Whirlwind-Maggot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$895

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,581

lifetime

Volume

$1.17M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$739

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-13 16:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

61% 25% $-495

Other

39% 0% $-400

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	24	$66.1K	38,519	38,519	+0	open	—	08-11 03:32
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	20	$53.1K	42,863	27,079	+15,783	open	—	08-11 03:32
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	35	$45.2K	20,605	33,264	-12,659	open	—	06-22 08:35
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	41	$34.6K	18,480	18,480	+0	open	—	06-27 15:11
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	9	$33.7K	27,816	27,816	+0	open	—	07-08 21:03
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	12	$31.7K	17,900	17,900	+0	open	—	08-09 22:42
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	30	$31.4K	17,077	17,077	+0	open	—	06-22 08:35
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	29	$30.8K	17,297	17,296	+0	open	—	07-06 22:20
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	21	$29.7K	21,778	21,778	+0	open	—	07-25 18:58
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	21	$22.8K	13,263	13,263	+0	open	—	07-03 14:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	20	$22.5K	13,111	13,111	+0	open	—	06-24 11:31
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	8	$21.3K	25,851	0	+25,851	open	—	08-12 09:07
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	6	$20.8K	11,662	11,580	+82	open	—	07-13 08:46
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	23	$20.6K	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	06-24 02:04
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	10	$19.5K	10,694	10,694	+0	open	—	06-28 10:48
starmer out by june 22 2026	40	$18.7K	11,548	11,548	+0	open	—	06-22 08:35
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	13	$18.6K	10,195	10,195	+0	open	—	07-07 21:39
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	11	$18.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-28 06:48
starmer out by july 31 2026	16	$18.3K	13,123	13,123	+0	open	—	06-20 20:42
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	28	$17.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	07-05 08:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	5	$17.3K	8,804	8,804	+0	open	—	05-15 17:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	12	$16.8K	9,181	9,181	+0	open	—	05-14 18:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$16.1K	10,101	10,101	+0	open	—	07-13 02:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	32	$16.1K	3,623	13,322	-9,699	open	—	06-18 12:17
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	16	$15.6K	10,018	10,018	+0	open	—	07-31 17:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	36	$15.1K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	07-03 20:39
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	14	$14.9K	9,403	7,056	+2,346	open	—	04-12 12:21
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	3	$14.1K	7,778	7,778	+0	open	—	03-28 06:01
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	15	$14.0K	10,013	6,226	+3,786	open	—	04-08 06:05
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	20	$12.3K	6,729	6,729	+0	open	—	07-04 11:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 16:31:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa8bc14…
08-13 12:05:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	215	83¢	$178	0xc32e86…
08-13 10:54:04	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x08d3c0…
08-13 09:56:04	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xda454d…
08-13 09:08:16	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x0d9f98…
08-13 09:01:55	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	SELL	99	70¢	$69	0xbd0f51…
08-13 07:19:27	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x9c41a9…
08-13 06:17:01	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x4e80f4…
08-13 05:13:16	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xad5c4c…
08-13 03:33:21	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xe8b0ed…
08-12 21:41:18	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	SELL	250	70¢	$175	0xfc4809…
08-12 20:31:52	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x47cf6c…
08-12 19:01:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	928	82¢	$761	0x2e6a19…
08-12 19:01:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,787	56¢	$1,000	0x26bac2…
08-12 19:00:15	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	2,250	78¢	$1,755	0x5a50f1…
08-12 18:37:51	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	990	44¢	$436	0x773a03…
08-12 18:35:40	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xe56b80…
08-12 18:35:07	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	SELL	640	70¢	$448	0x7c97d0…
08-12 18:19:19	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	4,325	98¢	$4,230	0x12f2f5…
08-12 14:37:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	3,100	8¢	$248	0x5252b4…
08-12 09:07:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	598	97¢	$578	0xe407ad…
08-11 19:18:22	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	750	77¢	$578	0x8ce850…
08-11 11:16:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	6,222	60¢	$3,750	0x710936…
08-11 11:15:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4,573	82¢	$3,750	0x8e0a44…
08-11 11:15:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	1,482	57¢	$849	0xf604b9…
08-11 11:14:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,023	83¢	$849	0x273e52…
08-11 03:32:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	15,771	86¢	$13,563	0xb676d6…
08-11 03:32:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	14,062	96¢	$13,562	0x19f8a9…
08-10 16:07:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2,883	94¢	$2,710	0x6323df…
08-10 15:46:04	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x74c78d…
08-10 11:04:19	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	352	73¢	$257	0x1cc004…
08-10 07:46:13	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	BUY	230	61¢	$140	0x52c514…
08-10 07:33:51	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x0e1a98…
08-10 07:32:49	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xfffd3a…
08-10 07:29:34	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	BUY	220	61¢	$134	0x12a41d…
08-10 07:10:48	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0x70177c…
08-10 06:47:48	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7ef647…
08-10 05:03:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	6,129	96¢	$5,884	0x9c1ee8…
08-10 05:02:31	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x79ca9b…
08-10 04:51:16	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	BUY	2,803	61¢	$1,710	0x6cd198…
08-09 22:42:43	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	11,800	93¢	$10,974	0xb5f5f2…
08-09 12:14:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,099	88¢	$967	0xaa822c…
08-09 12:12:10	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	1,347	69¢	$929	0x4165fa…
08-09 10:44:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x36a028…
08-09 10:43:40	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0b2c35…
08-09 10:43:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,227	44¢	$540	0x656e4b…
08-09 10:42:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	543	99¢	$540	0x82ac24…
08-08 18:06:27	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xed296b…
08-08 13:19:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	Yes	BUY	190	60¢	$114	0x2a2151…
08-08 06:07:46	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	SELL	1,430	8¢	$110	0x0bbf87…
08-07 20:04:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	543	97¢	$526	0x914cdf…
08-07 18:12:03	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	2,475	75¢	$1,848	0xe36027…
08-07 18:10:55	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1,200	89¢	$1,068	0xef7d8e…
08-07 18:09:04	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	828	94¢	$778	0x309306…
08-06 20:26:18	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128	No	BUY	1,500	64¢	$960	0xc2dceb…
08-06 18:58:57	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0xc1260e…
08-06 14:15:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	102	37¢	$38	0xc254ee…
08-06 14:15:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	283	37¢	$104	0xa3139f…
08-06 14:15:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	115	37¢	$42	0x7be47c…
08-06 13:48:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8d6bb1…
08-06 13:48:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	445	33¢	$149	0xd47f12…
08-06 13:41:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	1,417	67¢	$949	0x2ee484…
08-06 13:39:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8de235…
08-06 13:37:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x2a84c4…
08-06 13:36:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$33	0x167644…
08-06 12:57:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	1	41¢	$1	0xb8f184…
08-06 12:57:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	780	41¢	$317	0x377503…
08-06 12:52:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	4,687	82¢	$3,844	0x7d70f0…
08-06 04:40:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	6,782	88¢	$5,968	0x22c69a…
08-06 04:40:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	6,250	84¢	$5,250	0x537159…
08-05 20:14:02	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x5d5ba5…
08-05 20:14:02	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x420442…
08-05 20:14:00	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	BUY	1,417	55¢	$774	0xdf3b5c…
08-05 20:01:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	1,294	68¢	$879	0xa7937c…
08-05 20:01:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	306	68¢	$208	0x2f8d4c…
08-05 19:46:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	500	41¢	$204	0x4bbe5e…
08-05 19:46:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x4d89eb…
08-05 19:21:56	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x7ce963…
08-05 19:19:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	605	91¢	$551	0x50bcfe…
08-05 18:43:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	2,395	91¢	$2,179	0xc7f9ca…
08-05 18:25:38	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x77a9b3…
08-05 18:25:36	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	No	BUY	313	79¢	$247	0x48273a…
08-05 18:17:20	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf74e03…
08-05 18:06:09	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0x92081f…
08-05 18:06:09	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	23	80¢	$19	0x36308c…
08-05 18:06:05	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	705	80¢	$562	0x1d7d91…
08-05 17:50:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xc0c55c…
08-05 17:41:51	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	600	90¢	$540	0x38d7a4…
08-05 17:41:42	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	188	90¢	$169	0x6eccc7…
08-05 03:57:56	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	4,752	86¢	$4,087	0x5d0bcf…
08-05 03:34:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	6,387	68¢	$4,349	0x0442f4…
08-05 03:28:14	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	248	86¢	$213	0x0f445f…
08-05 03:24:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	3,000	92¢	$2,759	0x6961d3…
08-05 03:23:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0x0611d4…
08-05 02:09:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	197	80¢	$157	0xdd48c9…
08-05 02:08:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0x98d698…
08-05 02:08:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	33	80¢	$26	0xd91476…
08-05 02:08:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x9c266a…
08-05 02:08:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	3,245	80¢	$2,596	0x3b0785…
08-05 02:08:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x0294bf…