(anonymous) 0x7c3fee…23ff8d
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$227
Unrealized P&L
+$201
Hit rate
6.8%
Resolved
176
Trades
4,108
lifetime
Volume
$45.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$2.91K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-27 08:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
71% 11% -$162
Politics
17% 0% -$31
Tech
4% 0% -$21
Sports
4% 0% $0
Pop-Culture
3% 0% -$2
Crypto
1% 25% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +197 $179 98¢ $193 +$15 10-19 08:09
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +200 $150 84¢ $169 +$19 10-12 05:40
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +198 $142 83¢ $165 +$23 10-18 23:35
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +215 $150 76¢ $162 +$13 10-24 02:37
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +169 $127 88¢ $148 +$21 10-15 14:06
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +193 $120 70¢ $134 +$14 10-11 05:38
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +200 $136 66¢ $131 -$5 10-18 21:56
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +232 $146 55¢ $128 -$19 10-26 08:30
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +149 $112 84¢ $124 +$12 10-09 10:05
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +198 $106 56¢ $110 +$4 10-26 07:18
will ohio enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028 No +150 $88 70¢ $105 +$17 10-02 06:17
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +232 $95 45¢ $105 +$10 10-26 09:47
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028 No +147 $82 70¢ $104 +$22 10-02 03:47
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +198 $94 44¢ $88 -$6 10-26 07:17
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +95 $61 87¢ $83 +$22 10-11 19:26
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +141 $92 59¢ $83 -$9 10-10 06:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +115 $96 70¢ $81 -$15 10-20 18:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $71 77¢ $77 +$6 10-08 05:35
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $64 34¢ $69 +$5 10-18 21:56
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +94 $38 69¢ $65 +$27 10-09 06:47
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +84 $66 77¢ $64 -$2 10-19 14:49
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +98 $62 64¢ $63 +$1 10-10 16:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +100 $67 60¢ $60 -$6 10-13 06:15
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +193 $80 30¢ $59 -$21 10-11 05:38
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +60 $37 96¢ $58 +$20 09-20 11:29
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +141 $49 41¢ $58 +$9 10-10 06:38
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +100 $65 57¢ $57 -$8 10-21 03:22
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +80 $50 71¢ $57 +$7 10-24 22:50
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +75 $47 76¢ $57 +$9 10-04 22:13
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +99 $41 57¢ $57 +$16 10-12 09:47