11-02 20:51:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	222	3¢	$7	0x56ddb6…
11-02 20:50:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	222	3¢	$6	0x61461a…
11-02 20:45:15	Will Amir Ohana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	BUY	79	4¢	$3	0x405ebf…
11-02 20:45:09	Will Avi Dichter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	BUY	116	3¢	$3	0x140d6f…
11-02 20:44:57	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x9c756d…
11-02 20:44:51	Will Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper) be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	BUY	152	1¢	$2	0x3c25e0…
11-02 20:44:43	Will Eli Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x481d03…
11-02 20:43:06	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	222	18¢	$40	0x76616f…
11-02 20:37:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x205fc0…
11-02 19:42:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf3070e…
11-02 19:03:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb134df…
11-02 18:50:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0x22de55…
11-02 17:59:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xe8f7eb…
11-02 17:45:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 25%-35%?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x15a687…
11-02 17:39:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa64135…
11-02 17:34:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x0eeff3…
11-02 17:28:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x81bdeb…
11-02 17:27:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x04eb64…
11-02 17:25:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x8315e9…
11-02 17:24:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x25716d…
11-02 17:15:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x8e00b0…
11-02 17:12:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x26d2e9…
11-02 16:59:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 0%-25%?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x03290a…
11-02 16:14:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x1a25a7…
11-02 16:06:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	214	2¢	$3	0x9d8db5…
11-02 16:06:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	144	3¢	$4	0x8dd8c9…
11-02 16:02:51	Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0xe10f7a…
11-02 16:02:40	Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x94d8d8…
11-02 16:02:09	Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xb239e1…
11-02 16:01:48	Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x5fabd9…
11-02 16:01:39	Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x34cc34…
11-02 16:01:31	Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	22¢	$8	0xc2561d…
11-02 15:53:34	Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	444	9¢	$40	0xf3ad83…
11-02 15:51:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd1d422…
11-02 15:43:46	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be 1,400,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x0221e6…
11-02 15:43:34	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be 1,400,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x4b2f1c…
11-02 15:43:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election?	Yes	BUY	187	2¢	$4	0x551d7c…
11-02 15:43:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 0%-10%?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x194d6b…
11-02 15:42:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	114	9¢	$11	0x7a11d3…
11-02 15:28:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 18% or more?	Yes	BUY	291	1¢	$2	0x135d51…
11-02 15:28:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 15%-18%?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x044015…
11-02 15:28:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	55	8¢	$5	0xbdd67b…
11-02 15:28:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 25%-35%?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd2d79a…
11-02 15:27:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election?	Yes	BUY	141	0¢	$0	0x6d2c4d…
11-02 15:27:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 0%-25%?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xbc8485…
11-02 15:27:43	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 0%-25%?	Yes	BUY	167	2¢	$4	0xdc78a5…
11-02 15:27:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x5eec5d…
11-02 15:27:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 25%-35%?	Yes	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0x3fefa5…
11-02 15:27:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x3bdb68…
11-02 15:27:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x29e037…
11-02 15:26:30	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xd86374…
11-02 15:26:21	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?	Yes	BUY	111	3¢	$3	0x83b1ba…
11-02 15:26:12	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?	Yes	BUY	111	8¢	$9	0x7776b8…
11-02 15:26:01	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0x7dbe05…
11-02 15:25:51	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?	Yes	BUY	111	6¢	$7	0x6c4ac0…
11-02 15:20:46	Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?	Yes	SELL	219	3¢	$6	0x672a48…
11-02 15:12:34	Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0x7cbffd…
11-02 15:11:19	Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x427e70…
11-02 14:38:13	Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0xd900d6…