Whirlwind-Maggot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$895

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,388

lifetime

Volume

$956.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$689

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-25 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

61% 25% $-495

Other

39% 0% $-400

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	35	$45.2K	20,605	33,264	-12,659	open	—	06-22 08:35
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	15	$36.3K	37,839	6,020	+31,819	open	—	07-23 20:57
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	41	$34.6K	18,480	18,480	+0	open	—	06-27 15:11
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	9	$33.7K	27,816	27,816	+0	open	—	07-08 21:03
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	30	$31.4K	17,077	17,077	+0	open	—	06-22 08:35
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	29	$30.8K	17,297	17,296	+0	open	—	07-06 22:20
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	21	$29.7K	21,778	21,778	+0	open	—	07-25 18:58
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	21	$22.8K	13,263	13,263	+0	open	—	07-03 14:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	20	$22.5K	13,111	13,111	+0	open	—	06-24 11:31
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	6	$20.8K	11,662	11,580	+82	open	—	07-13 08:46
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	23	$20.6K	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	06-24 02:04
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	10	$19.5K	10,694	10,694	+0	open	—	06-28 10:48
starmer out by june 22 2026	40	$18.7K	11,548	11,548	+0	open	—	06-22 08:35
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	13	$18.6K	10,195	10,195	+0	open	—	07-07 21:39
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	11	$18.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-28 06:48
starmer out by july 31 2026	16	$18.3K	13,123	13,123	+0	open	—	06-20 20:42
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	28	$17.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	07-05 08:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	5	$17.3K	8,804	8,804	+0	open	—	05-15 17:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	12	$16.8K	9,181	9,181	+0	open	—	05-14 18:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$16.1K	10,101	10,101	+0	open	—	07-13 02:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	32	$16.1K	3,623	13,322	-9,699	open	—	06-18 12:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	36	$15.1K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	07-03 20:39
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	14	$14.9K	9,403	7,056	+2,346	open	—	04-12 12:21
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	3	$14.1K	7,778	7,778	+0	open	—	03-28 06:01
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	15	$14.0K	10,013	6,226	+3,786	open	—	04-08 06:05
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	20	$12.3K	6,729	6,729	+0	open	—	07-04 11:32
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	4	$11.9K	6,762	6,762	+0	open	—	03-24 05:01
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	6	$11.8K	15,234	0	+15,234	open	—	07-18 10:25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	23	$11.3K	8,146	8,146	+0	open	—	04-24 12:11
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	7	$11.2K	12,900	0	+12,900	open	—	07-15 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 18:58:24	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	8,909	63¢	$5,613	0x21f8fd…
07-25 18:54:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	60	63¢	$38	0xa833a4…
07-25 18:48:09	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	1,700	63¢	$1,071	0xd61224…
07-25 18:36:27	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xca349f…
07-23 20:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7,437	71¢	$5,280	0x936a3f…
07-23 20:57:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	6,000	88¢	$5,280	0x08e3a5…
07-23 20:54:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x9140ac…
07-23 20:53:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x7e844e…
07-23 03:57:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,689	6¢	$104	0xcd059c…
07-22 19:28:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	600	67¢	$402	0xfd6414…
07-22 19:09:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	300	49¢	$147	0x489c5a…
07-22 19:06:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	250	74¢	$185	0x1b8e79…
07-22 19:03:28	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x9fe5cc…
07-22 19:02:31	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x02c086…
07-22 19:01:19	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x374693…
07-22 18:57:33	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xa8d910…
07-22 06:18:40	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x7b39bb…
07-22 04:37:07	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	1,511	39¢	$589	0xdbd7c9…
07-21 19:10:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	4,762	7¢	$352	0x16a07e…
07-21 18:38:30	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	286	97¢	$278	0xa68df8…
07-21 18:38:16	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	500	95¢	$475	0xad21d2…
07-19 20:34:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	990	87¢	$861	0x5fc4cb…
07-19 20:33:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	1,959	44¢	$861	0x3ab83a…
07-18 15:33:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,951	89¢	$1,736	0xfc0594…
07-18 15:32:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	2,590	67¢	$1,736	0x6e8a32…
07-18 10:25:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	4,236	79¢	$3,333	0xe9b919…
07-18 10:24:03	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x7b17c2…
07-18 10:24:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	29	52¢	$15	0xb8d22d…
07-18 10:24:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	1,728	52¢	$899	0x63a6fe…
07-18 10:20:19	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x8907c6…
07-18 10:20:18	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x7dc1c6…
07-18 10:20:18	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x4a7ede…
07-18 10:20:15	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	4,302	56¢	$2,398	0x4de36e…
07-16 21:10:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	4,286	77¢	$3,301	0xdcf9a1…
07-16 21:09:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	3,627	91¢	$3,301	0x1298dd…
07-16 07:20:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	161	76¢	$122	0xa5a0a7…
07-15 21:44:02	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	6,000	88¢	$5,280	0x370959…
07-15 21:39:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	6,425	77¢	$4,933	0x96be46…
07-15 21:39:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	47	77¢	$36	0x5cf1e8…
07-15 21:39:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0x07d1db…
07-15 16:38:59	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	2,558	87¢	$2,225	0x19fa78…
07-15 16:35:16	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x83973c…
07-15 16:05:34	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	136	87¢	$118	0x5cbdc6…
07-15 10:23:25	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0xbe3b4f…
07-15 08:08:31	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	154	87¢	$134	0x2ca6df…
07-14 20:09:40	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	SELL	2,709	95¢	$2,573	0xcd573f…
07-13 21:27:56	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	2,590	66¢	$1,707	0x07aa1e…
07-13 21:26:56	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x574120…
07-13 21:26:55	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	3,042	56¢	$1,703	0x5fd265…
07-13 08:46:35	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	70	92¢	$65	0x8265f4…
07-13 08:44:56	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x085e80…
07-13 08:37:08	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	4,000	85¢	$3,400	0xa0d111…
07-13 02:13:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,525	97¢	$2,449	0xb08cb3…
07-09 13:40:47	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x501d73…
07-09 13:18:32	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	322	89¢	$287	0xbb3510…
07-09 09:45:59	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,200	90¢	$1,080	0xbeb698…
07-09 09:25:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xf03159…
07-09 09:22:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0xe1107c…
07-09 09:11:17	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x39b017…
07-09 08:13:22	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	132	89¢	$118	0x6f2cdb…
07-09 08:09:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x43f84d…
07-09 08:07:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1eab58…
07-09 08:07:49	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	478	71¢	$339	0xddbe2c…
07-09 08:07:49	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xbb9b7b…
07-09 08:07:10	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xdf3ed8…
07-09 08:07:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xe6f5ee…
07-09 08:07:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	206	85¢	$175	0xaf9997…
07-09 08:07:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x57e1db…
07-09 08:07:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0x12f2a8…
07-08 21:13:02	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	4,263	70¢	$2,989	0xd9abe0…
07-08 21:04:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	13,913	83¢	$11,535	0xbc1f2c…
07-08 21:03:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	21,473	53¢	$11,475	0xa7d663…
07-08 20:58:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,100	82¢	$902	0xc737a6…
07-08 20:56:11	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	1,343	57¢	$766	0x2b5e4f…
07-08 20:48:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	32	43¢	$14	0xfe7012…
07-08 20:03:10	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xc6e7d8…
07-08 20:03:08	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	86	43¢	$37	0x615b43…
07-08 19:43:50	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xb60ea6…
07-08 19:43:47	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	106	43¢	$45	0x3c87ad…
07-08 16:07:29	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048	Yes	BUY	85	85¢	$73	0x73bab1…
07-08 16:07:17	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xb290d3…
07-08 16:07:17	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048	Yes	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x56885d…
07-08 16:07:16	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x86768d…
07-08 16:07:16	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x3c8844…
07-08 16:07:13	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x4ae596…
07-08 15:57:22	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xa97f7b…
07-08 15:57:22	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x473400…
07-08 15:57:19	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048	Yes	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x150a7d…
07-08 15:57:16	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048	Yes	BUY	623	85¢	$527	0xb2b7fd…
07-08 14:57:14	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	603	97¢	$585	0x927dff…
07-08 14:36:13	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x95c7e7…
07-08 14:35:52	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	133	97¢	$129	0x6a271e…
07-08 14:35:49	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	152	97¢	$147	0xdd4c19…
07-08 14:35:46	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0x78b132…
07-08 14:03:59	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	93	97¢	$90	0x3922be…
07-08 07:53:38	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	3,000	78¢	$2,340	0xd7f95a…
07-08 06:57:41	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	1,946	73¢	$1,430	0x22c98c…
07-08 06:55:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xe421dd…
07-08 06:35:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	48	79¢	$38	0x8f767a…
07-08 06:25:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	452	79¢	$357	0xf7de63…