(anonymous) 0x7c3fee…23ff8d Create alert
bot 6L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$140
Unrealized P&L
+$647
Hit rate
9.9%
Resolved (7d)
133
Trades (7d)
183
4,604 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.93K
$51.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$4.27K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 11-05 05:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
71% 12% -$283
Politics
17% 4% -$65
Tech
4% 4% -$31
Sports
4% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
3% 0% -$2
Crypto
1% 20% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? No +252 $222 96¢ $242 +$20 10-07 19:36
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +248 $199 92¢ $229 +$29 10-31 15:31
Will IShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? Yes +255 $193 82¢ $210 +$17 10-27 18:47
KOSPI all-time high before 2028? No +261 $161 76¢ $199 +$39 10-14 12:56
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? Yes +204 $154 93¢ $190 +$36 10-28 01:53
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +215 $150 88¢ $188 +$38 10-24 02:37
Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? No +194 $169 95¢ $184 +$16 10-31 23:55
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +193 $120 87¢ $168 +$48 10-11 05:38
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +198 $142 84¢ $166 +$24 10-18 23:35
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +232 $146 70¢ $164 +$17 10-26 08:30
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes +170 $133 84¢ $142 +$9 10-31 18:59
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31? No +226 $163 62¢ $139 -$24 10-31 22:21
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +200 $136 66¢ $133 -$3 10-18 21:56
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes +135 $33 97¢ $132 +$99 10-25 23:26
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30? Yes +174 $45 73¢ $128 +$83 10-11 07:47
Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? No +152 $127 84¢ $127 $0 11-01 07:03
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +207 $136 60¢ $125 -$11 10-07 13:13
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? No +142 $79 88¢ $124 +$45 10-23 18:00
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? Yes +194 $132 61¢ $119 -$13 10-30 14:32
Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027? Yes +210 $85 56¢ $116 +$31 10-14 10:05
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +198 $94 58¢ $116 +$22 10-26 07:17
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? No +128 $108 86¢ $110 +$2 10-28 22:32
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +174 $99 62¢ $108 +$9 10-13 10:11
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30? No +109 $79 99¢ $108 +$29 10-16 14:02
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028 No +147 $82 70¢ $102 +$21 10-02 03:47
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? No +128 $94 79¢ $101 +$7 10-29 17:26
will ohio enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028 No +150 $88 67¢ $100 +$12 10-02 06:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +115 $96 86¢ $100 +$3 10-20 18:29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%? No +100 $75 100¢ $100 +$25 10-25 01:12
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +130 $82 76¢ $99 +$16 10-09 09:55